Temple Hoodie Pants have been submitted to the workshop this week! If accepted, here's a few things that could happen👇 Flashbacks collection crash📉 Temple Collection boom📈 Forest Raiders looses value 📉 @kosem123

Took a few days, but the giveaway skin has been delivered 🫡 Congrats again to the winner — enjoy it!

Winner picked! Funny enough, it landed on someone who’s been supporting since nearly day one. Congrats @shnyrxk — well deserved. Check your DMs 🥳

Picking the winner tomorrow 👀 Last chance to enter. Good luck 🙏

New Rust Store is out! Many collection continuations — very lovely to see

Twitch Drops Round 40 is coming in ~6 days. 14 skins total — but only one that actually gives in-game advantage: the @Silithur SAR. And it's free. So I wouldn’t be surprised if many Heat Seeker SAR holders start panic-listing soon. We’ve seen it before. Curious what y'all think this time. Are we looking at a small dip or a massive drop?

RIJ Factor 8: The Chart #RIJPlaybook Out of all the factors, charts are my biggest strength. They show how everything we’ve talked about — demand, relevance, structure etc — actually played out over time. I could talk about charts for days, not even exaggerating. But instead, let’s just go over some of the most common (and most useful) patterns I look for when deciding if a skin’s worth buying. • Clean uptrend: Won't need to go further than the Whiteout Kilt. One of the easiest charts to read. The price has been climbing slowly since 2022, with small drops along the way — but every time it dips, it recovers (pic 1). That’s what matters to me. It shows the skin has steady demand, even without hype. The price builds higher over time, and doesn’t crash when things slow down. And the dips are actually super easy to spot — they happen in cycles, usually off-season when demand cools off. When I see a chart like this, I’m happy buying and just holding long-term. • Pump and dump: This one’s also easy. A price skyrockets — either from real demand or just manipulation. If you time your entry wrong, you’re fucked. I usually avoid skins like this because there’s always someone who bought earlier and will dump on you, dragging the price way lower than what you paid. Always. Not saying it’s impossible to profit if you’re a little late — but it’s usually not worth the risk. The recent spike in some rugs after @Willjum1's video shows it clearly (pic 2). • Long downtrend: The Small Box from Hell (pic 3). If you zoom out on this chart, it’s clear — the price has been slowly dropping for over two years. That usually comes down to one thing: fading demand. It can happen for a lot of different reasons, but in the end it all shows up the same way — slow bleed, less interest, and lower lows over time. I usually stay away from skins like this — unless I feel like it’s finally hit the bottom, and the current price is low enough to actually bring new buyers in. That shift in buyer behavior is the only thing that can turn a chart like this around. That’s it for now — just a few of the most common chart patterns I watch for when deciding whether to buy or not. There’s still a bunch of other scenarios worth breaking down, and I’ll definitely come back to this topic again soon. #rust #rustskins #steammarket

Been stacking hard for Christmas — researching, scouting, buying daily. Even had to come up with new strategies between instant trade sites just to keep things efficient. Between that and working 2 jobs, it's been tough to drop value posts lately. Also halfway through the next interview with 2 skin creators — taking my time with it to make sure it turns out fire. Once I’m done buying, I’ll share everything I found and get back to posting daily. Hope you’re stacking too — it’s that time of year.

Quoting my original post — so far it’s playing out exactly as expected. Didn’t hit 1.5$, but 2.4$ is still under store. We got the early pump, the fast dip, the bounce, then the slow bleed. Now it’s dipping way slower — around -10% in a week. That’s usually when seller exhaustion starts. I’ll wait for the new Twitch drops to show up first — just to make sure no free MP5 is coming before I start buying

Start of the summer season, so figured I’d post a full update. These are all the skins I’ve publicly bought since this account was made — Steam prices only. Some of these were recent pickups that haven’t had time to move yet, others are already up decent. Couple are flat, two dipped a bit. And honestly, some of the ones that dropped had already popped hard during the Jungle update hype, so the correction totally makes sense. Best performers (40% gain): Neon Fuel Storage – 1.10$ → 1.84$ ( 67.3%) Tire T2 – 5.50$ → 9.00$ ( 63.6%) Snowcamo Jacket – 1.20$ → 1.95$ ( 62.5%) Legacy Bow – 4.00$ → 6.24$ ( 56.0%) Mummy Wraps – 7.50$ → 11.20$ ( 49.3%) Fallen Kilt – 2.10$ → 3.00$ ( 42.9%) Strong gainers (20-40%): Reptile Hunter collection – 51.60$ → 67.00$ ( 29.8%) Forest Raiders collection – 373.00$ → 484.00$ ( 29.8%) Thundergold Vest – 3.40$ → 4.40$ ( 29.4%) Pirate Facemask – 1.55$ → 1.98$ ( 27.7%) Neon Small Meds Storage – 1.50$ → 1.89$ ( 26.0%) Wasteland Hunter Hoodie & Pants – 13.90$ → 17.35$ ( 24.8%) Moderate gainers (10-20%): Scarecrow collection – 2.77$ → 3.32$ ( 19.9%) Festive Garlands – 3.70$ → 4.40$ ( 18.9%) Elite Crate Hoodie – 2.00$ → 2.31$ ( 15.5%) Redemption AR – 1.75$ → 2.00$ ( 14.3%) Sand Rhino Chestplate – 6.85$ → 7.66$ ( 11.8%) Thundergold Kilt – 8.40$ → 9.30$ ( 10.7%) Thundergold Helmet – 10.35$ → 11.45$ ( 10.6%) Sand Rhino Facemask – 6.20$ → 6.84$ ( 10.3%) Military Hoodie – 2.88$ → 3.16$ ( 9.7%) Flat / minor gains (0-10%): Military Pants – 2.62$ → 2.71$ ( 3.4%) Blackout MP5 – 10.00$ → 10.30$ ( 3.0%) Thundergold Gloves – 2.80$ → 2.80$ (0.0%) Dropped: Brutalist SMD – 12.50$ → 12.14$ (–2.9%) Ultramarine Kilt – 2.50$ → 2.10$ (–16.0%)

