My everything account. Ex -global equity PM . My snide mkt, econ & political comments - @NC798322.

Joined August 2009
448 Photos and videos
I wonder why some smart investment banker hasn’t tried to convince Zelensky to organize part of the Ukrainian drone industry and float it on a stock market. I mean if Musk could get away with such outrageous terms for SpaceX why not 🇺🇦 who clearly has the leading edge drone tech
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Plus, they could use the money to finish off war and rebuild
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Factlet of the day, Fidelity, Robinhood and other retail brokers locked in those who bought SpaceX for 15-30 days, saying they would be banned from future IPO’s - not by account, but by a person’s SS number. 30 days from now, what % of the new retail owners of SPaceX will sell?
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Absolutely - the average is amazingly skewed by the concentration of huge huge amount of wealth and income the the highest percent of household, Far more interesting and depressing would be the Ave and Median for the population excluding the top 10% or even 1%.
The average household my age (62) has a $1.57 million net worth (including home), but the richest folks skew those numbers up. Looking at MEDIAN (the 50% mark), it drops down to 364k. Half have less than that! The bottom 20% have 40k or less. The bottom 10% have nothing.
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Absolutely - just another overreach by the so called tech gods who want a constrained world that operates by their rules - rules which benefit them and few others. They want only their “facts” or “spin” out there . They want the populous to be filled with stupid, non curious 👫
Peter Thiel and Balaji Srinivasan have funded a platform called Objection.ai that allows anyone to file a complaint against a journalist's story for a starting price of $2,000. A team of human investigators examines the story, then submits findings to a "jury" of AI models - OpenAI, Anthropic, Grok, Google - which publish a "verdict" on the story's truthfulness and rank individual journalists on metrics including truth-telling and corrections. If the journalist doesn't respond to defend their reporting, the verdict is issued and published online anyway. The platform is being sold as "letting anyone fight the press like a billionaire." The creator is Aron D'Souza, who led the Thiel-funded lawsuit that bankrupted Gawker in 2016. The design choices tell you what this is. The system treats anonymous sources as less trustworthy and ranks anonymous whistleblower claims near the bottom. Anonymous sources are how most significant accountability journalism happens - they're how the Pentagon Papers got out, how the CIA's black site program got exposed, how the HHS stories we've covered this week were reported. The people who most need protection from powerful interests are specifically deprioritized by Objection's scoring system. The creator calls it "the same as Community Notes." A civil rights and defamation attorney calls it "a high-tech protection racket for the rich and powerful." One of those descriptions is accurate. The AI models being used as the "tribunal" were trained on journalists' work without consent or compensation. They hallucinate. They amplify bias. They are being deployed here specifically to issue verdicts on the work of the people whose labor built them. Thiel killed Gawker with a lawsuit. This is faster and cheaper.
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Who is taking the losses.
Office and retail building at 18 Tremont St. in downtown Boston, Massachusetts. Sold for $30 million, a 71% drop from its purchase price of $103 million in 2019. 204K Square Feet Built 1902 -connectcre #commercialrealestate
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The smartest people are the most stupid.
The problem with universal suffrage is that the more technologically advanced a civilization becomes, the smaller the fraction of people there are in it with the native intelligence to understand how it works. When the majority of humanity was employed in whacking at the dirt with a pointed stick, and the height of technology was a slightly better pointed stick, anyone with a triple digit IQ could understand what was going on. Now, we have things like stock markets, the internet, transportation infrastructure, and the Linux kernel, but most people who vote are unable to conceive of these as anything but large piles of chocolate coins, or something else they can put their mouths. Because that's how the average monkey interacts with money. They stack the blocks, the research assistant gives them a token, they exchange the token for a banana. It's no good trying to explain to the monkeys what supply chain is, or how a trillion dollars worth of rockets can't magically be converted into a trillion dollars worth of bananas just because they're both measured in dollars, as if a six-foot man and a six-foot plank of wood were interchangeable. Finding a slightly different explanation, or getting the monkeys to sit still and really listen, doesn't really help. Because the problem isn't just that the monkeys aren't paying attention. The problem is that the monkeys are monkeys. Their brains simply don't have the developmental capacity to grow the neural connections they would need in order to grasp and manipulate the concept. In the long term, this is why universal democracy is doomed. Because societies that let retards vote will fail, and be replaced by those that don't. You may think that we, as a society, face a great variety of problems. We do not. We have only one. Retards. Every other problem we have is downstream from their inability to understand the consequences of their political opinions. But to fully grasp the implications of this, you have to understand that the definition of "retard" changes over time, as technology advances, because the IQ level required to grasp what's really going on gets steadily higher and higher. Eventually, the category "retard" grows until it includes the average person. This has already happened. Nick Knudsen isn't dumber than the average guy. But the average guy, the 100 IQ salt of the earth guy that's sitting on the next bar stool over, can no longer understand the modern economy. And this isn't correctable, because the problem isn't ignorance, it's complexity. You can't make Nick Knudsen smarter by telling him things. You can't even make him less ignorant, because the bare facts aren't believable to someone who doesn't have the framework to understand how they fit together. The people who understand what's going on are so much smarter than him that he doesn't even think they sound smart. He thinks they sound crazy.
