engineer— core @gu_labs — experimenting @mirror_fi @stakrbot

Joined August 2024
49 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
Apr 28

6
14
71
21,563
wickD retweeted
find a remote cabin in the woods to reset your mind and plot in silence
31
13
634
39,725
wickD retweeted
Good to see liquidation-free synthetics in the mainstream convo (@VitalikButerin himself now) His options design and Mirror's tuples land in the same place from opposite doors: a position split from ETH collateral, solvent by construction, resolving like a scalar prediction market. No real-time oracle, no liquidator He frames it as options replacing CDPs. We frame it as CDP-as-LP. Shared insight is identical: kill the liquidation dependency And the primitive generalizes. Prediction markets (Mirror) today. Non-liquidable perps next.
Re-posting the idea from the second half of this post a few months ago firefly.social/post/x/202266…: (This is very relevant to the options ideas from yesterday) Question: if we're making a synthetic stable, what should it really be stable WITH RESPECT TO? USD is actually far from the best choice. --- What do people who want stablecoins ultimately want? They want price stability. They have some future expenses in mind, and they want a guarantee that will be able to pay those expenses. But if crypto grows on top of USD-backed stablecoins, crypto is ultimately not truly decentralized. Furthermore, different people have different types of expenses. There has been lots of thinking about making an "ideal stablecoin" that is based on some decentralized global price index, but what if the real solution is to go a step further, and get rid of the concept of currency altogether? Here's the idea. You have price indices on all major categories of goods and services that people buy (treating physical goods/services in different regions as different categories), and prediction markets on each category. Each user (individual or business) has a local LLM that understands that user's expenses, and offers the user a personalized basket of prediction market shares, representing "N days of that user's expected future expenses". Now, we do not need fiat currency at all! People can hold stocks, ETH, or whatever else to grow wealth, and personalized prediction market shares when they want stability.
2
3
6
416
wickD retweeted
crying real tears
I just want to be successful thats all..
31
10,245
117,616
1,244,519
wickD retweeted
PSA: I now consider *all* of DeFi unsafe. Coding agents are superhuman at finding vulnerabilities, and smart contract security is too asymmetric: defenders need to fix every bug while attackers need just one exploit to steal funds.
317
217
1,834
917,033
wickD retweeted
May 18
stakr vault infra is the only official staking skill integrated into @bankrbot. it’s only a matter of time until agents start deploying idle treasury tokens into autonomous yield strategies instead of letting it sit dormant. study conviction.
2
1
9
1,481
May 16
timing is curious new primitives take time. new narratives need time to consolidate the market rewards iteration in accelerated environments. adapt or die @mirror_fi is just the start
11
6
32
7,968
wickD retweeted
May 16
You can now use X Premium subscriptions in Hermes Agent, and Hermes Agent can now search X posts. x.ai/news/grok-hermes
May 15
You can now use your @grok subscription inside @NousResearch Hermes Agent. x.ai/news/grok-hermes
843
1,510
8,144
4,690,926
wickD retweeted
May 10
The crypto consumer is hurting because nobody has been able to challenge pumpfun. It just takes one, and all the fees will get arb’d to zero. But nope, hasn’t happened
Pumpswap is the worst thing to happen to the space everything went downhill after that
44
4
153
75,674
May 10
this cycle has created a generation of participants that think: 1/ 24h without news = dead project 2/ 3 days building = slow team 3/ audits are optional 4/ rewriting architecture and iterating = “doing nothing” meanwhile real teams are spending weeks optimizing thousands of lines of contract logic because immutable code handling millions is not something you yolo out overnight the attention span mismatch is insane people want production-grade infra with tiktok pacing go back to sleep
turns out the guy is a rugger and kinda retarded too lol
12
1
13
3,870
May 9
have to respect what @0xdeployer and @bankrbot are doing against @dexscreener for years they’ve been some of the most extractive actors in the space, and barely any large project ever dared to challenge them directly interesting times ahead. full support
.@dexscreener is a pretty scammy business. basically when you launch a new coin you have to pay them $300 to get an image, and links on your coin's page. your first response is well -- i just wont pay them. but you have to because anyone can pay the $300 and upload anything and the process of reclaiming the page is tedious and annoying. what often happens is scammers will pay dexscreener for popular coins and point the website to a phising website that drains your wallet. theres a lot of ways to fix this but dexscreener does nothing because they keep getting paid.
6
24
3,145
wickD retweeted

