co-founder SearchLight, raw data to insights for HVAC - Best data insights for contractors: thedatadriventrades.substack…

Joined June 2010
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22 Jul 2021
Quick thread in response to @garyvee biggest challenge getting ppl to execute his advice. I hope this helps many of you. 2 yrs ago I started to get bad anxiety. Stuck in my job. Wanted to do more. Randomly put on GV he spoke about garage sales as a start-now way to build skills
Replying to @princeofpvnk
its my biggest challenge ...
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Jon-Torrey retweeted
WHO WANTS A BEER SKATE?! RT for your chance to win the hottest drinking device in sports.
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The SearchLight Data Lab is my favorite AI-enabled project I've done this year. The SearchLight Data Lab is my favorite AI-enabled project I took on this year. It's not done at the snap of a finger and still requires a lot of context, understanding of data, trends, taxonomy, etc. but without Claude, I wouldn't be able to do this. See how your Google Ads CPL stacks up in your region: searchlightdigital.io/google…
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🚨 New Case Study Alert - RevSync: A 25% Lift in ROAS When Google Ads Gets Real Revenue Data Google explicitly recommends feeding offline conversion data back into their algorithm: 'Combine your online website measurements with your offline first-party data (from order management or data platforms) in Google Ads to improve campaign performance.' RevSync is an activation product within the SearchLight data platform that automates this feedback loop with accurate, normalized data pulled from multiple call tracking providers, conversion tools (including forms and chats), and CRMs. This case study tracks one contractor's Google Ads performance across 10 months: 4 months before RevSync (June-September 2025) and 6 months after (October 2025-March 2026). It then compares the results against a control account with comparable Google Ads spend and no RevSync. Full case study: searchlightdigital.io/case-s…
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A residential electrical contractor paid Google LSA for this exact call last month, but our lead grading product caught it. For years, we've said that lead volume and cost per lead told only part of the story. But now, that's evolved even further because marketing has gotten more complicated and messy. More channels, more conversion tools, more vendors, and fewer eyes on the quality of those contacts. The most-asked question we get from our clients when they see ROAS is whether it could be a lead-quality issue. So, we responded and built a proprietary domain-trained model, using hand-labeling, to grade contacts across all conversion tools with deep marketing integration to catch waste. This transcript is the tip of the iceberg, and we recently published a case study about how, in just two weeks, we used SearchLight Lead Grading to improve a contractor's Google Ads ROAS from 0.1x to 3.8x. Full case study: searchlightdigital.io/case-s…
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Pumped to introduce SearchLight's data lab with live, interactive benchmark reports for The Trades - searchlightdigital.io/data/ Google Ads CPL by Region for Q1 and ChatGPT / LLM lead and revenue gen for Q1 is live. #hvacmarketing #trades #homeservices
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Jon-Torrey retweeted
Mar 10
Eagles agree to 1-year deal with CB Riq Woolen. (via @CameronWolfe)
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GPT vs Gemini vs Claude vs ClaraT: Which AI Model Performs Best for Lead Grading in Home Services? We ran 6,000 real home service transcripts through every major AI model: GPT-4o-mini GPT-5.2 Gemini 3 Flash Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 ClaraT™ (SearchLight’s domain-trained model with an ensemble architecture) and measured how accurately each one classified leads into three categories: Whether the lead was bookable Why it was unbookable (if applicable) Why a bookable lead did not convert Why? Because our clients make real decisions based on this data. Staffing decisions. Budget decisions. Decisions about which marketing channels to keep and which to cut. If the classification underneath those decisions is wrong even 10% of the time, the downstream cost is significant. General-purpose models clustered between 73–90% accuracy on bookable vs. unbookable. That's impressive for tools built to do everything, but for a GM trying to figure out why Tuesday's phones were slow, "pretty good" isn't good enough. ClaraT™, SearchLight's domain-trained model built on years of structured home services data and human experience, achieved 98.05%, more than 8% higher accuracy than the next-highest general model. That gap led us to explore a concept we're calling Decision-Grade Intelligence (DGI). Decision-Grade Intelligence is the point where data becomes accurate enough that you'd actually change how you run your business based on it. We've worked in data for over half a decade, and a core reason why we've been able to drive success for our clients is the willingness to get into the weeds and the details to maintain a standard of accuracy. Artificial intelligence, specifically LLMs, unlocks a new wave of productivity, and we're here to figure out how to close the accuracy gap between general models and domain-trained outputs. You can read the full analysis here: searchlightdigital.io/ai-lea…
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ICYMI, we broke out Cost per Lead for Google Ads (averages from 816 HVAC/Plumbing businesses) in January 2026 across Brande campaigns, non-branded, PMax, and a blended average. Read more here: searchlightdigital.io/what-i…
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Compared 3 AI CSR providers across on-call book rate, human transfer request rate, planned follow-up rate, and more in my latest newsletter. I also provide some commentary on 'book rate' - there's a lot more nuance that meets the eye and digging into that nuance can help stop revenue leaks. TheDataDrivenTrades dot Substack dot com
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Humbled that @STLChrisH shared this content - Substack being down right now sucks but all my channel analysis for contractors lives here - thedatadriventrades.substack…

In January, HVAC and plumbing contractors paid an average of $104 just to show up at the front door of a new customer. Before paying for wages, vehicle, insurance, overhead… The “Google tax” is real, and painful for customers and contractors alike.