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Funny numbers are all the rage!
Really…?! So 6-8x the cost of a 1GW data center w/GPU’s. So why not raise prices 3-4x? It would still leave plenty of “profit” for his customers if that statement is accurate. $NVDA
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Ahhh. The joy of diversity!
I love this portrait of my home town.
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The problem with gifted and talented programs is parents lobby like crazy to get their kids into them. Kids who have skills/talents that far exceed their age should be in classes for that subject but go to school with a wide mix of students so that they get social skills that 22
Gifted and Talented, or G&T, programs have long been a perennial subject of debate, particularly in New York City, where it has bedeviled mayors for years. Some parents have already washed their hands of the whole G&T business, refusing to participate in what they view as a corrupt system of segregation. But countless others still place significant stock in the G&T designation and what it offers and are comfortable relying on cognitive testing, should it be required, to determine whether a child qualifies. “When your intelligence is the foundation of your self-perception, failing to achieve feels like soul death,” writes Katie Arnold-Ratliff. But if the limited amount of information we have about gifted kids long-term is any indication, most lead, at best, ordinary lives of modest accomplishment. A 35-year study of 677 gifted children found that by age 50, only 12.3 percent had reached a level of “eminence,” defined as “full professors … Fortune 500 executives … judges and lawyers, leaders in biomedicine, award-winning journalists and writers.” This means 88 percent never did. Arnold-Ratliff digs into the myth of the gifted child, and how our notions of intelligence may be inherently flawed: nymag.visitlink.me/9mc2Wh
Community note
Eminence is incredibly rare, so 12.3% among gifted students is decidedly over-representative. For example, around 0.023% of Americans are full professors at R1 institutions, yet 22 of 677 (3.25%) of gifted students studied eventually held this position (a ~140x fold increase). pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC64…
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2) that will be important in life. I think every child is gifted in some way, we need to find out what. Too many children labeled gifted turn out to be quite “normal” because they never learn the effort part needed to be extraordinary.
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Do we need mind altering substances or do we need better ways to cope with our reality? If we do not make it better, just escape, it just leaves a world that is worse for our kids
For thousands of years, humans have searched nature for mind-altering substances through a process of trial and (sometimes fatal) error, @andersen reports—but scientists are now trying to create lab-made, customizable psychedelics: theatlantic.com/health/2026/…
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Does anyone have a handle on how much SpaceX stock traded today compared to the float, not the market cap. The underwriters are responsible for maintaining a stable market. You have to wonder how many people are going to flip the shares in the days ahead to get out before all 2)
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2)all the insiders call sell. They are all “millionaires on paper” For estate diversification purposes most should want to have their wealth in one stock
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He has drunk some toxic koolaid
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Burgum blames high national gas price average on renewable energy: I have to smile every time I see on a screen the national average for gasoline. The price of gasoline varies across our whole country largely right now by state policy and state taxes, not by the underlying fundamentals. About half the states that went down this path where they overrotated towards we're going to have energy transition. We're going to move from affordable, reliable secure American energy and we're going to rely on intermittent, highly subsidized, weather-dependent sources of energy, they've got substantially higher energy prices than the states that don't. California was dependent on oil coming from the strait of hormuz. They are going to have high gas prices. You can thank Gavin Newsom for that and their state legislature for the policies they put in. That has nothing to do with the strait of hormuz.
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Cannot convince starry eyed investors thinking they deserve to be wealthy from buying into a fraud. Honestly, if Trump wants to nationalize something, he should nationalize Starlink for national security reasons
Well, here's some math. Starlink is a profitable business with about $11 billion of sales and $3 billion of free cash flow. It might be worth $75 billion at a frisky multiple of 25X free cash flow. The balance----the space launch business and the AI/data centers in space fantasy----has $7 billion of sales and NEGATIVE -$17 billion of free cash flow. So why is it worth anything, unless you are pricing a dream peddled by sell-side hucksters?! In short, after trading up to $2 trillion based on $75 billion of tangible Starlink value, where's the remaining $1.925 trillion of it? This isn't just the classical mania of the crowds. This is sui generis--- mass insanity in a casino that has been giving a lobotomy by three decades of money-printing madness at the Fed and its fellow-traveling central banks around the planet.
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Loans? Talk about sending people to debtors prisons.
The Trump administration is quietly moving to change the Affordable Care Act to let health insurers offer people loans to pay for their care. Deep in a document over 1,000 pages long about how the Affordable Care Act market will operate next year, the administration suggests that insurers consider offering loans to cash-strapped customers. Under this approach, people who develop a costly disease or need unexpected emergency care would turn to their health insurer for loans. A third of American households already have medical debt, and this approach would mean even more debt that patients owe to their health insurance companies. The insurers, who already make billions, would stand to make even more. nytimes.com/2026/06/11/busin…
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I don’t understand why any investment cos that manages retirement funds is not going to get sued for violation of fiduciary responsibility if it buys the SpaceX. Not only is there no sign that SpaceX will make any real money for years but the corporate governance is unreasonable
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I suspect the SpaceX underwriters are telling institutions if they don’t take SpaceX shares or flip them, they won’t get any Anthropic shares, which the company most are interested in
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