21
10
66
13,313
May 8
what a day… prepare for tomorrow permissionless markets
6
21
3,050
May 6
CLOB vs CDP-as-LP mechanism for onchain PMs has been on my mind lately... CLOB is fine for v1 but liquidity is exogenous. you subsidize makers with rewards until organic flow justifies the spread. cut the emissions and depth collapses CDP-as-LP inverts it. lock collateral, mint outcomes atomically, the pair is the pool. liquidity scales 1:1 with TVL, not with incentive budget. every position is LP exposure by construction the real unlock isn't better LP economics. once outcomes are CDP-issued ERC20s with deterministic parity, they're collateralizable, basket-able, hookable into v4. PMs stop being a vertical and become a primitive anyone can build on
22
11
46
11,457
May 6
would love to talk with anyone @base
12
2
29
4,658
May 5
watching the use cases people are imagining for @mirror_fi has been one of the best parts of building it we only realized the prediction market angle while shipping, but a tuple can be any market: contrarian narratives, dual-pegged memecoins, binary outcomes on anything resolvable. v4 hooks are what unlock that range excited to see what people deploy on our permissionless version
22
10
76
24,867
wickD retweeted
Self-resolution markets are the next big thing Study $MIRROR
49
14
115
29,741
wickD retweeted

7
5
41
38,795
wickD retweeted
great timing we betting $JESSE? Or sticking with $BRIAN? @baseapp
This is an email I sent earlier today to all employees at Coinbase: Team, Today I’ve made the difficult decision to reduce the size of Coinbase by ~14%. I want to walk you through why we're doing this now, what it means for those affected, and how this positions us for the future. Why now Two forces are converging at the same time. We need to be front footed to respond to both. First, the market. Coinbase is well-capitalized, has diversified revenue streams, and is well-positioned to weather any storm. Crypto is also on the verge of the next wave of adoption, with stablecoins, prediction markets, tokenization, and more taking off. However, our business is still volatile from quarter to quarter. While we've managed through that cyclicality many times before and come out stronger on the other side, we’re currently in a down market and need to adjust our cost structure now so that we emerge from this period leaner, faster, and more efficient for our next phase of growth. Second, AI is changing how we work. Over the past year, I’ve watched engineers use AI to ship in days what used to take a team weeks. Non-technical teams are now shipping production code and many of our workflows are being automated. The pace of what's possible with a small, focused team has changed dramatically, and it's accelerating every day. All of this has led us to an inflection point, not just for Coinbase, but for every company. The biggest risk now is not taking action. We are adjusting early and deliberately to rebuild Coinbase to be lean, fast, and AI-native. We need to return to the speed and focus of our startup founding, with AI at our core. What this means To get there, we are not just reducing headcount and cutting costs, we’re fundamentally changing how we operate: rebuilding Coinbase as an intelligence, with humans around the edge aligning it. What does this mean in practice? - Fewer layers, faster decisions: We are flattening our org structure to 5 layers max below CEO/COO. Layers slow things down and create coordination tax. The future is small, high context teams that can move quickly. Leaders will own much more, with as many as 15 direct reports. Fewer layers also means a leaner cost structure that is built to perform through all market cycles. - No pure managers: Every leader at Coinbase must also be a strong and active individual contributor. Managers should be like player-coaches, getting their hands dirty alongside their teams. - AI-native pods: We’ll be concentrating around AI-native talent who can manage fleets of agents to drive outsized impact. We’ll also be experimenting with reduced pod sizes, including “one person teams” with engineers, designers, and product managers all in one role. In short: AI is bringing a profound shift in how companies operate, and we’re reshaping Coinbase to lead in this new era. This is a new way of working, and we need to leverage AI across every facet of our jobs. To those who are affected I know there are real people behind these decisions — talented colleagues who have poured themselves into this company and our mission. To those of you who will be leaving: thank you. You’ve helped build Coinbase into what it is today, and I am sincerely grateful for everything you've done. All impacted team members will receive an email to their personal account in the next hour with more information, and an invitation to meet with an HRBP and a senior leader in your organization. Coinbase system access has been removed today. I know this feels sudden and harsh, but it is the only responsible choice given our duty to protect customer information. To those affected, we will be providing a comprehensive package to support you through this transition. US employees will receive a minimum of 16 weeks base pay (plus 2 weeks per year worked), their next equity vest, and 6 months of COBRA. Employees on a work visa will get extra transition support. Those outside of the US will receive similar support, based on local factors and subject to any consultation requirements. Coinbase prides itself on talent density. Our employees are among the most talented people in the world, and I have no doubt that your skills and experience will be highly sought after as you pursue your next chapters. How we move forward To the team that is staying, I know this is a difficult day. We’re saying goodbye to colleagues and friends you've been in the trenches with. But here’s what I want you to know as we move forward together: Over the past 13 years, we have weathered four crypto winters, gone public, and built the most trusted platform in our industry. We’ve made it this far by making hard decisions and by always staying focused on our mission. This time will be no different – nothing has changed about the long term outlook of our company or industry. And most importantly, our mission has never been more important for the world. Increasing economic freedom requires a new financial system, and we’re building it. The Coinbase that emerges from this will be more capable than ever to achieve our mission. Brian
3
4
25
14,393
wickD retweeted
Countdown is on mirrormarkets.io First tuple goes live tomorrow. Real onchain PvP starts now on @base @jessepollak vs @brian_armstrong — pick your side

3
4
32
9,630