Professor of Macroeconomics @Sydney_Uni
Joined April 2020
- Tweets 237
- Following 398
- Followers 526
- Likes 1,140
11 Photos and videos
James Morley retweeted
23 Apr 2025
Global forces drive r-star 📉
Morley @macromorley & Wong show global shocks drove most of the decline in r-star for 7 advanced open economies since the GFC, but local shocks still matter—leaving a role for tracking domestic r-stars.
🔗 bit.ly/3YHGEnk
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James Morley retweeted
4 Nov 2024
my work calendar completely packed this week
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James Morley retweeted
23 Aug 2024
The cutest part of the DNC:
Kamala Harris’ nieces teach America how to pronounce her first name as Kerry Washington helps.
I’m sure Trump will continue to disrespect her and say it wrong but oh well. We won’t have to deal with him much longer if you vote!
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James Morley retweeted
21 Aug 2024
New CAMA working paper (Vol: 52/2024): ‘How Does Tax and Transfer Progressivity Affect Household Consumption Insurance?’, by Yunho Cho @jnu1906, @macromorley @Sydney_Uni and Aarti Singh @Sydney_Uni.
Read it at: bit.ly/4cron1X
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James Morley retweeted
7 Jul 2024
Sure 13 papers in 2.5 years are impressive, but have you ever had 13 appendices in 1 paper?
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20 Jun 2024
For everyone who was at the Dolomiti Macro Meetings, I’m sharing the results for the Norwegian output gap from the BN filter website
bnfiltering.com/#/apply?m=CL…
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James Morley retweeted
2 Jun 2024
#ASSE2024: "Business cycle: sources of persistent changes in the output gap and unemployment rate", @macromorley of @Sydney_Uni presented the importance of good output gap estimations using trend-cycle decomposition from web-based user friendly tools.
@EnseaO
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James Morley retweeted
31 May 2024
Le Directeur de l'@EnseaO 🇨🇮, Dr. #Hugues_KOUADIO, a procédé à l'ouverture de l'Université d'été (ASSE) 2024, ce vendredi 31 mai 2024. Il a souhaité à ses hôtes le traditionnel "AKWABA".
@MPD_CI , @econometricsoc ,@ird_fr , @oxmartinschool , @qe_editors,@BCEAO_Officiel
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James Morley retweeted
31 May 2024
▶️Prof #JAMES_MOLRLEY de @Sydney_Uni a instruit les participants sur le cycle économique avec les sources des changements persistants dans l'écart de production et le taux de chômage.
@MPD_CI , @econometricsoc ,@the_ACEProject ,@oxmartinschool , @ird_fr , @AFD_France
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2 Jun 2024
Thank you to @EnseaO for giving me the opportunity to give lectures on trend-cycle decomposition at the Africa Summer School in Econometrics. The group of PhD students from many countries provided brilliant questions and we had fun trying out new series in bnfiltering.com
31 May 2024
Merci au Professeur #JAMES_MORLEY, Expert en Macroéconomie à l'@Sydney_Uni en Australie, pour ce riche partage d'expérience 👍👍👍
@MPD_CI , @the_ACEProject , @ird_fr , @econometricsoc ,
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6 Apr 2024
Sometimes trend-cycle decompositions are misspecified in the sense that assumed random walk trends display serial correlation in their estimates. In our new JBES article, Ben Wong, Brian TD Tran, and I propose a simple correction for this and estimate r* doi.org/10.1080/07350015.202…
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James Morley retweeted
31 Mar 2024
CAMA working paper (Vol: 24/2024): ‘Trend-Cycle Decomposition After COVID’, by Güneş Kamber @IMFNews, @macromorley and Benjamin Wong @MonashUni
Read it at: bit.ly/3Vwhl7b
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27 Mar 2024
If you want to conduct trend-cycle decomposition assuming a smooth trend and including Covid-era data, use the BN filter described in our new working paper ideas.repec.org/p/een/camaaa…, with online tool available at bnfiltering.com
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27 Mar 2024
In our working paper ideas.repec.org/p/een/camaaa…, we introduce some refinements to the BN filter that produce a smoother trend, but retain the strong reliability of the original BN filter in our 2018 REStat paper doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00691
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27 Mar 2024
The bnfiltering.com website allows application of the BN filter to any time series using a FRED mnemonic or directly entered into the website. Fully adaptable Matlab or R code also available at sites.google.com/site/jamesc…
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22 Feb 2024
Wait, aren’t Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen “super-nerds”? This is peak ozpol cultural-cringey anti-intellectualism
22 Feb 2024
Former RBA governor Bernie Fraser notes concerns about a special committee of "super-nerds" overseeing interest rate settings.
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James Morley retweeted
9 Feb 2024
Econ PhD. You invented Econ PhD.
I think there needs to be a dedicated class in High School and I don’t know what we’d call it but it is the “identify the BS” class. It would show headlines that one would see come across your feed and require you to dig deeper to uncover author biases and refuting data.
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James Morley retweeted
5 Nov 2023
The CAMA RBA Shadow Board outcome for November 2023 is available now: bit.ly/49BgGpN @WarwickMcKibbin
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