Rationale is my research service that provides actionable trade ideas and in-depth market analysis across equities, FX, futures, ETFs, and crypto.📊📉 Subscribe now for exclusive trade ideas👇 rationaletrading.com/

Trade Ideas Equities: TBBB(NYSE), BROS(NYSE), INTC(NASDAQ), AMT(NYSE), AKSA(BIST), MTY(TSX), MAU(TSX), 8316(TSE) rationaletrading.com/p/trade…

$IWM / $SPY ratio is breaking out of a 3 month long rectangle chart pattern!

$IBB - Biotech ETF is forming a symmetrical triangle just above the 200-day EMA(yellow line), with price action tightening. Monitoring the direction of the breakout.

The $XOM / $CVX ratio is forming a symmetrical triangle following a strong uptrend, with price compressing toward the lower boundary. A breakdown from this structure would favor $CVX over $XOM on a relative basis. The technical setup is clear. What is driving the divergence within the same sector is the more interesting question.

The $IWM / $SPY ratio is consolidating within a rectangle pattern following a strong uptrend. If this structure acts as a continuation, it would favor small caps over the broader S&P 500 on a relative basis.

$NVDA / $QQQ ratio is back at a well-tested support level!

$MS - Cup & Handle chart pattern formation breakout then moved well. Monitoring the 10-day EMA(yellow line) as it managed to act as a support along the recent run up.

Trade Ideas Fx-Futures-Etf-Crypto: EURGBP, XPDUSD, XPTUSD, ITA(CBOE), UK100 rationaletrading.com/p/trade…

Yes, that is exactly the tricky part. Yields and equities do not maintain a simple inverse relationship at all times. When yields are rising on the back of structural growth, both can move higher simultaneously. However, the relationship becomes more complex when you decompose what is actually driving yields. Nominal bond yields reflect three components: growth expectations, inflation expectations, and term premium. If the move is growth-driven, equities can continue to perform. The concern arises when rising yields are driven by term premium or persistent inflation expectations rather than growth. In that scenario, the discount rate applied to future earnings rises without a corresponding improvement in the earnings outlook, creating a genuine headwind for equity valuations regardless of near-term earnings momentum. This is why understanding what is behind a yield move matters as much as the move itself.

RATIONALE watchlist is updated! Whether you’re tracking new trade setups or revisiting existing ones, the watchlist simplifies the process by putting all ideas in one place. rationaletrading.com/p/watch…

Trade Ideas Equities: NSSC(NASDAQ), ULTA(NASDAQ), PLTR(NASDAQ), TEX(NYSE) open.substack.com/pub/roygul…

All Anadolu Grup equities are offering pullback entry opportunity. #BistŞirketler #bist100 #bist30

Trade Ideas Equities: HBM(NYSE), ATI(NYSE), ATKR(NYSE), NVAX(NASDAQ), CRDO(NASDAQ), 8795(TSE) rationaletrading.com/p/trade…

Trade Ideas Equities: GDDY(NYSE), MNDY(NASDAQ), ATRO(NASDAQ), 8334(TSE) rationaletrading.com/p/trade…