Joined October 2015
793 Photos and videos
Awaiting confirmation on USDJPY
🚨 FINAL WARNING: JUNE 13 CAN BE THE START OF THE END USD/JPY is breaking back above the 160 psychological level, which historically signals intervention risk from the Bank of Japan This directly threatens the yen carry trade by raising the odds of an aggressive unwind What’s the yen carry trade? The yen carry trade is when traders borrow yen at near-zero (or very low) Japanese interest rates, convert to USD (or other higher-yielding currencies), and invest in risk assets like U.S. stocks, bonds, or other carry-friendly markets This is what fueled the US stock market and Bitcoin rally It’s been one of the most popular leveraged trades globally for years, especially while the BOJ kept policy ultra-loose But now that “loose” stance is changing fast So why does USD/JPY > 160 matter for the carry trade? Last time it hit this zone (in 2024), the BOJ stepped in with massive dollar-selling/yen-buying interventions This caused a sudden yen appreciation (USD/JPY dropped a lot) A stronger yen is bad for carry traders: the yen they borrowed to fund the trade suddenly costs more to repay in dollar terms meaning leveraged positions go underwater fast This is forced deleveraging Traders sell the foreign assets they bought with the borrowed yen which causes downward pressure on global stocks, bonds, and other risk assets. This is exactly what happened in 2024 A rapid yen spike triggered carry-trade unwinds, contributing to aggressive sell-offs in equities (some U.S. indices dropped 3-5%) Another intervention becomes more likely the longer USD/JPY stays above 160 BOJ meets on June 13 Retail will chase the SpaceX IPO on June 12 while Wall Street gets out before retail eventually learns the carry trade unwind is why they’re going to lose all their money This is the black swan people are missing and it’s hiding in plain sight
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SpaceX is going public on June 12 and I can't shake the feeling it marks the top. Not because the business is bad - it has real revenue, real government contracts, real cash flows. The underlying company is probably fine. But historically, the most celebrated private company of a generation going public tends to happen right at peak narrative saturation. It's the moment when every thematic bet of the last decade - space, Elon, AI, American technological dominance - gets packaged into a single ticker and handed to the broadest possible audience. That's usually when the smart money has found its exit. The thing to watch isn't the IPO price, it's the demand composition. If retail crowds out institutional allocation on day one, that tells you something about where we are in the cycle. Could be wrong. But it feels like the kind of moment you look back on.
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I am so bullish on tokenization and onchain investment products. Meanwhile most of crypto finds yield boring, I find it one of the most interesting pieces of web3. Currently, earning yield on >> 9% APY with mEDGE on @MidasRWA : (midas.app/medge) >> 13% APY on @Morpho on the @monad network getting 13% on AUSD:(app.morpho.org/monad/vault/0…) On the trading side of things: Last 2-months. Only placed 4 trades. Decided to only put max 2 trades a month. Spent less than 20-mins a day looking at charts. Missed the AERO pump and BTC short at 82k but no complaints. Also missed a short on DOGE. Only keeping two shorts running. ETH and a BTC short from 75-77k (low leverage). Shorts ready to be triggered on TESLA and Amazon.
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Ladies and Gentleman, I'd drop my friend a follow @Catfidential_X

ALT Rich Kitty GIF

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This simulation has a level of plasticity
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Rohan | ex-Chainlink retweeted
People on Instagram are enjoying sunsets, vacations, destination weddings. People on X are posting like we’re in the final chapters before civilization collapses. Same world. Different timelines.
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Rohan | ex-Chainlink retweeted
they're both the same size😭😭
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Laughs in *predictive history*
BREAKING: Senator Blumenthal: "We seem to be on a path toward deploying American troops on the ground in Iran."
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- 18 1/2 year property cycles doing its thing
I don’t care about what Tate has to say about Dubai 🇦🇪 & the situation in the Middle East One thing is true, Much of the Dubai brand is now destroyed. You simply cannot fully recover from something like this - RE prices crashing already - expats leaving on PJs & boats, abandoning their pets I talk to 5 global founders/expats daily. the sentiment shift in the past 2 weeks has SHOCKED me. went from having 50% of clients come into welcome calls considering Dubai, to now less than 10%. The difference has been night & day. This is not shock marketing, it’s really happening
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Massive HnS on BTC.D - below neckline means 80% chance of completing the move - above neckline means 50% chance of completing the move Good news for us, we have broken below the neckline are currently trying to pierce a previously tested HTF order block cluster. Upward action seems likely here given the position of ETHBTC, most alts, USDT.D and BTC itself. First target is 54.41%
Some altcoins has already started to move. Some have done 90% in 2 days...and that's just on my watch list. Probably nothing. Fomo should start hitting the bears between the eyes...
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There will be a period this year when we look back and realise what a bunch of pussies we were by not bidding alts that were sold into the ground
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Rohan | ex-Chainlink retweeted
Ok so tomorrow’s economy is agents and robots transacting with other agents and robots So basically long stablecoin usage because old rails are made for humans, so how would you do so? Thesis is very very clear, not so sure about execution here Tether private shares? Short VISA/Mastercard or long a pivot from them to fit agentic needs? We probably seeing agentic IDs linked to enteprises or individuals coming up soon, your agent has an ID? Ok can open a bank account under your supervision and use it autonomously I have a hard time believing old dogs will let this new market slip away from them that easy
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US500 already in distribution imo. Few months left I guess
💥BREAKING: Anthropic announces 10 AI plug-ins for investment banking, human resources, design, and other tasks. Presentation is going on now. Which stocks to crash next?
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ALT Jay Z Bopping GIF

The year is 2022. Terra Luna just crashed. UST depegged, billions exited the system. FTX would soon collapse. And in the midst of all of it, the MetaDEX was born. Bears are for building.
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this brother always marks key pivots
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wtf you on about
Bitfinex whales longs are stagnating. Could this mean a big move is coming?
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ALT Disgusting Spongebob GIF

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