four-time world champions vs a country with 156K people playing their first ever World Cup Germany win over 2.5 🇩🇪 it feels so obvious today, nah?

$1,190,000 million bet that Germany will not lose today’s match these two @Polymarket traders are betting 6 figures for a 2% gain that Curaçao has no chance to beat Germany the Germans are don’t joke around damn! is $28,125 worth risking this much??

The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees. The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance. Access to all other Claude models is not affected. We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible. Read our full statement: anthropic.com/news/fable-myt…

A wallet named rabbitfoot1 just added $136K on YES for Canada to win today 🇨🇦⚽️ its not the biggest bet on the board, but definitely large enough to get attention. does rabbitfoot1 know something the market doesn't, or is this just a high-conviction play?

Mexico to win today , letsss gooooo!

polymarket quietly shipped a new feature called "combos" and nobody is talking about it. it changes what you can actually bet on. especially right as the world cup kicks off. here's what it means 👇

we did $100,000 in volume 🥳 Thank you everyone for trusting us, we wont stop here, lets goooo!

Alexander Zverev has finally lifted the Grand Slam title, by winning the French Open title. In his fourth major final, Zverev defeated Flavio Cobolli 6-1, 4-6, 6-4, 6-7 (5), 6-1 this whale made $1.19M from this, what he will predict next?

We’re hosting a $125,000 World Cup Challenge on @jup_predict If you’re a FIFA World Cup 2026 fan, this one’s for you All you need to do is correctly predict 5 matches This isn’t one to miss. Here’s how to participate:

every prediction market mechanism has a core problem it can't escape CLOB (polymarket, kalshi): needs market makers to function. no MM means empty books. the platform is hostage to the willingness of sophisticated participants to show up and quote both sides. works great for top 10 markets. the other 10,000 markets sit empty because nobody will market make them for the fees available AMM (traditional DeFi approach): needs LPs who accept that one side of their position goes to zero at resolution. impermanent loss is permanent in binary outcomes. no fee structure compensates for guaranteed 100% loss on half your inventory. LPs either lose money or demand subsidies that make the platform unprofitable parimutuel (traditional horse racing): no exit before resolution. your payout shifts as more money enters after you. markets must close before events. you're locked in, diluted, and cut off scoring rules / LMSR (legacy academic approach): the market maker subsidizes all liquidity and accepts bounded loss. generally works for research and play money markets. doesn't scale because someone has to fund the subsidy and the loss is guaranteed each mechanism solves one problem and creates another someone needs to build something new