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Bam Adebayo (MIA) OVER 35.5 PR
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This line will look even more appealing should Tyler Herro ultimately be ruled out with the quadriceps injury that has him listed as questionable as of early afternoon.
Miami is already guaranteed to be without Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, and particularly important in Adebayo's case, Kel'el Ware on Tuesday, in what is already a very favorable positional matchup for the Heat's talented big man.
Adebayo sports a 25.4% usage rate and essentially averages one PR per minute with all three players Herro off the court. Bam has also expanded his offensive profile like never before this season, as he's taking a career-high 5.0 three-point attempts per contest, including 5.8 with all four players off the floor.
The Wizards also make for a highly appealing target, given they're surrendering the third-most points (26.2) and seventh-most rebounds (16.0) per contest to centers in the last 15 games, as well as the third-most total rebounds per road contest overall (56.6).
Meanwhile, Adebayo has made a habit of capitalizing on his 15.1 rebounding opportunities per game, converting them at an impressive 65.3% clip.
Then, Washington is also conceding the fifth-most points in the paint per road game (53.5) -- including an NBA-high 63.3 in the last 3 . Pace will also certainly be on our side here, and if Herro is indeed ruled out, we could see a more competitive game than the current double-digit spread implies.
Miami also carries the highest implied team total on the slate -- 126.5 -- yet another metric in favor of Adebayo, who's averaging 24.2 points per contest over his last six games as it is.
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