Writer. Author of The Independent Scholar (2026), a history from Plato to Nietzsche.

Joined November 2010
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All right everyone, I would like to issue an apology... to ABSOLUTELY NOBODY!!!!!!
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Anthropic will always be cursed by its founding hypocrisy (AI is risky, we must accelerate AI because we're the good guys). Their continuing hypocritical moralism is so annoying at this point that I think many people are quite happy to see their business get messed up by USG.
I’ve had a number of conversations with folks inside and outside government about the current situation with Anthropic, and here is what I believe to be true: — As we know, Anthropic publicly released its Mythos class models earlier this week under the commercial name Fable. — Fable is Mythos with guardrails. But if those guardrails fail, then you’ve exposed Mythos and its advanced cyber capabilities to people who shouldn’t have them. (Keep in mind that Anthropic itself widely promoted the idea that Mythos was a cyberweapon and needed to be regulated as such. They asked for government regulation of Mythos and championed the guardrails on Fable. If there is a vulnerability — big or small — it is Anthropic’s responsibility to patch.) — A highly credible trusted partner of both Anthropic and the USG who was testing Fable came forward with a jailbreak of those guardrails. The Admin asked Dario to fix the jailbreak or de-deploy the model. Dario refused. — In their blog post, Anthropic defended its decision by saying the jailbreak isn’t serious. That is not what the trusted partner and the USG believe; nor is that kind of minimizing language consistent with Anthropic’s brand as the AI safety company. It’s difficult to fathom how they could claim a jailbreak allowing operability of a cyber weapon could be defined as not “serious.” — In the past, Anthropic has always said that safety must be top priority and taken super seriously. In this case, Anthropic prioritized the continued offering of the consumer model over safety. — In reaction, the Admin issued the export control. The Admin did this reluctantly. It’s been very surprised that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to cooperate with a reasonable safety request (ie fixing the jailbreak issue). Anthropic’s reaction is very much at odds with their branding and ethos as a safe AI research community. — The Admin’s hope now is that Anthropic remediates the safety issue, the export control is lifted, and Fable goes back into general release. The Admin wants all of this to happen as soon as possible. It is frankly bewildered that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to comply with safety requests that it previously said were its highest priority. — Those trying to misdirect and tie this action to the prior DoW/Anthropic issues are wrong. The Admin values Anthropic’s technical capabilities and feels that this issue, while serious, should be easily resolved. The ball is in Anthropic’s court.
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This could have been avoided if the author used AI.
Gifted and Talented, or G&T, programs have long been a perennial subject of debate, particularly in New York City, where it has bedeviled mayors for years. Some parents have already washed their hands of the whole G&T business, refusing to participate in what they view as a corrupt system of segregation. But countless others still place significant stock in the G&T designation and what it offers and are comfortable relying on cognitive testing, should it be required, to determine whether a child qualifies. “When your intelligence is the foundation of your self-perception, failing to achieve feels like soul death,” writes Katie Arnold-Ratliff. But if the limited amount of information we have about gifted kids long-term is any indication, most lead, at best, ordinary lives of modest accomplishment. A 35-year study of 677 gifted children found that by age 50, only 12.3 percent had reached a level of “eminence,” defined as “full professors … Fortune 500 executives … judges and lawyers, leaders in biomedicine, award-winning journalists and writers.” This means 88 percent never did. Arnold-Ratliff digs into the myth of the gifted child, and how our notions of intelligence may be inherently flawed: nymag.visitlink.me/9mc2Wh
Community note
The study defines eminence as accomplishing "something rare" like becoming full professors at research universities or Fortune 500 executives; 12.3% of gifted participants achieved it, far exceeding general population rates. pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC64…
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The man and his sister are guilty of pushing down and hurting the girls. Terrible behavior. But we were absolutely correct to be skeptical of the narrative! The narrative was 99.9% false and the trial confirms it. The internet is incredibly, stubbornly confused frequently!
The brother and sister in the “Sophie of Dundee” incident have been found guilty of aggressing those young girls. I was overly hasty in expressing scepticism about the narrative as it happened. I’ve deleted the tweet and - yes - lesson learned. bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2d…
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Custom AI systems for one person, built by that one person, with that person in the learning loop (not too much, but not too little), might very well outperform everything else in terms of IRR on effort right now.
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The best thing about AI for independent scholars is that we'll finally be able to quit social media content striving. The competition for attention won't cease, but the rat race for cheap attention will. If you're a sophisticated 'creator' you've generally been forced to play a lot of cringe 'content' games that are rather beneath you; you've had to accumulate a critical mass of average people *in order to* become known to the smart people who matter to you. But now, if you can actually discover or say something exceptional, all of the smartest people (and agents) are going to find it almost certainly, and faster than ever. All the same status and monetary rewards will flow in proportion to one's unique value, but without you having to pass through nearly as many monkey games.
