The thesis we dropped in the Space is already printing.
4x oversubscribed on a fixed price and size book. That demand doesn’t clear, it spills straight onto the tape on day one. A friendly whale is already leaning into exactly that with 200k
$SPCX.
$100B of retail demand, most of it still unfilled. Index funds forced to buy ahead of fast-track inclusion. Every cohort is a buyer.
The sell side is locked up. Lockups keep the float thin on day one.
Forced demand into frozen supply; that’s the whole trade.
The perp has already done serious work, trading well through the $135 strike (now 171). This is no longer a direction bet. It’s a basis game.
We are positioned. Texas hedge is ready
@elonmusk. Take us to space.
Full breakdown from the Space:
• Intro:
$SPCX History in real time.
• Why this is the biggest IPO ever ($75B raise, 3x Aramco, $1.75T valuation)
• What SpaceX actually is: the Starlink money machine building humanity’s future
• Why it matters to the market (and to D2)
• The lockup asymmetry: who can sell day one vs who cannot
• How we’re taking advantage on
@HyperliquidX
• D2: TradFi → on-chain arb
• Texas hedge: doubling down, not hedging
• Alpha at the end
Fade D2 <> Hyperliquid <> Bloomberg at your own risk.