Joined July 2011
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26 Dec 2023
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open.substack.com/pub/spacec…
What really drove human evolution
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Guaranteed this is literally the exact conversation that Rome was having when debating yet another war with Parthia.
Feb 28
So you’re arguing we shouldn’t protect America’s safety because it’s too expensive??
We can’t save money if we’re dead from being nuked by jihadists
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Any society that attributes success to a few geniuses instead of the armies of people who made what they did possible will fail. Not sure why this is hard
A few geniuses solve problems and automate solutions for the rest of society.
Any society that can overcome envy to maximize the number and output of geniuses will thrive.
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Don't agree with this guy on much, but I do agree on this. The fact is that our giant economy has much larger energy/mass than the economy our government was designed to steer. It's like if a boat grew 1000x along with the engine, but tried to use the same rudder.
Jan 22
Almost all of the Western world's problems trace back to one single thing:
We advanced a lot in hard technology and almost not at all in governance technology.
Robin Hanson talking about prediction markets for governance in the 1990s to have people start poking at it for real in the 2020s is absolutely ludicrous. Prediction markets should have happened in the 1680s once we had both markets and probability theory. We're nearly 500 years behind schedule.
Lots of things follow from this and many of them are not very politically correct.
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Maybe if institutions inherently try to extract as much as possible from humans, the response shouldn't be to dismantle all institutions (never going to happen), but to design multiple separate institutions that balance each other, rather than cooperate to screw us over.
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spacechimplives retweeted
Unquestionably true. But not new. Worth a read, Dostoevsky's "The Grand Inquisitor". A standalone chapter in The Brother's Karamazov. It describes exactly this, but during the Spanish Inquisition of 1478. Jesus comes back, they tell him, "We don't need you anymore".
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Certain people love to feel smart by parroting “dark truths” even if they have no particular evidence that they’re true.
Jan 9
One dark truth is that some people are better at living fulfilling lives than others. Good traits cluster; if you're pretty, you're more likely to be smart, happy, healthy, etc. And if you're a dumb, you're more likely to be poor, and a criminal, and mentally ill, and unattractive, etc. It's a weak cluster but it's still there! People are arrayed on a loose spectrum from fucked up/burdensome, and superhuman/beneficial to others.
It doesn't mean that people's lives are more or less worth living, and it does not justify less empathy. But - at least in the sense of 'helping people achieve their goals' - it does mean that some people's genes are just better quality than others.
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We just don’t actually have actual evidence that the clustering of these traits are due to genetics, and there are very good reasons to believe they aren’t. Anyone claiming otherwise is lying or incompetent
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spacechimplives retweeted
Jan 10
complex minds CANNOT exist without simple minds (their constituent parts), but simple minds CAN exist alone
18 Oct 2025
does anyone out there believe that simple minds can do things that more complex minds cannot do? If so, can you help me figure out, what are examples of those things?
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"So you see, the 2 prisoners' revealed preferences are to be in jail for longer"
Jan 8
The real issue with socialists who preach collectivization without voluntarily practicing it themselves isn’t the hypocrisy—it’s that their revealed preference isn’t for collectivization. And if even socialists don’t really want socialism, obviously don’t impose it on everyone
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"There's no such thing as a crystal, there are just atoms"... wow very deep
Jan 2
There is no such thing as "society" or "the collective"
There are only individuals
Saying collective>individual is just a misdirection covering for some individuals using force to control other individuals' lives
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26 Dec 2025
Ironically this is incorrect and smart is actually going to be the only thing worth anything.. only the smart can create new training data worth training on, or dig deep enough to exploit weakness in the generated output….
24 Dec 2025
Jensen Huang told a Cambridge Union
"Intelligence is about to be a commodity"
For a long time, school and hiring treated “smart” as scarce, because fast recall and clean problem solving were hard to scale beyond the best individuals.
AI has flipped that.
Jensen explained “When AI takes over all standardized work, the only value humans have left is to handle the poorly defined work.”
“The poorly defined work is the most valuable of all work.”
- Defined Work (AI Territory)
- Poorly Defined Work (Human Territory)
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26 Dec 2025
Your business plan isn’t going to outcompete thousands agentic AI’s specialized to the task. And llm’s actually excel at poorly defined tasks. “Write me a 200 word essay about birds”.. humans will finally be figuring out where to start when the gpt is finishing up.
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17 Dec 2025
Oh you mean like the part of history where the US created and distributed radical Islamic textbooks in Afghanistan in the 80s and directly resulted in the Taliban?
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16 Dec 2025
It’s difficult to say exactly what the root cause of the school shootings is. But clearly it’s something that had slowly trended up starting in the late 90s, and clearly it’s some kind of material societal sickness. The fact that we’re not spending billions researching/
16 Dec 2025
A bullet-proof safe room designed to protect kids during a school shooter event.
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16 Dec 2025
Why children are doing this is insane. Not sure there could be a bigger red flag of the decline of society. People aren’t just not having kids… a good portion of the kids they are having are having such an awful time that they want to end it for themselves and others.
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15 Dec 2025
This dumbass little phase brought on by undeserving zoomers headed by their little thiel scholars is very old.
15 Dec 2025
The complete lack of understanding of cognition and its relationship to society continues.
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12 Dec 2025
In case anyone can’t comprehend the runaway problem that dismantling the safety net causes.
12 Dec 2025
“But we’re paying more now than ever”… yeah no shit that’s what happens. Get rid of welfare and you turn a few months of unemployment into homelessness. So then you’re paying for healthcare, increased police presence, retail businesses lose revenue, etc etc.
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12 Dec 2025
When in history has creating an underclass ever been a good idea??! It always costs more money than it saves. It always leads to the downfall of whatever civilization is doing it.
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12 Dec 2025
Do you not understand that someone who is born in a society yet is not provided tools to thrive is incentivize to actively undermine it??? And do you not understand that even if they fail, the attempts will cost society a shit ton more money than just adequately funding welfare?
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