🚨Episode 4 of the #NukeChat podcast is now live! Tune in as @toby_dalton and I discuss nonpro and nuclear responsibilities - covering everything from Iran, nuclear-sharing, nuclear latency, naval nuclear propulsion and more👇🏻
@ustirhistpol@CarnegieEndow@BASIC_int
It's always an awkward conversation when your friend tells you they want a nuclear weapon... @toby_dalton breaks down the ongoing discourse on "friendly" nuclear proliferation for @TWQgw.
Check it out here: tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.…
Thanks to @atjlennon@TWQgw for the opportunity to take on the “friendly” nuclear proliferation discourse in a new article: twq.elliott.gwu.edu/files/20…. Fun to write but hard to resist the temptation of excessive wordplay.
In their new report, @toby_dalton, Sarah Frazar, Lindsey Gehrig, Ariel (Eli) Levite, and Mackenzie Schuessler recommend a broader agenda for nuclear energy development to ensure that a significant expansion of nuclear energy will deliver all the claimed benefits for its users.
I’m not here much, but just to say big thx to @pranayrvaddi for having us on the pod to talk about the Carnegie/Harvard/NTI task force on nuclear proliferation and US natsec. Give it a listen here - strategicsimplicity.substack…
Two in one week - another Strategic Simplicity Podcast, this time with Toby Dalton, Francesca Giovannini, and Eric Brewer to discuss a new bipartsan task force report on preventing proliferation: "Preventing an Era of Nuclear Anarchy."
Link below.
Why did Russia update its nuclear doctrine?
The update seems to reduce the nuclear use threshold by incorporating conditions tied to sovereignty. But @NicoleGrajewski argues that the doctrine isn't a blueprint for war—it's a tool of manipulation ⬇️
carnegieendowment.org/emissa…
🔴 @FRS_org invites you to a webinar entitled: "Going nuclear: strategic and domestic considerations in South Korea". 🇰🇷
➡️Tuesday, December 3, from 11:00 am to 12:30
➡️Register: us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regi…
Calling all PhD students and recent grads interested in advancing your policy-relevant research! Applications to join @CarnegieEndow@carnegienpp as a Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow are out now. Apply by 20 December!
carnegieendowment.applicantp…
It's publication week! Influence Without Arms: The New Logic of Deterrence is now available with @CUP_PoliSci: cambridge.org/9781108824071. The book examines the role of nuclear technology in international relations.
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT?
@NicoleGrajewski and I argue that the conflict between Iran and Israel significantly increases the odds. Withdrawal would deal a serious blow to efforts to constrain Iran's program and the nonpro regime as a whole (1/n)
warontherocks.com/2024/11/wi…
An adviser to Iranian Leader says #Iran will change its #nuclear doctrine if it faces "an existential threat". "We now have the necessary ability to produce nuclear weapons, and the only obstacle is the fatwa of the Leader", he said.
Others said Taiwan couldn’t trust Musk because of his politics—noting his analogy of Taiwan to Hawaii. That comment last year drew a pointed response from Taipei: “We can’t tell whether or not Musk’s free will is for sale. But Taiwan is not for sale.”
wsj.com/tech/taiwans-race-fo…
Excellent pragmatic recommendations for how the U.S. can restrain Iran's nuclear program and "prevent a descent into a far more chaotic and violent period in the Middle East." From the knowledgeable @toby_dalton and Eli Levite
How can a nuclear crisis with Iran be averted?
@toby_dalton & Ariel (Eli) Levite argue that repeating the secret U.S.-Iran dialogue that yielded an interim nuclear restraint agreement in 2013 & eventually the JCPOA offer a playbook to prevent a catastrophic chain reaction involving Iran, Israel, and the United States.
Read now: carnegieendowment.org/emissa…
How can a nuclear crisis with Iran be averted?
@toby_dalton & Ariel (Eli) Levite argue that repeating the secret U.S.-Iran dialogue that yielded an interim nuclear restraint agreement in 2013 & eventually the JCPOA offer a playbook to prevent a catastrophic chain reaction involving Iran, Israel, and the United States.
Read now: carnegieendowment.org/emissa…
If… and it’s a big if… Israel and Iran can find a way out of the revenge trap in which each seeks to “restore deterrence” following an attack, it is critical to find a way to again bound Iran’s nuclear program. Eli Levite and I have a few thoughts. carnegieendowment.org/emissa…
Basic idea is to go back to the JPOA, the oft-forgotten precursor to the JCPOA, which comprised a set of reciprocal unilateral commitments and restraints. That approach might work in the narrow window available for diplomacy.