Co-Founder, Novara Media. Dad. Husband. Author of ‘Fully Automated Luxury Communism’. Column at UnHerd. More soon with Verso Books.

Joined August 2009
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Could Andy Burnham LOSE in Makerfield?! Our report from Makerfield - the most important by-election in more than a CENTURY. Always a pleasure making these for @novaramedia youtu.be/9EPwVKmqpk4?is=_17v…
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Aaron Bastani retweeted
Appreciate there’s spinning going on, but FYI “Burnham needs to win by more than the Restore vote” is a totally nonsense test to set. On national polling, Labour should be 20 points behind in Makerfield. Whatever you think of him, if he wins it’s a genuine achievement.
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This is closer to what Labour canvassing returns were suggesting…. We will see!
EXCLUSIVE: Andy Burnham has *12-point* lead in new Makerfield poll Labour: 49 Reform: 37 Greens: 5 Restore: 5 Conservative: 3 Lib Dem: 1 Other: 1
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We literally don’t teach kids what a councillor is at school. They learn about the assassination of Kirov, and quadratic equations, but not the politics of how their bins are collected, or what a council ward even is 🤯🤣
Robert Crampton on the Makerfield by-election (The Times)
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There’s a clear pattern here: removing trial by jury for a whole layer of cases; blocking Cenk Uyghur and Hasan Piker from entering the country; the Filton 4 being sentenced as terrorists but not charged as terrorists (yes, really); a British citizen in Russia having his citizenship removed without being charged with anything; stuff like this - constantly. It’s becoming so normal now. There’s a great phrase ‘turnkey tyranny’: you might like the people doing this today, or despise those on the receiving end, but tomorrow it WILL be different. The end point is very obvious. And these tools, and this trajectory, in the wrong hands, is quite a terrifying thought.
🚨BREAKING: Tommy Robinson has been detained at Heathrow Airport under Section 3 of the Counter-Terrorism and Border Security Act 2019, with his phone seized
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Like all of this stuff would have sounded objectively insane a decade ago.
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Aaron Bastani retweeted
There are lots of people on here drinking the security services Kool Aid over the sentencing of the Filton Four. They believe the judge was right to overturn the jury's decision to convict four anti-genocide activists of criminal damage and make it a terrorism offence instead, overturning centuries of legal precedent. Why? Because, they claim, the four activists broke / smashed / shattered a police woman's spine. But that obviously can't be the explanation because three of the activists had nothing to do with that incident and yet they were convicted as terrorists by the judge anyway. Even Samuel Corner, the activist who was convicted over this incident (which left the police woman with a minor fracture, according to the medical authorities who testified), shouldn't have been sentenced as a terrorist for it because that is not what the jury, which heard the actual evidence, decided. The jury convicted Samuel Corner of grievous bodily harm *without intent*. The prosecution had charged him with GBH *with intent* because they needed that as his conviction to build a public mood in support of the proscription of Palestine Action as a terrorist organisation. If Corner could be presented as having entered Israel's Elbit weapons factory with intent to commit violence, then the implication would be that the other activists were in on that plan – a conspiracy – and the government would be off the hook of violating fundamental legal norms by proscribing Palestine Action. By stripping out intent, the jury pulled the rug from under the government's feet. Judge Johnson's task was put the rug firmly back in place by riding roughshod over the jury's decision and sentencing them as terrorists anyway. The timing couldn't be more convenient. On Monday, the Appeal Court will be deciding on the government's appeal against the High Court declaring its proscription of Palestine Action unlawful. If you're peddling the "But they smashed the back of a police woman" line you've been fed by the Daily Mail and BBC, it's because that is exactly what the government needs you spouting as it upends our age-old rights to jury trials, as it stamps out an honourable tradition of direct action dating back to the Suffragettes and before, and as it gives itself cover for continuing complicity in a genocide. Stop being a cuck. Don't fall for this psy-op.
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Look at those pins. Suddenly American performance in the Gulf makes a lot more sense. 🤣

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Starting to get worried now… youtu.be/9EPwVKmqpk4?is=couy…
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Aaron Bastani retweeted
“BBC is taking around 270 staff to the World Cup, many of whom are expected to stay in a five-star hotel, and 17 commentators. It has estimated it will spend around £11,000 per worker, which means staff will cost around £3m, plus £1m for the glass studio” The Telegraph in 2010
🏙️ Views across Manhattan vs an LED screen in Salford... That makes it: ITV 1, BBC 0 Our man Alan Tyers sat up watching the football all night so you don’t have to, and here is what he learnt ⤵️ telegraph.co.uk/football/202…
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If Burnham loses in Makerfield the media will somehow paint it as a win for Starmer. BUT Burnham is Labour’s most popular figure. If he loses, to a weak-ish candidate in Robert Kenyon, while Restore come 3rd, we need to start talking about single digit Labour MPs after next GE.
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A post on Rupert Lowe’s FB earlier today!
Striking just how much of Restore’s energy is focused on Reform
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Labour canvassers very confident they are leading with canvassing returns - but this is entirely correct in one sense: In the privacy of polling booth it’s hard to know how those Restore (and to a lesser extent Greens and Tory) voters will vote. Extraordinarily high stakes!
If there is a Reform ‘shy’ vote or Restore switch last minute then Andy Burnham loses. Add into that Nowak tragedy and Belfast and it’s impossible to call the Makerfield By Election. Andy in my view will narrowly lose this seat.
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Russia is nationalist. China is nationalist. Iran is nationalist. All 3 see various parts of the global status quo as undermining their core interests and - whatever you think about it - their sovereignty. It’s not about hashtags and NGOs. Who still believes that?
Applebaum: What binds Russia, China, Iran and North Korea is not religion or ideology. China is communist, Russia nationalist, Iran theocratic. What binds them is fear of liberal language: rights, rule of law, separation of powers and independent courts. 1/
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It means the end of the middle class. And, as a consequence, majoritarian democracy. In a sensible media landscape that’s a *centre right* argument.
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So many smart people I speak to on the centre, and the right as well, accept this in private lol. But negative polarisation means you can’t be seen to side with Gary Stevenson.
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This means: Significant microprocessor and lithium ion battery production in the UK A lot more engineers (we’d need to scrap student fees I suspect) Re-industrialisation Much greater energy & food sovereignty All completely incompatible with model of last 45 years.
The next war won't be won by armies, navies or air forces alone. It'll be won by the country whose 19 year olds can code, whose factories can build drones in weeks not years, and whose grid stays on when someone tries to switch it off. Industry. Society. Economy. That's the fight now. We're not ready. And we're not being honest about what getting ready will cost.
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Certain poorer countries, counter-intuitively, may be more resilient than wealthier ones. Iran’s ability to close down a major global choke point for logistics offers a stunning example. Recently discussed this with @jarapley youtu.be/NTsnXvOwuM4?is=1_S4…
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Ffs 🤣

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Misrepresented in headline by Times but this, from Burnham, is eminently sensible. So sensible, in fact, that I doubt it survives impact with the Ministry of Defence and the civil service.
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