Joined March 2009
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A brief intro to new followers: - I'm Nick Radge, a 100% systematic investor with over 38 years of experience - 10 year CAGR of 22% - I specialize in momentum trading, trend-following, and disciplined tactical wealth-building strategies. - trying to provide insightful analysis, practical advice, and professional perspectives to navigate the markets effectively. Join me on this journey to achieve your financial goals.
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Losing my shit with Claude. What do I need to do...
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Is the SpaceX IPO going to be the penultimate top? Markets suck the most money into the worst investments. The median major IPO lost 31% in its first year & suffered a 53% drawdown along the way via @charliebilello
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Yep. I like this one.. "The road ahead is rarely straight..." @DayHagan_Invest
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A great insight from @BollingerBanter -------- Markets are idea generating machines. They’re not there to trick or hurt you — just to generate ideas. Your job as a trader is to understand the idea & step into it. That should be your mindset. No waffle about big firms hunting stops. On a large scale that isn't happening.
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That'll do it...
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Spectacular winter sunset. Looking north toward Double Island Point #noosa
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Our #ASX All-Weather Portfolio is popular for one simple reason: strong returns, minus the downside grief. 👇
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$MRVL 32% today after I exited yesterday. Sh*t happens. #next1000trades
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Anyone who says trading "is simple" has never traded or is trying to sell you something. Trading and the markets are a beautiful, endless game of learning and discovery.
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Our mentoring clients share their monthly results, and the progress speaks for itself. Below are the latest figures from Julian C. If you've ever wanted to lift your investing to the next level, our mentoring program is the place to start — with guidance from a veteran who's been doing this for over 40 years. thechartist.com.au/trading-s…
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My Weekend Trend Trader just completed its 6th full year in its tweaked-up version. May returned 7.6%, taking 2026 YTD to 16.7% CAGR running at 21.9%. Obviously, the 2022 drawdown due to the sideways chop was a little unsettling, but even so, returns are still superior - just keep your eyes on your fries.
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Diversification pays... The #ASX has been range-bound for almost a year now. and Small Caps are doing even worse - now some 14.5% off their highs. Will be interesting to see what equity investors do if this budget gets passed...the technical backdrop is already poor.
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Doing some modelling for one of my nephews who has been using an annual All-Weather strategy, which I also use for my youngest daughter. He wanted to know if being slightly more aggressive is a better option, i.e., instead of 60/40, what about 70/30 or 80/20. Here's what the data says...
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1/2 A lot wrong with this... If people are getting inspiration from a Hollywood movie to make investment decisions, then they duly get what they deserve. The movie points to (a) a singular event in time, and (b) the 'luck' of the individual portrayed in that movie. Blatant trading, long or short, without a validated strategy, is no different from gambling.
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2/2 Within my Diversified ETF portfolio, I trade 6 subsystems, one of which goes short the gold complex of ETFs. Here's how that equity curve looks amidst one the biggest bull markets in gold since the 70's. So, is there an issue with short-selling? Or is there an issue with strategy?
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From a happy client... "Good morning Nick, I've just been putting money in your monthly strategy for a while now. I haven't been actively building my own strategies for awhile. The account is now very out of whack. MU carries the lion share of the market value and is up 340% as of today. The entire account itself is up about 200 %. This is great news."... -Tim S. Let us do the hard work for you via our membership, managed accounts or mentorship program.
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During last night's presentation to the @ATAA_au SIG group, I was asked a question about "juicing up" the returns of the US All-Weather. This is a common question from clients as well. The caveat is that, yes, it can be done BUT, that's NOT what the strategy was initially designed to do. The strategy was designed to provide decent returns (>12%) with low drawdowns (<10%) and low volatility (<10%). However, people being people, want more. So the question was, how? Easy. Replace the growth assets within the US All-Weather portfolio with US Momentum signals, specifically replacing the index ETFs with individual stocks from the US Momentum strategy. Doing so increases returns, drawdown, and volatility. Here's how the two compare side-by-side:
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Always happy to get these. This one from a mentor client who was charged with manging some funds for his family office: "A couple of months ago, our family office crystallized profits from the portfolio after roughly 13 months, with the systems returning just over 40% during that period. The board presented the idea of crystallizing the profits and I agreed to it, as I felt it was an important step in establishing long-term confidence in the systems and hopefully allow me to continue to manage family office capital indefinitely. Following the crystallization, we restarted again with the principal amount, with the board agreeing to keep the capital in the systems for a minimum of two years. Honestly, none of this would have been possible without the guidance I received from both of you. The combination of learning systematic thinking, RealTest coding, robust process development, and disciplined execution has had a massive impact on me professionally. One thing I’m particularly proud of is that I’ve never overridden the systems, even during difficult drawdowns, and that mindset came directly from what I learned through the mentorship. Just wanted to say thank you both and let you know the impact your guidance has had." - AA
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