Joined April 2018
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#bitcoin is the first money that requires no physical space to store it, no courier to carry it, no bookkeeper to count it, no auditor to check on it, no security guard to protect it, and no government to issue it.
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Wow! 17 of the past 24 months for Ethereum have been negative. bluroo ai
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#SundaySurvey Bitcoin on June 30th
15% Higher
31% About the Same
54% Lower
13 votes β€’ 19 hours
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RT @nsquaredvalue: Bitcoin is down 50% in 250 days. What happens next? 8 months later, Bitcoin is up 80% of the time. The average gain is…
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Timothy Peterson retweeted
Replying to @BitcoinNewsCom
I have an idea. They can re-implement Fable as Opus 4.9 and just not tell anybody.
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Bitcoin ETF fund flows were negative for the 5th week in a row, tying previous withdrawal streak records. However, the daily picture is more encouraging, since it appears the sales cycle has stopped and is reversing. This may signal upward pressure on Bitcoin price over the next several days, or maybe weeks. bluroo ai
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Ethereum closing in on a bottom?
Replying to @nsquaredvalue
ofc, it may not get to 1,100. May only get to 1400-1500.
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RT @nsquaredvalue: This chart shows all the days that Bitcoin traded -50% below its all-time high. Sitting on a 50% (or more) Bitcoin loss…
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What's likely to happen is upward pressure as ETFs and index funds add $SPCX to their holdings. They must buy at any price if they are passive. At 6 months, the lock-ins get released and so December all these insiders will cash out for Christmas. That might be ugly.
I've allocated 0.6% of my total combined portfolio value to $SPCX IPO, it's nothing but a degen gamble. Just wanted to be part of history and rockets are cool. AI Datacentres in space even cooler. I expect volatility, or losing 50-90% of its value in 6-12months :D

ALT Rocket Moon GIF

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Poor $BCH. It wanted to be like real Bitcoin so bad. But every four years from May-July, it loses -50% like clockwork. bluroo ai
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RT @nsquaredvalue: If Ethereum is worth $3000, and downside deviation is -100% log scale, then 3000*exp(-1.0) = $1,100 buy price. bluroo a…
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They hype is unreal. SpaceX $SPCX
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The 4-year Bear Market Tracker is now on Bluroo ai. Bitcoin Ethereum Link Doge and others. This is Ethereum
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I researched this myself last week but did not post about it. Typically there is a 20-40% pop in the first 60 days, then a sell-off. It can stay flat for about a year or two after that. So many IPOs are issued during bubbles because that is a good time to sell. So the near-term performance is dismal. SpaceX $SPCX
SpaceX starts trading this Friday. Here's what history says happens next. This is the post-IPO performance of every major tech listing of the last decade. Every name you know. Every name you use. Look at the last column: maximum drawdown in year one. – Facebook: -54% – Snap: -56% – Uber: -68% – Pinterest: -70% – Lyft: -79% – Rivian: -88% – Robinhood: -90% Median first-year drawdown across the entire list: -54%. Average: -55%. Not the speculative junk. The whole class. Including the eventual winners. Zoom eventually rose 142% in year one. It still drew down 40% along the way. Palantir gained 153%. It still fell 53% at one point. CrowdStrike, Datadog, MongoDB. All ended year one higher. All put their holders through a 40 to 67% drawdown first. There has not been a single major tech IPO in a decade that didn't hand you a brutal drawdown in the first twelve months. Not one. Now SpaceX joins the list, at the richest valuation in IPO history. You don't have to buy it today. The IPO is the seller's moment, not the buyer's. Wait for the base.
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Even "bad" Bitcoin recoveries are 2x. If $59k was the bottom, then $118k is a realistic target within a year.
The 2020 #bitcoin recovery has tracked the 2013a recovery almost perfectly. Are we weeks away from $75,000?
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RT @nsquaredvalue: Bitcoin and theoretical adoption curve bluroo ai
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$VIX has gone from 15 to 22 in 4 trading days. Still climbing.
Understanding $VIX The CBOE Volatility Index, aka "fear index," measures expected stock market volatility over the next 30 days based on S&P 500 options pricing. It serves as both a sentiment gauge and a contrarian indicator.
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This is probably the best crypto momentum/sentiment indicator out there, and it just hit the lowest level since March. bluroo ai
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I am 75 downloads away from 30,000 Go to this website, download my Bitcoin research for free! Here is what you do...
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Load the paper into an ai. I'm using Claude Fable
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Ask it whatever you like, and it can explain it to you. Fun!
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