Joined August 2020
43 Photos and videos
Predictive Hacks retweeted
May 28
Introducing Claude Opus 4.8: it builds on Opus 4.7 with sharper judgment, more honesty about its own progress, and the ability to work independently for longer than its predecessors. Available today at the same price.
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Predictive Hacks retweeted
Claude for Excel, PowerPoint, and Word are now generally available, and Claude for Outlook is in public beta. As Claude moves between your Microsoft apps, it carries the full context of your conversation.
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Predictive Hacks retweeted
Apr 23
Introducing GPT-5.5 A new class of intelligence for real work and powering agents, built to understand complex goals, use tools, check its work, and carry more tasks through to completion. It marks a new way of getting computer work done. Now available in ChatGPT and Codex.
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Predictive Hacks retweeted
Judging by my tl there is a growing gap in understanding of AI capability. The first issue I think is around recency and tier of use. I think a lot of people tried the free tier of ChatGPT somewhere last year and allowed it to inform their views on AI a little too much. This is a group of reactions laughing at various quirks of the models, hallucinations, etc. Yes I also saw the viral videos of OpenAI's Advanced Voice mode fumbling simple queries like "should I drive or walk to the carwash". The thing is that these free and old/deprecated models don't reflect the capability in the latest round of state of the art agentic models of this year, especially OpenAI Codex and Claude Code. But that brings me to the second issue. Even if people paid $200/month to use the state of the art models, a lot of the capabilities are relatively "peaky" in highly technical areas. Typical queries around search, writing, advice, etc. are *not* the domain that has made the most noticeable and dramatic strides in capability. Partly, this is due to the technical details of reinforcement learning and its use of verifiable rewards. But partly, it's also because these use cases are not sufficiently prioritized by the companies in their hillclimbing because they don't lead to as much $$$ value. The goldmines are elsewhere, and the focus comes along. So that brings me to the second group of people, who *both* 1) pay for and use the state of the art frontier agentic models (OpenAI Codex / Claude Code) and 2) do so professionally in technical domains like programming, math and research. This group of people is subject to the highest amount of "AI Psychosis" because the recent improvements in these domains as of this year have been nothing short of staggering. When you hand a computer terminal to one of these models, you can now watch them melt programming problems that you'd normally expect to take days/weeks of work. It's this second group of people that assigns a much greater gravity to the capabilities, their slope, and various cyber-related repercussions. TLDR the people in these two groups are speaking past each other. It really is simultaneously the case that OpenAI's free and I think slightly orphaned (?) "Advanced Voice Mode" will fumble the dumbest questions in your Instagram's reels and *at the same time*, OpenAI's highest-tier and paid Codex model will go off for 1 hour to coherently restructure an entire code base, or find and exploit vulnerabilities in computer systems. This part really works and has made dramatic strides because 2 properties: 1) these domains offer explicit reward functions that are verifiable meaning they are easily amenable to reinforcement learning training (e.g. unit tests passed yes or no, in contrast to writing, which is much harder to explicitly judge), but also 2) they are a lot more valuable in b2b settings, meaning that the biggest fraction of the team is focused on improving them. So here we are.
The degree to which you are awed by AI is perfectly correlated with how much you use AI to code.
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EuroLeague Fantasy nuggets 📊🏀 • Best Points – Credits value: Milutinov • Highest chance to beat his credits: TLC • Best Sharpe ratio: TLC • Best Sortino ratio: TLC • Most likely to go over 20 pts: Vezenkov • Most likely to go over 30 pts: Wright IV #EuroLeagueFantasy
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Τα λέγαμε από το Σεπτέμβριο #paobc
Όταν χτίζεις ομάδα με στόχο να τα σαρώσει όλα, δεν μπορείς να έχεις PF τους Juancho και Ντίνο #paobc
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Τι βλακας ειναι αυτός ο Ναν
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Ο Αταμαν έχει φρικάρει με τον Ντινάρα #paobc
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Τι έκτρωμα έφτιαξες ρε Ζοτς;;; #EuroLeague
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Είναι η δεύτερη χρονιά που ο Ομέρ κανει πάρτι απέναντι στους ψηλούς της GBL (εκτός με Ολυμπιακό). Να το έχουμε στα υπόψιν όταν λέμε τα #φέρε #paobc
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1. Δεν υπάρχει ποιοτικό center 2. Ο Ντίνος δεν είναι παίκτης rotation σε contender ομάδα Euroleague 3. Ο Juancho έχει τρομερές αδυναμίες επιθετικά 4. Δεν υπάρχει δυαροτριαρι 5. Nunn άθλιος για τα 4.5m που παίρνει 6. Άμυνα ανύπαρκτη Χωρίς προσθήκες δεν πάει πουθενά #paobc
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Τώρα καταλάβαμε γιατί ο Faried έπαιζε στα αζήτητα #pao
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Όποιον μαρκάρει κάνει ρεκόρ καριέρας #paobc
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Zaccharie Risacher stats in Euroleague (2023-2024) vs NBA (2024-2025). What is the actual level of the NBA?
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Να επιβληθεί πρόστιμο στον Ναν για την αντιεπαγγελματική και αντιαθλητική συμπεριφορά του #paobc
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Γιατί έπρεπε να φύγει ο Ntilikina για να πάρει Fernando και Καλάθη; Τελικά ο Ntilikina ήταν μεγάλη απώλεια για την Παρτιζαν έτσι όπως εξελίχτηκαν τα πράγματα #paobc #OlympiacosBC #obradovic #partizan
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EuroLeague players often end up playing around 80 games per season when you add EuroLeague, domestic leagues, cups, and national team duties. That’s why any true contender needs a deep roster—think 15 players who can contribute. #paobc #OlympiacosBC #EuroLeagueFantasy
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Who is next?
Θέμα χρόνου να χαιρετήσει και ο Κοκοσκωφ
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Θέμα χρόνου να χαιρετήσει και ο Κοκοσκωφ
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