It’s 2011, the Shuttle is retired, SpaceX carries the US Space Program
It’s 2014, Russia withholds ULA’s engines, SpaceX carries the US Space Program
It’s 2020, OneWeb goes bankrupt, SpaceX carries the US Space Program
It’s 2023, Russia & Ariane withdraw from international markets, SpaceX carries the US Space Program
It’s 2024, Starliner fails, SpaceX carries the US Space Program
It’s 2025, Roscosmos loses their pad, SpaceX carries the US Space Program
It’s 2026, Blue Origin loses their pad, SpaceX carries the US Space Program