If you sold 100 books in 2022, you'd be selling 19 in 2026.
Read the full blog post by Tim, fascinating.
My key takeaways:
> Prescriptive non-fiction is in trouble.
How-to style books, YouTube videos, podcasts, are experiencing headwind when people just want the 5 liner takeaway they can instantly implement.
> Entertainment and storytelling are safe.
You don't ask AI to summarize a standup comedy skit. Just like you don't ask it to summarize a movie instead of watching it.
The storytelling and entertainment are the product.
> Chat interfaces will absorb every information based decision.
Buying decisions, business plans, consulting, weight loss programs... the AI is becoming the go-to source of information.
NEW blog post is up!
"Has AI Already Killed How-To Nonfiction? Sales Trends, My Personal Data, and What It Might Mean for the Future"
My head has been spinning after getting a spreadsheet roughly a week ago.
Before we dive into my dirty laundry, let’s state the obvious: millions of people have a vague sense that AI is changing things. And LLMs sure are convenient for getting answers quickly. My team and I use Claude and other tools daily.
But far fewer people have first-hand experience with the speed and intensity of disruption that’s happening. Not in a year, not in six months, but right now.
So let me show you, using my own books as the cadaver on the table, what a fatality looks like.
(Link below)