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Then you realize capitalism is only this, but for everything. And that’s a good thing. Also that it’s God’s plan, for all of the powers and principalities to consume themselves.
this was already true before LLMs but at this point you really should not think of social media as a place where individual people go to express their opinions. the algorithm defines an optimization target (engagement) and people and LLMs work together to optimize it. we have built a machine for inferring what the audiences of different platforms want to see and hear and extruding textslop and imageslop and videoslop conforming to the shape of that desire as quickly and efficiently as possible when you read a viral post you think you are reading the thoughts of a person. you are reading the thoughts of the algorithm. out of the churning mass of nonsense constantly being posted, that specific post was selected to ascend to virality by an evolutionary process, and that process is the actual agent in the situation. the individual author barely matters, we are simply approximating the infinite monkey theorem here. at this point it barely even matters whether the author was technically human or an LLM, LLMs are just an additional source of monkeys
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👀
Here's a draft excerpt from our film project THE WILD CITY, chapter on contemporary warfare. Needs more reality melt - suggestions would be welcome
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I feel lucky to have smart friends who are often completely correct on unpopular views. We really are gonna make it.
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We turn to books and films because no real person ever seems to talk or act like they ought to. One goes through life with a sense of what life could be, if only... If only other people would talk like they do in books and movies, then life could finally be what it's supposed to be, "and I myself could finally be the person I'm supposed to be." Eventually you realize that everybody is just waiting for someone else to start, and therefore you are exactly a member of the herd you despise. If you make it to this realization (many don't), you either find the virtue in everyday life or else you start writing yourself (not because you're above the herd, but precisely because you are not).
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This is why AI is causing such a panic reaction across the writerly class: All of the currently functioning "human" processes of writing, selecting, editing, and publishing are so cooked that machines almost deserve to take over—and the people who are guilty know it.
I just read a short story in the New Yorker that was worse than AI
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good theory and diagnosis
paperclip-punk is the only "new aesthetic" movement that matters right now
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Ultimately, it is vanity that ensures human writing will always be special and most valuable. Human writers will not be the most important because they are the most interesting, but because humans are most interested in human rankings.
We are still more interesting storytellers than the AIs because we have lives. It's our edge. Live yours.
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I’m not depressed about AI getting smarter than us. Even if it learns to write well. In fact, I believe it will soon produce excellent prose that cannot be detected, but I’m not worried. It just means we’ll get to focus on generating new ideas. Do you understand how much faster your rate of learning can be now? How fast and easy it will be to develop, test, refine, and build on your own ideas? Who cares if machine agents are smarter, or if they can do most things better than you? You’re still going to be able to do develop your own ideas better, faster, and bigger than ever. The only reason to be depressed is if you have silly ego fixations around some arrogantly self-flattering notion of your own mind, and/or if your main concern is some identity or career investment in your relative/mimetic standing in some local human power game (i.e. if you collect rents from some kind of badge or makework that supposedly proves you are a special kind of smart). I guess I have always been Rousseauian in holding a rather low opinion of human mental sophistication and its dubious, barbed flowers. Frankly, I enjoy watching the destruction of amour-propre at scale, chaotic and insane as it will be (and already is).
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There is a trend on TikTok where dating influencers are warning their audiences against "limerence," a term fabricated in 1979 (it has no etymology). It's a toxic, pathological condition where you become obsessed with someone you're dating. Well, I looked it up and it's very simply the experience of falling in love. This is far worse than global warming or AI extinction risk. They're killing the possibility of love. Here are the tell-tale symptoms of this terrible condition, which you must try to cure before it sets in: - Intrusive thinking: Constant, involuntary thoughts about the LO (the "limerent object"), often occupying a large portion of waking (and sleeping) mental activity - Longing for reciprocation: An overwhelming need for the LO to return the feelings - Idealization: The LO is placed on a pedestal; flaws are minimized or ignored - Physical symptoms: Heart pounding, flushing, nervousness, or weakness in the presence of the LO - Fear of rejection: Extreme anxiety about the possibility of not being loved back - Rumination: Replaying interactions and analyzing ambiguous signals for hidden meaning Call me crazy but if you come down with this condition, what you're supposed to do is ask them to marry you. It worked for me 12 years ago, and it's still working. But now millions of innocent people are being robbed of one of the greatest human experiences—one which all feeling people have known and discussed in every generation hitherto—simply because we started paying normal people to give advice to other normal people. Am I the only one who finds this devastating, sorrowful almost beyond comprehension?
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wow my suggestion to run a pro-AI Acceleration hype house to counter the Aella/Grimes AI Doomer hype house in July might have real legs If you'd like to sponsor, DM
May 25
Replying to @jmrphy
i’ll run a workshop on guerrilla tactics
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