I don’t understand why people don’t see what’s going on with Iran, because to me it’s painfully obvious.
Trump is a master of strategic ambiguity. He rarely says in public what’s actually going on, and when he says anything it’s because he’s knows it’s going to elicit a particular reaction.
Iran’s leadership is fractured between its civil government, the IRGC, and the mullahs. Nobody speaks for all of them. Which means that when Trump announces a new agreement to try to reach an agreement, he knows the result is going to be to deepen the internal conflict.
In essence, Trump is feeding their system with instability, which cycle by cycle weakens them. He’s inciting a civil war inside the formerly monolithic regime, and he doesn’t give a shit whether the media thinks this or that pronouncement or piece of paper is a loss for Trump or America, because that’s simply not the game he’s playing.
Far from being a quagmire, you’re watching a strategy being played out that’s rope-a-dope on steroids. To assert that just because there’s no fighting in the streets at this very moment means that nothing is going on covertly to arm and train the people of Iran to take back their country is the extraordinary claim, given that Trump keeps creating the necessary space in which that can happen.
JUST IN: Trump announces Iran has agreed to never have a nuclear weapon.