Baseball player projections and other nonsense courtesy of Jared Cross, Dash Davidson and Peter Rosenbloom.

Joined February 2012
40 Photos and videos
steamerpro retweeted
The latest edition of The Process is now available in electronic form. Paper editions in Amazon will be available later. A lot of important new research this year, along with the SGP and standings history you're used to.
The 2025 edition of The Process is now available in PDF form! The appendix edition includes 140 new pages and 21 new studies, many from special contributors! The research covers player evaluation, draft research, and FAAB strategy. Please read more here. thefantasybaseballprocess.co…
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steamerpro retweeted
22 Feb 2024
Pumped seeing the projections live up at @TheReal_NFC
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steamerpro retweeted
Terrific work from @RosenJordanBlum. Congrats to @steamerpro Note for ZiPS/PECOTA their "component" based ERA is better than their "official" forecasted-ERA. Check the article. Also note BABIP is almost useless to forecast, leading to overfits prospectslive.com/prospects-…
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steamerpro retweeted
Annual reminder/summary on why @Razzball/@Steamerpro projections should be a key ingredient in your fantasy projections breakfast: 1) It uses our (okay my) playing time estimates which have tested very well - especially pre-March (fantasy.fangraphs.com/summat…) 2) QS/SV/HLD (cont)
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steamerpro retweeted
22 Aug 2022
OH MY GOOOOOOODDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD This is incredible. Congrats to @seandolinar, @megrowler & @dkappelman, this is huge news. Subscribe to FanGraphs!
Exciting news from your friends at FanGraphs: We've launched a new free app, featuring: - Player pages with stats, splits, and game logs - Box scores with Win Probability - Standings and playoff odds Download it today through the App Store or Google Play! blogs.fangraphs.com/were-lau…
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steamerpro retweeted
In case you missed it, we're hiring at FanGraphs. We're looking to add a full-time writer *and* contributors. If you're not familiar, this is not "work for exposure" but "work for salary-amounts of currency." blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraph… blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraph…
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steamerpro retweeted
2nd is .. there's 20 new parks with humidors. It's so important to split them into groups, because ... *The parks that already had them* - down .003 in OBP - down .005 in SLG *The 20 new parks* - down .035 in OBP - down .107 in SLG (APR only, pulled flies/liners, TOR ignored)
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steamerpro retweeted
18 Jan 2022
An important note from the Steamer projections. Also to note, the @fangraphs Depth Charts / Roster Resource led by @JasonRRMartinez has also converted to a universal DH as well.
18 Jan 2022
As of this morning, our projections take into account the LF wall moving back in Baltimore and assume a universal DH for the upcoming season.
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18 Jan 2022
As of this morning, our projections take into account the LF wall moving back in Baltimore and assume a universal DH for the upcoming season.
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steamerpro retweeted
The 2022 edition of The Process is now available in PDF! This edition includes a foreword by the champ @PhilDussault27, our unique analysis of Phil's strategy, new studies & sections, 2021 SGP formulas, and updates to existing studies with 2021 data. thefantasybaseballprocess.co…

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20 Apr 2021
Here's a (fun?) Covid testing/Bayes question that I'd like the answer to. There's a family of three (mom, dad and ~6-yr-old daughter) who all get Covid last march early in the pandemic. Mom and dad are quite sick, daughter just a cold. Fast forward to last week.
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20 Apr 2021
Mom and dad are now both double-vaxxed. Daughter has just done a week of outside camp over spring break. No obvious exposures. Daughter gets a mild cold, takes a PCR test that's negative. Dad then gets a mild cold, gets a PCR test that's positive.
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20 Apr 2021
Mom and daughter get PCRs, both negative. Dad gets tested two more times, both negative. What is the chance that the one positive test was a true positive?
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13 Apr 2021
I'll admit that my instinct is to think that this J&J pause is a nonsense overreaction to a 1-in-a-million risk but is there some scenario where it makes mathematical sense? Is there a scenario in which a quick adjustment is made and this pause saves more lives than it costs?
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