Czy AI zastąpi naukowców w replikowanie wyników badań naukowych ? Na to pytanie odpowiadamy w artykule, który ukazał się na łamach @PNASNews. Dziś nie, ale skoro już wykrywa blisko 40% błędów, które dostrzegają naukowcy? pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.25…
Economics doesn't look better in the "robustness" paper. Honestly, econ looks worse than PS and psych but the difference is tiny and not worth obsessing over. Experimental work looks better than observational. Read the paper for details: nature.com/articles/s41586-0…
Nature meta-research project puts claims in social-science papers. I'm interested in Econ and Psych so I focused on that:
Econ had about the same rate of "not reproducible" analyses as Psych and a worse rate then Political Science.
nature.com/articles/d41586-0…
Nearly half of Americans (46%) report using AI to get news at least occasionally--but most are light users. Only ~14% use it 3 times a week. Some people use AI as their primary interface to society, even if the models are not really up to the task.
The TL has been gushing BS from pro-AI grifters to famous profs for at least 6 months. Bulk is AI generated nonsense, but mostly harmless!
But the humanities responses have been insane. Pure vitriol/left wing authoritarianism. Foucault is dead guys. What are you doing? Plz stop.
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
1/🧵 A major update to our paper: "Scaling Reproducibility" w/ @YangYang_Leo.
We move beyond reanalyzing a single design to (almost) full-paper replication!
Paper: bit.ly/repro-ai
Many have tried to explain discriminatory hiring and other DEI insanities academics brought on themselves with left-wing bias and self-censorship.
I think a bigger factor was simply forgetting about the taxpayer who funds us. Had we asked the public whether what we were doing in 2020-2021 was OK, they'd have said "Hell, no."
⏳One month left to nominate papers for APSA's Experimental Research Section’s Best Paper Award! We’re excited to read creative experimental work tackling big political questions. Self-nominations welcome (and discussants, please nominate your panelists)!
🏆APSA's Experimental Research Best Paper Award🏆Did you present an experiment at APSA2025? Submit your conference paper for the Experimental Research Section's best paper award by April 15, 2026.
@kharibiskut@TalbotMAndrews and I are excited to read your work!
Which AI is most persuasive? New working paper w/ Zhongren Chen & Quan Le, we tested 7 frontier LLMs on 19k people. Ranking: (1) Claude; (2, tied) GPT, Gemini (3) Grok. Consistent across issues and bipartisan stances
Kirill and I have revised this paper with the help of some nice referee comments. Big additions include:
1. Results on the general interpretation of recentered formula IV estimands with heterogeneous effects
2. Conditions for the asymptotic efficiency of a nonparametric split-sample estimator
Enjoy!
You can just research things. New from @j_a_tucker & me at @BrookingsInst: Coding agents like Claude Code and Codex will likely accelerate research AND undermine institutional structures we built to support it.
ALT Google Trends chart showing interest in commercial coding agents increasing dramatically in early 2026
“Maybe if we are mean enough to people offering an opinion on AI we can avoid any disruption to our industry” a surprisingly large number of academics, apparently.
By the way assertions like “tool X can’t do Y” are difficult to provide evidence for. But if you could show it you’d have a cool paper to write and publish!
1/ @compactmag "Lost Generation" piece relies on cherry-picked data.
We compiled 4.67 million employment records at the Universities of California, Michigan, Iowa, and Florida (1993-2024).
Here's what happened at universities during the “DEI regime”. 🧵
We have a new working paper that is sadly relevant again. When anti-Jewish attacks are framed as anti-Israel, opposition to violent hate crimes erodes. Something journalists should keep in mind when covering the horrific antisemitic attack in Australia.
@RDancygier@seanjwestwoodjmummolo.scholar.princeton.e…
1. New adversarial collaboration on implicit racial bias and racial discrimination including >2k White American subjects, four measures of implicit bias, four measures of explicit attitudes, and four measures of racial discrimination, now in press at JPSP: osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/5n…
🚨 New in Nature Science!🚨
AI chatbots can shift voter attitudes on candidates & policies, often by 10 pp
🔹Exps in US Canada Poland & UK
🔹More “facts”→more persuasion (not psych tricks)
🔹Increasing persuasiveness reduces "fact" accuracy
🔹Right-leaning bots=more inaccurate
As @seanjwestwood's terrifying new PNAS article demonstrates, LLMs can now pass almost every attention check, mirror personas, stay consistent across pages, and systematically bias responses in the aggregate.
So here’s a different angle: verify physical presence, not text.
This new work from @GrattanInst is nothing short of seminal.
For too long we have let our cities be locked up by bad, unjustifiable land use and housing policy. But the tide is turning on bad policy—and that is for the better.
x.com/GrattanInst/status/198…
3-storey townhouses and apartments should be permitted on all residential land in all capital cities to help fix Australia’s housing crisis.
Building more homes will create cheaper housing and more productive cities. Our new report shows how. buff.ly/NfAM6C7#auspol
ALT A promotional graphic with the text, New Grattan report: More homes, better cities, Letting more people live where they want. A picture of three storey town houses.