Joined June 2011
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12 Aug 2022

ALT Hooray Letsgo GIF

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Californians, how’s that monopoly treatment feel? Your rates have risen while your suppliers costs have dropped. Great success! Let me guess, if only they could combine into one super monopoly then it would be fixed, right?
CAISO has the lowest US wholesale electricity prices thus the most stable US grid despite its huge growth in WindWaterSolar in the past three years. In-state WWS has met 56.8% of all demand in 2026 Gas down 61.2%, solar up 55%, wind up 13%, batteries up 334% in 2026 vs 2023. 67th straight and 133/157 (84.7%) days in 2026 with WindWaterSolar >100% of demand, for an average of 5.03 hours/day among all days. Despite CA's high retail prices, which has nothing to do with renewables x.com/mzjacobson/status/2063… Texans pay 23% higher electricity bills than Californians due mostly to the far greater energy efficiency in CA web.stanford.edu/group/efmh/…
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Anyone who does CLAIM they can guarantee reliability is a fraud in gridops. If you think there is some guarantee, you are a moron.
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Let’s go!
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Peg Leg retweeted
I promise this will be the best 20 min you spend today! Robotics: Endgame, the sequel to my last year's Sequoia AI Ascent talk, "Physical Turing Test". I laid out the roadmap for solving Physical AGI as a simple parallel to the LLM success story. Be a good scientist, copy homework ;) And stay till the end, more easter eggs and predictions for your polymarket! 00:30 DGX-1 origin story at OpenAI, I was there in 2016 signing with Jensen and Elon. Heading to the Computer History Museum! 01:42 The Great Parallel 03:31 Robotics, the Endgame 03:39 Why VLAs fall short 04:32 Video world models as the 2nd pretraining paradigm 06:09 World Action Models (WAM) 07:46 Strategies for robot data collection and the FSD equivalent to physical data flywheel for robot manipulation 11:06 EgoScale and the Dexterity Scaling Law we discovered recently 14:00 Physical RL: bridging the last mile 15:39 DreamDojo: an end-to-end neural physics engine for scaling RL in silico 17:00 Civilizational Technology Tree and my predictions for the near future. Spoiler: it's closer than you think. Thanks to my friends at Sequoia for inviting me back to AI Ascent this year! I had a blast! Last year's talk is attached in the thread if you missed it.
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Oof. When you just openly tell people you are a tourist here. Go take a look at the capacity results and load forecasts back in 21-22 for PJM. That’s not to say PJM couldn’t do a LOT better, but current load growth was not on the radar back then.
Let's also just dwell for a moment on the fact that the largest grid operator in the nation closed their interconnection queue for four years in the midst of growing electricity demand 🤦🤦🤦
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Why do the other states continue to ignore the obvious model that is sb7 energy only market? Why do the others continue to cling to stupid monopolies and cry about capacity? If they don’t change quickly (and maybe TX already has too much momentum), TX will eat all load growth
Alright, serious question here in honor of the Lakers playing in Houston tonight. Who did it better: ERCOT or LeBron?
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Think 888 could use this to remind them of the only direction we should take.
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I mean it’s the least PUCT could do too
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Think 888 could use this to remind them of the only direction we should take. @patwood3
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Peg Leg retweeted
Remarkable that realized ERCOT wholesale prices (2025 in orange) are near inflation-adjusted lows since 2012, even as Texas has seen the fastest load growth in the country. It highlights the upside of a policy and business climate that broadly supports growth.
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Peg Leg retweeted
Oh really??? 🤯🤯 Good thing we caught this now before California went bankrupt or the utility burned entire cities down due to a failure to keep up maintenance schedules. 😒
Great visual of utility prices. Notice something? We must break up California's utility monopolies. They're charging us twice the national average with zero competition and zero accountability.
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Peg Leg retweeted
The world's electricity infrastructure, mapped.
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This is quite hilarious. Maybe step outside of the tech first bubble.
Replying to @ajbry
I can’t speak for the whole industry, but in my experience the large tech firms have the most sophisticated teams out there. I definitely think there is a gap between hyperscalers and the next tier of data center developers though.
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Incorrect. They need to go towards ERCOT not the opposite.
PJM’s crisis has a simple solution: Copy what works in regulated states The competitive market was supposed to produce lower prices, but when faced with the first big demand shock in decades, it delivered chaos, writes Brad Viator of Power for Tomorrow. utilitydive.com/news/pjms-cr…
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ALT America Aircraft Carrier GIF

Replying to @breadandposes
Won’t happen. There’s no electric solution for a big container ship.
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How could electricity ever move a boat??? Simply unfathomable.
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When will and who will be the first AI/compute lab that comes out with the custom asic huge memory/storage @ home device? They have to be an inevitability at this point right?
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Peg Leg retweeted
"The question is no longer whether organized markets are better in principle, but how quickly they will come to the regions that have held out the longest." powermag.com/how-americas-po…
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Peg Leg retweeted
The US grid, mapped. Public data for public use. 16,819 power plants and 36,872 generators from EIA. 750,000 transmission circuit-miles from HIFLD. 1,000 data centers from EPA and other open sources.
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