Hyperscalers just need to keep subsidizing their product for another ~5-10 years(?), with interest rates probably above 3% for the foreseeable future, and replacing GPUs every ~<4 years(?)
Or they could stop doing stupid unnecessary computation but that wouldn't be very hyper
We're getting another round of THE AI BUBBLE IS POPPING stories, with the news about Uber/Microsoft pulling back on AI subscriptions bc their agent costs went crazy.
Maybe. But, per below, GPU rental prices are still up 2x from where they were four months ago. It doesn't seem like demand is slowing down, at all. When, eg, NYC hotel prices are twice as high as they were last year, you shouldn't believe people telling you that nobody is going to NYC anymore.
Maybe someone smarter than me can correct me on this logic, but if the price for accessing AI compute is skyrocketing, that's because demand is still significantly outrunning supply, which sounds to me like the opposite of the beginning of the end of a bubble.