Research scientist @VoxPopLabs | Public opinion, Voting behaviour, Election forecasting 🗳 | PhD, @UMontreal
Joined January 2020
- Tweets 591
- Following 536
- Followers 519
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21 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
Mar 30
🚨 Two new publications!
🗳 One paper about elite electoral expectations with @anam_kuraishi, @KSoontjens, and Stefaan Walgrave in @ElectoralStdies: doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.…
💡 Another one about ideological constraint with S. Walgrave in the @EJPRjournal:
doi.org/10.1017/S14756765261…
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Philippe Mongrain retweeted
Apr 8
🚨Really excited to share a new podcast project: Reasonably Political!
The goal is to make political science more accessible and connect research to real-world debates. 1/2 🧵
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Philippe Mongrain retweeted
Apr 8
First episode is out with Philippe Mongrain (@p_mongrain) from @VoxPopLabs!
Should politicians follow public opinion or lead? And are politicians and citizens on the same page? 2/2 🧵
🎧You can listen here:
open.spotify.com/episode/7vS…
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Philippe Mongrain retweeted
I am pleased to announce that our article on citizen forecasting in Central America has been published in @RevistaLOP. A big thank you to my co-author @p_mongrain and my supervisor @yannickdufresne.
doi.org/10.14201/rlop.32143
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Philippe Mongrain retweeted
19 Nov 2025
Do policy preferences of voters and non-voters differ in European democracies?
My new article in @EJPRjournal finds: Yes, sometimes, but this is not the norm.
Let's break it down. 🧵 1/10
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Philippe Mongrain retweeted
12 Aug 2025
🌅📙 64.3
As you wish? 🧞♀️
Looking at 13 countries @p_mongrain, @NinoJunius & @NathalieBrack ask who calls the shots, with most citizens preferring delegate-style reps who follow #PublicOpinion. But how do MP's see themselves?
#Democracy
🔗ow.ly/59P650WwKoM
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Philippe Mongrain retweeted
1 May 2025
[ À LIRE ]
Avec Éric Bélanger, @p_mongrain et @thomasgareau, la professeure Valérie-Anne Mahéo vient de publier l’article «A Party that Went Viral? The Drivers of Support for the Parti conservateur du Québec in the 2022 Election» dans la @CJPS_RCSP.
fss.ulaval.ca/actualites/nou…
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Philippe Mongrain retweeted
28 Apr 2025
Delighted to see the new issue! Thanks to my co-guest editor @p_mongrain & all the contributors for their forecasts.
NEW ISSUE from @ps_polisci -
PS: Political Science & Politics - Forecasting the 2024 US Election - Volume 58 - Issue 2 - April 2025 - cup.org/42yjlz1
@APSAtweets
ALT Cover of "PS: Political Science & Politics" magazine, April 2025 issue, featuring silhouettes of three prominent political figures facing different directions with the theme 'Forecasting the 2024 US Elections'.
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Philippe Mongrain retweeted
#OpenAccess from @CJPS_RCSP -
A Party that Went Viral? The Drivers of Support for the Parti Conservateur du Québec in the 2022 Election - cup.org/3EKltdH
- Éric Bélanger, @p_mongrain, @thomasgareau & Valérie-Anne Mahéo
#FirstView
ALT Logo of CJPS (Canadian Journal of Political Science) / RCSP (Revue canadienne de science politique) on a dark blue background with "#OpenAccess" in white text at the bottom.
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Philippe Mongrain retweeted
NEW ISSUE from @ps_polisci -
PS: Political Science & Politics - Forecasting the 2024 US Election - Volume 58 - Issue 2 - April 2025 - cup.org/42yjlz1
@APSAtweets
ALT Cover of "PS: Political Science & Politics" magazine, April 2025 issue, featuring silhouettes of three prominent political figures facing different directions with the theme 'Forecasting the 2024 US Elections'.
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Philippe Mongrain retweeted
#OpenAccess from @CJPS_RCSP -
Working the Crowd: Citizen Forecasting, Sophistication and Diversity in Canadian Federal and Provincial Elections - cup.org/4aMdVTx
- @p_mongrain, @NFrchet, Brian Thompson Collart & @yannickdufresne
#FirstView
ALT Logo of CJPS/RSCP with the text "#OpenAccess" on a navy blue background.
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4 Feb 2025
🚨 New publication with @NFrchet, @BrianTh18524140, and @yannickdufresne! I am happy to share that our new paper on citizen forecasting and the wisdom of crowds is out in @CJPS_RCSP! 🇨🇦 🗳 @pol4casting @m2p_be
@Sciencepo_UdeM @pol_ulaval
Check it out 👇
doi.org/10.1017/S00084239240…
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Philippe Mongrain retweeted
30 Nov 2024
Cornell Professor Led Presidential Election Forecast That Correctly Predicted Results for All 50 States cornellsun.com/2024/11/26/co…
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Philippe Mongrain retweeted
25 Nov 2024
Today @p_mongrain & I presented an analysis of the @ps_polisci 2024 US election forecasts @NuffieldCollege @UniofOxford. Thanks to @RayDuch & @RobertoCerina for organizing such a fantastic workshop!
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🗞️Kamala Harris a-t-elle perdu les élections américaines parce qu’elle est une femme? Avec les analyses de notre chercheuse @r_dassonneville. 24heures.ca/2024/11/12/kamal…
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Philippe Mongrain retweeted
8 Nov 2024
Please read. Learn about what political science can achieve.
7 Nov 2024
The Electoral College prediction map in our @ps_polisci Special Issue introduction published in mid-October looks just like the actual results. Election fundamentals & scientific approaches work! doi.org/10.1017/S10490965240…
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Philippe Mongrain retweeted
7 Nov 2024
The Electoral College prediction map in our @ps_polisci Special Issue introduction published in mid-October looks just like the actual results. Election fundamentals & scientific approaches work! doi.org/10.1017/S10490965240…
6 Nov 2024
We are obviously still waiting for the final results, but the average Electoral College forecast from state-level models in the @ps_polisci Special Issue on Forecasting the 2024 US Elections is looking quite accurate! 🇺🇲 🗳 @m2p_be @Sciencepo_UdeM @McGillPoliSci @MizzouPoliSci
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Philippe Mongrain retweeted
6 Nov 2024
My 2024 election forecast published in @ps_polisci @CUP_PoliSci with @JuliusLagodny, @jcolner99, and Anusha Kumar correctly forecasted 45/45 called states 100 days before the election using @verasight_data: bit.ly/40vsasH.
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Philippe Mongrain retweeted
4 Nov 2024
New pub in @n_nationalism: How attitudes towards independence reshaped 🏴 elections: A longitudinal analysis (1999–2021)🗳️
We quantify some massive changes in the role of independence for citizens' vote choice 👇👇
🔓onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/…
with @thomasgareau @PolStudiesAssoc
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6 Nov 2024
We are obviously still waiting for the final results, but the average Electoral College forecast from state-level models in the @ps_polisci Special Issue on Forecasting the 2024 US Elections is looking quite accurate! 🇺🇲 🗳 @m2p_be @Sciencepo_UdeM @McGillPoliSci @MizzouPoliSci
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6 Nov 2024
If you haven't already, check my intro with @MaryStegmaier and the contributions from a great group of forecasters
👇 doi.org/10.1017/S10490965240…
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