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We tracked LLM-referred customers across 1,000 home service companies through December. The results are a bit of Jekyll and Hyde. Top performers are seeing real pipeline. The average contractor is getting almost nothing. Read more here: thedatadriventrades.substack… #hvacmarketing #trades #ai #marketing
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Unbranded vs. Branded Google Ads performance for December is now LIVE in our latest newsletter! Just going 'one level deeper' with data can yield much more insight, but it always comes back to the fact that your business, your goals, your market, etc. are unique and have different needs. Read more here: thedatadriventrades.substack… #hvacmarketing #homeservices
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Does Facebook drive revenue for HVAC contractors? We analyzed $2.3M in Facebook ad spend across 262 HVAC advertisers to answer it, using closed revenue only, not modeled or view-through conversions. The results surprised us (especially the gap between average and top performers). It CAN work, but there's a gap and it needs to be monitored w/ proper expectations (demand gen vs. demand capture) Full breakdown, methodology, and 2025 benchmarks: searchlightdigital.io/what-i…
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AI CSRs 'fumbled' 9% of bookable conversions from Google Local Service Ads in December 48% of bookable GLSAs in December did NOT book at the time of conversion. But the Closed ROAS in this sample was a 10x. That's a solid return that most of us would call a win and move on. That's the false positive. If I had one takeaway from these benchmarks, it's that removing friction at booking would significantly improve performance. Planned follow-up (the majority is business-to-customer, not the other way around) is one of the most frequent friction items, followed by pricing concerns and availability not aligning with the customer's needs. As we begin grading AI CSRs, similar patterns are emerging. The strategy is to remove the friction, the tactics may look different in your business...whether it is AI CSRs or Human CSRs the foundation is still what helps you win. Read more here: thedatadriventrades.substack…
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I’ve never had an article rank as the top organic result on Google within 24 hours, until now. ...and I built and sold a blog for 5-figures in 18 months just a few years ago! Whenever I create content, the goal isn't to rank, sell, or feed my ego, as tempting as that can be during the process. The goal is to power-use the SearchLight platform and surface the most valuable, real-world insights from our data to help contractors make better decisions. The natural consequence of that process is highly ranked content and a lot of highly qualified inbound leads that do lead to sales. It’s SO hard not to drift toward writing what you think will rank. When that happens, I reset by asking a simple question: “Would I confidently email this to our top clients?” Of course, the content is structured for Google and LLMs, but those systems optimize for the best answers, not shortcuts. When you focus on answering fundamental questions with real data, the rankings tend to take care of themselves. You can read the article here: searchlightdigital.io/hvac-s… #hvacmarketing #HVAC #Trades
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Pumped to start 2026 with LLM citing and landing the top organic slot on Google from an article that’s just a few days old. searchlightdigital.io/what-i…
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17 Dec 2025
Direct Mail outperformed Google Ads for this sample of HVAC contractors. ...sort've. Different sample sizes. But the median data for a 12-company sample running direct mail is very intriguing. Read more (free): TheDataDrivenTrades dot Substack dot com #hvacmarketing #hvac #directmail #trades #datadriventrades
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16 Dec 2025
LLMs generated 37% as much closed revenue as Google Organic for the top 1% of contractors in this November sample. On average, these businesses generated just over $22k in LLM-driven revenue opportunity and over $13k in closed revenue. Read the full November LLM performance breakdown at TheDataDrivenTrades. substack. com #hvacmarketing #hvac #trades #homeservices #LLM
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9 Dec 2025
76% of HVAC businesses in this 1k company sample got 0 unique leads from LLMs in November. But, the top 1% saw LLMs generated 37% as much closed rev as Google Organic. LLMs aren't performing just yet in aggregate - TheDataDrivenTrades dot Substack dot com #hvacmarketing
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8 Dec 2025
Across $214M in contractor Google Ad spend and $2.25B in revenue opportunity, we found something surprising: ➡️ 2024 was the most expensive year for Google Ads. ➡️ But 2025 YTD unique lead costs are actually 3% lower than 2023. TheDataDrivenTrades dot substack dot com #hvac
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