Your Irreverent Guide to the 2026 Belmont Stakes – Can Do! inthemoneypodcast.com/your-i…

Why young academics are leaving academia ft.com/content/8097a49b-32f9… via @ft

NYRA Takeout and CAW Summary The chart below compares @TheNYRA (NYRA⬆️) to min/med(⭐️)/max takeout across ALL tracks for each wager type. NYRA is near or below the median for all wager types and has penny breakage, which are all good for players. But most importantly NYRA is the ONLY racing jurisdiction attempting to throttle CAW access in ALL pools. Unless you enjoy getting crushed by CAW teams, then you should be shifting some or all of your handle to NYRA this summer. Especially, when the racing moves to Saratoga. You will get better results and will help horseplayers collectively send a strong message that we are capable of change and rational behavior and prefer betting into pools in which we have a fighting chance rather than into pools in which we are being “T O Elvised” on a regular basis. See the link below for takeout and CAW info on all tracks. Wager wisely and enjoy the races. drive.google.com/file/d/1_gQ…

Number of So Cal (SA, DMR, HOL & LRC) Starters: 2015 - 15280 2016 - 14737 2017 - 14328 2018 - 14502 2019 - 11351 2020 - 9803 2021 - 11170 2022 - 11256 2023 - 10797 2024 - 10890 2025 - 11874

Mean Chicago (AP or HAW) field sizes: 2016 - 7.5 2017 - 7.6 2018 - 7.5 2019 - 7.4 2020 - 8.4 2021 - 7.2 2022 - 7.3 2023 - 6.8 2024 - 7.2 2025 - 6.8 2026 - 5.3

Find out about the Derby prep that @CraigMilkowski thinks he and most other figure makers may have gotten significantly wrong and the possible implications on analyzing this year’s Preakness Stakes.

Updated my @KentuckyDerby pace projection post draw. Good luck and enjoy this year’s Derby.

Congratulations to @zpurton on reaching 1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ winners for the season! Purton has hit this milestone for 10 CONSECUTIVE SEASONS! 👏

🗣️ “Caspar certainly loaded the bases for him.. hopefully it’s only for 3 months” 🤣 Hong Kong’s soon to be 9-time Champion Jockey @zpurton on the return of Joao Moreira, who rode 4 winners for Caspar Fownes on day 1 back on a short-term contract. Both riders will be back in action Sunday at Sha Tin!

The following is NOT my top 20 list for the Derby. It is just another type of performance figure that is very different from any others and is created by a computer model that projects the expected final times for each Derby horse based on its best race prior to the Derby at 1, 1/8th miles or longer. The model basically assumes that the horses will repeat that effort and extends their race out to 1,1/4 miles, which obviously is a very dangerous assumption to make in the Kentucky Derby. The input from the model comes from TimeformUS result charts using the adjusted fractions calculated by @CraigMilkowski. Consider this just another input for your Derby Analysis, but probably more informative than a lot of other information that you will be bombarded with as the Derby approaches. The main number to look at is in the second to last column (Adj Proj 10f Time). This is the predicted final time for each horse in the Derby. Those horses with green shaded times are contenders. The next most important number is the last column (Final 8th TF adj). This is how long it took the horse to run the last 8th of a mile in its Derby prep. This is not the “raw” final fraction that you often see. It is based on adjustments made by Craig to account for the track speed. Obviously, this is much more meaningful than looking at just the “raw” fraction. Those horses with green shaded times are contenders. Finally, the horses that have green shaded times in both those columns are the primary contenders and the winner is very likely to come from that group. This year that list would include: Further Ado, So Happy, Renegade, The Puma, and Commandment. Chief Wallabee just misses so you can probably include him as well. Not surprisingly, that is a list of mostly favorites although So Happy looks like the best value right now based on the model as he seems to be a bit under the radar despite winning the Santa Anita Derby. Note that I do not have data for the foreign horses, so you are on your own with them. Feel free to use or ignore. Also, if you want to up your game before the Derby, then you should order by new book, Betting on Horses$, which is packed with wisdom from top players that will help you improve your results. Go to BetWithTheBestMedia.com to find out more and order your copy at the discounted price. Good luck

Problem?

Problem?

2026 Q1 % of winners paying $20 AQU 9% GP 14% OP 15% SA 14% Hong Kong 24%

Still time to give the Sport of Kings podcast a listen. Some vulnerable favorites in a challenging sequence. Good luck if you play. sport-of-kings-podcast.simpl…

He’s ready to make it an incredible 1️⃣9️⃣ straight wins 🚀 The World's Best horse KA YING RISING returns in Monday's G2 Sprint Cup at Sha Tin.

This week on the Sport of Kings Podcast sponsored by @AmWager , I will be joined by special guest, handicapper, contest player, TV host, and track announcer, Nick Tammaro ( @NTamm1215 ) to discuss Saturday races 7-11 @keenelandracing (which includes the G1 Blue Grass stakes). The pod should drop on Thursday afternoon.

A great new upcoming promo from @AmWager - You have a chance to win a copy of my new book, Betting on Horse$. Just go to amwager.com/, log in and click on promos at the top, and then opt in for the Betting on Horse$ give away. You can enter once a day for 7 days beginning on April 11th. So if you have an Amwager account, be sure to opt in to the promo starting on April 11th. If you don’t, this would be a great time to join. And if you don’t win the book, you can still go to betwiththebestmedia.com/ to get your copy of “Betting on Horse$” at the discounted, early-bird price.

Jan1 - March 29 Tracks with fewest odds drops >33% after 1 MTP: AQU 1.5% (these runners had a $0.68 ROI) SA 0.5% ($1.12 ROI) Tracks most odds drops >33% after 1 MTP: MVR 16.6% ($1.77 ROI) PEN 16.1% ($2.31 ROI) RP 16.0% ($2.58 ROI) SUN 18.4% ($1.98 ROI) WRD 18.9% ($2.10 ROI

The racing action continues this evening with 11 races from Sha Tin! @TheBrownAndrew & @A_Evers preview the feature race and share their best bets for the card 👇 @HongKong_Racing I @HKJC_Racing

I'm only 1/2 way through it, but its is worth your time.