Joined September 2024
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Jun 4
Look how precisely we have tracked the parallel channel i have given in November 25 and prior to that as well
Marking majority of key lows and tops on Bitcoin
Pay attention!!!!
24 Nov 2025
The Beauty of BITCOIN's Parallel Channels
- Bitcoin have been trading in two parallel channels majorly from a very long time
- The bigger channel is the white one with major cycle/local bottom & tops
- Within that exist a mini yellow parallel channel, that is respected quite often
- As you can see both the channels acts as major resistance and support every now & then
- The current low was a perfect example showing the importance of these channels
- The chart has guided key trend changes and price directions
- The yellow channel is the new range for BTC until things change
A key chart to look at when you are looking at directions in the market
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Jun 10
Bank of Japan Hiking Rates Soon
- Rate decision date: 16th June (IMG 1)
- 1.0% from 0.75% hike
- PPI Inflation data came out yesterday for them (IMG 2)
- Act 6.3% vs exp 5.3%, huge jump
- Total of 2 rate hikes expected now till December
- Overall BOJ raising rates have been bearish events for Bitcoin in the previous history
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Jun 10
Global Markets are red ahead of:
- CPI & PPI (Wed & Thursday)
- SPACEX IPO (Friday)
- BOJ Rate Hike (June 16)
- No resolution of war
Brace for impact
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Jun 9
CPI Day tomorrow, Jun 10
- Release time: 8:30 ET (Consumer Price Index)
- Headline exp is 4.2, previous was 3.8% (Big jump here)
- Core excl food & energy is 2.8%, prev 2.7% (Not much uptick)
PPI Day on June 11
- Release time: 8:30 ET (Producer Price Index)
- Headline exp 6.4%, prev 6%
- Core 5.4%, prev 5.2%
Since the last PPI reading was way hot (6 vs 4.9 exp) and PPI is always leading CPI, we can see a surprise hot reading too above expectations (But in can take couple of months for ppi to reflect in CPI)
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Jun 2
BTC has totally Decoupled from Global Markets
While every other asset is running, BTC is underperforming badly
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Jun 1
Bitcoin's new support is 71k
- 50% level of prior bull run
- Acted as major resistance and support in this range since feb
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Jun 1
Semiconductors Overheated
- The SOX semiconductor index is sitting at weekly RSI level 86
- The index is up 277% since last bottom in March/April 2025
- The level of surge in price often leads to a major correction
- Gold did the same this year
- The level on RSI goes back to 2000 and 1995
- This is how overheated we currently are
- While the trend feels fun, the music can stop any moment or can stay overheated for a while too
- You can clearly see what happened last time when we were this overheated 25-30 years ago
- Semis now accounts of 23% of SPX, in 2022 that figure was around 2% only
- Semis has played a significant role in SPX run lately and now they seem far overstretched
Something to consider while looking at the bullish markets
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May 27
Bitcoin Weakest Cycle from Halving (ROI)
Just up 20% since past halving
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May 19
SEC proposal may allow trading of company stock tokens without the underlying firms’ backing or consent
- These tokens enable speculation on stock price movements and would trade on decentralized crypto platforms.
- They won't automatically carry full stock benefits like voting rights or dividends
- Platforms must offer key investor protections (or equivalent benefits), or they can't list the tokens
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May 18
BTC/DXY at an Important Support
- Bitcoin against DXY back in action, support and resistances are quite precise on this chart as you know
- We are right at the blue trendline support now, most of the time BTC took major support at this trendline
- We are finding some support at this level currently, if held can act as an area or strength, momentum has not yet flipped to the upside but oversold on 4H
- If lost, BTC will quickly follow to lower prices
Watching this closely
Something to look forward to in finding direction in the markets
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May 18
SPX/USM2 Money Supply
- S&P500 against USM2 has been following a similar fractal to 1999/2000 top
- Its wild to think that we currently have taken resistance (top) exactly based on this chart
- See how we touched the highest point form back then and rejected precisely
- The fractal still stays intact unless invalidated
Keep an eye on this one, for now it says a pullback is coming
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May 14
Bitcoin Breaks the Market Structure
BTC breaks the higher high & higher low pattern...
First lower high and lower low and breakdown of the trendline has happened since the bottom from $65k
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May 6
STRC Demand Weakness
Chart 1
→ The above chart shows STRC>100, saylor buys BTC (Only big buys shown in billions)
→ The sooner STRC>100 the earlier he can start raising before the dividend date
→ In April and March saylor was already raising and buying through STRC at this time
→ We are late this month with everyone pricing in big saylor buys
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May 6
Chart 2
→ The chart shows the raises in previous month
→ The trend: higher the STRC > 100, larger can saylor buy during that week
→ Trading longer just above 100 can also give some ammunition
→ Note in Feb STRC>100 very short amount of time and very less upside>100, therefore less buys
→ Note, in Jan he raised big even when STRC reached 100 on 7 Jan (Close to dividend date)
→ Because the demand was higher for STRC and it went well above 100, highest in few months
→ Also the distance above 100 has been decreasing in trend (Each month) and this time we are late to the party too, could be a concern but will depend on the demand when and how much we go above 100
→ In both April and feb Saylor bought for 3 weeks since STRC was trading near 100 3 weeks prior to dividend date (IMG 4 shows record dates is 15th of the month)
→ We are at 6 May now, STRC still not above 100 Something to keep an eye on...
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May 4
Bitcoin Fighting to close above $79.1k
- A key Fib level from prior leg down, fib levels has been major turning point for BTC
Key an eye on this one...
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Apr 22
BTC trying to break above the key RSI patters, bull market support band, bear flag....
Even if it breaks above, there is plenty of resistances waiting ahead
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Mar 31
Outlook from Google report on "Safeguarding cryptocurrency by disclosing quantum vulnerabilities responsibly"
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Mar 25
BTC/VIX chart at important support zone
If this fails BTC might be in trouble, if this holds BTC will show strength
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