Thought I’d share a real example of how I think when I buy. Not every decision is some deep research session. Sometimes it’s just two decent plays, both making sense in different ways — and I go for both. Had about ~150$ yesterday I was fine with using to stack a bit more, and ended up debating between: · Pirate Kilt (~1.2$ per unit) · Thundergold Gloves (~2$ per unit) Worth noting: that’s not Steam pricing, those are just good deals I found on 3rd party. Here’s what made me go for them: Pirate Kilt: · Elasticity is actually goated · Solid price movement over time · Got them at ~1.2$, which felt like a no-brainer · Cheapest black kilt on the market Only concern: total supply’s high, so it might take longer to move Thundergold Gloves: · Dropped from ~5.2$ to ~2.6$ in the last 3 months · Found some under 2$ · Good flip potential if snow camo demand picks up again this summer Only concern: a few solid alternatives at similar price right now In the end, I didn’t pick one over the other. I bought 80 Kilts and 25 Gloves (65%/35%). Plan’s simple: · Kilts are for the long-term — lower risk, which is why I focused more on them · Gloves are for flipping if a good exit shows up I did go through my usual analysis — just not as deep this time. But that’s it, I'm not overthinking, just stacking based on how each piece fits into the bigger plan.

The new store is out! Another Heat Seeker and Bamboo Cage skin… what are we thinking?

Alien Red AK giveaway is live 🔥 Giving away one of Rust’s most iconic skins — worth 180$. Big shoutout to @bandit for making this possible. To enter: ❤️ Like 🔁 Repost ➕ Follow @journalrust @bandit Winner in 10 days. Good luck 🙏

Got my biggest giveaway so far coming tomorrow, around 200$ Pretty sure I already picked the skin... What do you think it is? 👀

RIJ Factor 7: Steam Market Structure #RIJPlaybook Understanding the market structure is crucial, in my opinion, because that’s what tells you where a skin can go, how fast, and how safe it is. A few things I always look at: • How many listings? Let’s take the Comics Hoodie as an example of a solid structure. It has around 100 listings, with half of them stacked around the same 11.5$ range (pic 1). With the current 50 daily sales, these 50 listings could disappear fast — especially now with summer demand picking up (which is important to factor in too). But on the flip side, if there isn’t enough demand, these listings act like a wall. Impatient sellers start undercutting each other, and the price can slowly bleed down. Now, if this was a lower-tier skin with weak demand and lower listings, it’d also be wide open to manipulation — which, by the way, can still work in your favor if you’re in early and exit before it dumps. • Buy order walls = price support Think of them like castle guards. Let’s take the Reptile Hunter Kilt (pic 2). There are 100 people standing at 4.6$ ready to buy — if the price drops, they step in and defend that level. And below that, there's a second line of defense with 200 buyers at 4$. So if someone wakes up tomorrow and dumps 100 of them, or even 300, those orders will absorb the hit — and the price won’t collapse (or at very least not as fast as it would without them). Important to keep in mind though — if there’s real panic, even these “guards” can flee😅 Buyers cancel, walls disappear, and suddenly the price has no floor. • Listings vs Buy Orders = spread check Let’s look at the recently pumped Shinobi Hatchet (pic 3). You’ll see 8$ listings, but buy orders sitting all the way down at 2$. That’s crazy. If you buy now, you’re basically screwed — by the time your trade lock ends, the price will already be back in the 3$ range. For legit, healthy skins, that kind of spread shouldn’t happen. Even something like 2$ listings vs 1.2$ BOs is a red flag — that’s a dead skin or low liquidity, and in most cases, it’s going nowhere (unless, again, someone decides to pump it). On the other hand, if you’ve got something like 1.8$ BOs and 2$ listings — that’s tight and healthy. Ideally, you want the top buy orders to match what you’d get after Steam fees if you sold at market price. That’s the kind of skin that reacts well when demand kicks in. So, what I always ask myself before buying is: “How easy would it be for this price to move — and in which direction?” #rust #rustskins #steammarket

Global Warfare 3 - This July - Apply early today (Creators don't apply, DM me to join)

Thundergold Helmet hit an all-time high two weeks ago, but the gap between it and the Whiteout one still feels too wide. Both are arguably top tier snow camo picks, with Whiteout being the more effective one, ofc. And with summer starting, demand should keep climbing. Whiteout doesn’t seem to slow down, and if demand shifts, Thundergold could even 2x. Only 26 listings on Steam, so it wouldn’t take much for it to move. Might be worth keeping an eye on

That’s a 2x for me. I’ll be taking some profits today — selling around 25% of my total stack. Not sure how much higher it’ll go from here, but a correction’s definitely around the corner