I'm reasonably happy with the directional shifts I based my prediction on, but I missed on the magnitude. Trump outperformed with minorities, winning the Sun Belt. Harris held steady with white women, but they didn't swing to her, so it wasn't enough to win the Rust Belt.
US election prediction: Harris will win 270-268 by winning the 3 Rust Belt states, while losing all 4 Sun Belt states (except possibly NC). I'm fairly convinced we will see white women swing towards Harris, and Latino men swing to Trump. I think pollsters are herding (1/n)