***13 per cent*** of Makerfield voters still undecided: still a lot to squeeze
Favourability scores:
- Burnham 7
- Kenyon -16
- Farage -19
- Starmer -48
Full story:
thetimes.com/uk/politics/art…
Makerfield: it’s where my late mum grew up & a place I visited often as a girl. In our focus group this wk, it’s clear there’s little love lost for Starmer’s Lab. If Burnham wins, it’ll be his personal brand that carries it
My report & @JoshGafson1 film👇🏻
news.sky.com/story/little-lo…
The bottom line tonight is that the military establishment didn’t win the argument with Labour cabinet and MPs that they needed to cut spending, raise borrowing, raise taxes or cut welfare to fund higher defence spending.
Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves do not agree with John Healey even now, and while I’m sure mast Labour MPs would like to raise defence spending more, there’s no consensus what gives to achieve this.
We owe those who serve the UK the kit to do the job and the loyalty to stand by them when it's done. We are failing on both.
I’ve spent my whole time in government making that case. Number 10 will not listen, so I am resigning as Minister for the Armed Forces.
Letter to the PM below.🫡🫡🫡⬇️⬇️
Re poss GM Mayoral by-election 30 July, vote % in local elections across the 10 GM councils: Reform 32%, Lab 23%, Green 20%, Con 11%, LD 7%. 2nd prefs - Supplementary Vote - vital for the top 2 run-off if no party 50% Round 1. Exciting, if insufficiently so to disturb my holiday.
Makerfield By-Election Update:
survation.com/makerfield-by-…
Survation conducted a new poll of the Makerfield constituency. Fieldwork was conducted by telephone among 518 adults in the constituency between 26th May and 1st June 2026. A combination of landline and mobile data were used.
Methodology Statement
Population Sampled: All residents aged 18 living in the Makerfield parliamentary constituency.
Total Sample Size: 518
Data Collection Method: Telephone interview. A combination of landline and mobile data were used.
Fieldwork Dates: 26th May – 1st June 2026
Data Weighting: Data were weighted to the profile of all adults in Makerfield constituency aged 18 . Data were weighted by age, sex, ward and 2024 General Election vote.
Targets for the weighted data were derived from Office for National Statistics data and the results of the 2024 UK General Election.
Margin of Error: Because only a sample of the full population was interviewed, all results are subject to a margin of error. For example, in a question where 50% gave a particular answer, with a sample of 518 it is 95% certain that the “true” value would fall within 4.8 percentage points of the sample result.
Headline by-election voting intention - Table V2 (likelihood-weighted, undecided/refused removed, no squeeze):
Candidate / Party / Vote share
Andy Burnham - Labour 49%
Robert Kenyon - Reform UK 39%
Rebecca Shepherd - Restore Britain 8%
Sarah Wakefield - Green Party 2%
Jake Austin - Liberal Democrat 1%
Michael Winstanley - Conservative 1%
Another party <1%
Base: likely voters, factored by likelihood to vote, with undecided and refused voters removed
Data tables are available here: cdn.survation.com/wp-content…
NEW: Andy Burnham confirms the Makerfield elephant in the room, that he’ll challenge Sir Keir Starmer if he wins:
“Wes Streeting seems to have launched a leadership contest, so if that is running, I would seek to join it,” he tells @bbcquestiontime
To the three students asking me this morning what’s going to happen on 18th June: I’m going to miss Royal Ascot the day after. That’s what’s going to happen😡 #Makerfield