Joined June 2026
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I was just scammed for $500K by Polymarket. I am "willo2", the top holder of YES on "MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin by May 31st". Here's what happened:
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Polymarket would like you to believe they are a "truth engine". In reality, they are a centralized bookmaker that can change market outcomes as they see fit. Polymarket scammed me for $500,000, and they will keep doing it as long as they believe they can get away with it.
How a student’s surefire bet on Polymarket went to zero—thanks to fine print on.wsj.com/4vMBAfQ
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I bet $500K that Microstrategy sold BTC before the end of May. They did. Polymarket changed the rules and scammed everyone who had predicted the future. Satoshi himself came out to support me. Polymarket, I DARE you to try and fight us.
Replying to @willo2_Poly
Apparently you also needed a bet that @Polymarket wouldn't rug you on the win.
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It's my birthday today. I turned 26. But I'm not celebrating. I wish I could! Instead, I will be fighting for justice for the users that Polymarket rugged for $6.5M. Never give up.
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Polymarket scammed me for $500K by changing their own rules. 1,868 traders bet $3.8 Million on the correct outcome. They lost everything. Here's what Polymarket doesn't want you to know - exactly how they did it.

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Polymarket themselves tweeted on multiple accounts "Michael Saylor sells Bitcoin". 4 hours later, they claimed that actually, NO, they didn't - and scammed 1,868 traders, including me, out of $6.5 Million. If you think I'm going to let them forget about this - you're wrong.
JUST IN: Michael Saylor’s Strategy sells $2.5 million of Bitcoin, its first sale since 2022.
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"Polymarket equity just went from a $1 bn market cap to a $20 bn market cap almost overnight, and easily has the means to do the right thing should they choose to. It appears only a court will make them do it, though." Great read: Arca's CIO Jeff Dorman on the MSTR Situation
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Polymarket scammed 1,868 traders, including me, for $6.5M on the Microstrategy market. Fact: the average YES share was purchased at 58.6 cents. Meaning? Almost ALL of the meaningful volume of the Microstrategy market was AFTER the 8K was filed. The ENTIRE market was a scam.
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I got rugged for $500K by Polymarket on "Did Microstrategy sell BTC before May 31st." But this isn't just about me. Traders put $3.8 MILLION on the correct outcome before Polymarket changed the rules. They scammed 1,868 people. And we'll fight for all of them.
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willo2 retweeted
Polymarket has a serious trust problem and this MicroStrategy market is probably the clearest example The rule said YES if Strategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31 Strategy later disclosed they sold 32 BTC between May 26–31 But instead of resolving based on the original rule, Polymarket added extra “confirmation” context after the deadline and YES traders got wiped from around 70c to almost zero This is exactly why traders are angry You cannot let people bet under one rule, then judge the market with another rule after money is already trapped Prediction markets are supposed to settle reality, not rewrite conditions when the outcome becomes uncomfortable If Polymarket wants to be taken seriously before $POLY, this kind of resolution drama needs to stop now Evidence here: soliworld.space/evidence
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willo2 retweeted
I am very surprised that @Polymarket, having raised $2 billion in funding, would rather be known for flippantly changing market rules on the fly ...than owning up to their giant fuck-up and paying a comparatively tiny $3.8 million to users who placed bets they should have won.
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Guys I'm going through my X DMs right now and responding to as many people as possible. The recovery group is coming together. Unfortunately, it seems I have been replying too much and I am literally unable to send DMs right now. Please bear with, I'll try again in ~an hour
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Polymarket is not only paying influencers for undisclosed promotion. They are also outright scamming their users, including me for $500,000. (Thread pinned) They are still X's "official prediction market partner" And I will keep going until Elon Musk or Nikita Bier responds.
there is good precedent to ban @Polymarket from @X. Twitch figured out they were becoming a cesspool for @Stake promotion. they banned stake before a generation of kids became further addicted to gambling. the company is way more to blame than the influencers.
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I've given Polymarket a week to solve this amicably. Complete radio silence. Thank you to everyone DMing me with evidence. I am slowly working through DMs and will be putting a recovery group together today. Please bear with. This week we played defence. Next week, offence.
I bet $500,000 on Polymarket that Microstrategy sold Bitcoin in May. Evidence came out while the market was open. Legally confirmed. Then Polymarket changed the rules, and refused to pay. Last chance to do the right thing @shayne_coplan. Where's my fucking money?
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I bet $500,000 on Polymarket that Microstrategy sold Bitcoin in May. Evidence came out while the market was open. Legally confirmed. Then Polymarket changed the rules, and refused to pay. Last chance to do the right thing @shayne_coplan. Where's my fucking money?
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Guys, I am assembling a team. I'm going to take the lead on spearheading a recovery effort for all YES holders on the May MSTR market. If you have been affected by the May MSTR market (held YES), please get in touch with me via DM/email (in bio).
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My apologies, I have been very busy today, but I am replying to DM's ASAP and will also respond to everybody with serious concerns and/or advice. Thanks to you all.
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Update: I've received a ton of DMs - the amount of people affected is absolutely insane. If I haven't gotten through to you yet, I will ASAP. It's 4am right now where I am, so I'm going to go to bed now. Thank you so much to everyone reaching out - I'm feeling good about this.
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It took almost 4 days but this Polymarket employee just admitted it. I bet $500K on a set of rules that Polymarket wrote. Then, while the market was still live, they changed them. And they just admitted that they got it wrong. BADLY. So I'll ask again. Where's the money Shayne?
totally agree with you, thanks for the feedback and we are changing a bunch of stuff internally to make sure this doesn't happen again.
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willo2 retweeted
dont let a celebrity border collie with 1.5m followers being stolen and eaten distract you from the fact that polymarket stole hundreds of thousands from users on the may microstratregy market
NEW: A celebrity Border Collie with 1.5 million followers was allegedly stolen in China, sold to a restaurant for $27, killed, & eaten.
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