My prediction is that a big portion of vibe coders (tourists) will disappear in a couple of years because the problem was never about coding.
AI made everything easier but it didn't make easier to build a business. You still need patience, marketing, distribution, risk tolerance and the ability to work for years without making any money.
The unspoken truth is building something is boring, slow, lonely and uncertain. Not everyone is built for this.
I think in 3 years we'll be back where we started. AI will be more powerful but the people who keep building real apps will still mostly be programmers and founders.
i really think 99% of vibe coded projects will be failures because why should i pay you 99/mo if i can just build it for 200$ worth of tokens?