profile picture pupdate: strong consensus for: dog, but more professional. Introducing my new profile pic:

1/ Last month I told a room of Baltic intelligence officers and diplomats that Donald Trump is an asset of Russian intelligence. Not one of them blinked. "Of course," they said. Ho hum. But in America, saying it out loud is still taboo. Why? 🧵

🚨reporters:🚨 if you're doing a world cup story and you talk about how hot it is, make sure to connect it to climate change

fantastic talk by @AndrewDessler at @SabinCenter Second Conference on Attribution Science and Climate Law this morning!

I'm happy he scored the winning run here but let's be honest, this was a very stupid move by Altuve

The Iranian navy, which has been destroyed eight times, has apparently closed the Strait of Hormuz again, because the United States, for the seventh time, won the war that wasn’t a war, so now the United States has to open the Strait of Hormuz that was already open before the not-war began. The not-war began because Iran had uranium that was totally, completely, beautifully obliterated, so they can’t build the nuclear bomb they weren’t building, which is why the United States had to start the not-war it definitely didn’t start. Now the United States, which has nuclear weapons, is threatening to use nuclear weapons to stop Iran from getting nuclear weapons, because nuclear weapons are far too dangerous for countries with nuclear weapons to allow other countries to have. If the United States saw the United States doing what the United States does in other countries, the United States would invade the United States to liberate the United States from the tyranny of the United States.

Sure. You'd just need to: 1) Forge her signature (commit a felony). 2) Hope your forgery is sufficiently accurate 3) Hope that she (intended voter) doesn't call election office and ask about why she never got a ballot (in which case that mail ballot would be deactivated, and it would be investigated if returned) 4) Hope that she doesn't send back a replacement ballot or show up to vote in person (in which case the same as #3 would happen). But more importantly, instead of showing us a picture of a mail ballot (which could just be from anywhere and is not evidence of material fraud), why don't you answer: Where are the mass arrests? Trump has been in office for 18 months now. And there have been lots of ambitious Republican prosecutors and sheriffs in office for 6 years since the 2020 election. And together they've scraped up a handful of individual voters. A few noncitizens vote. A few people voting in multiple jurisdictions. Hundreds of thousands of hours have been searching. And yet... What you have is, at best, evidence of a clerical error that yielded no harm.

A really good @DouthatNYT argument about how to undermine the construction of AI’s cultural and economic dominance. (I’m not sure Douthat realizes this, but it actually offers lessons for climate communication too.) Link in next tweet.

The Climate Livestream is going on! There have been a lot of terrific talks so far. My talk on "How science really works in three easy steps" is next, starting at 10:40 pm ET. Watch here: youtube.com/@wclivestream/li…

The U.S. has been consistently terrible at predicting its future energy mix,@AndrewDessler argues. So what makes us think we’ll be any better at estimating the cost of the energy transition? Read more: heatmap.news/ideas/future-of…

Heatmap News republished my Climate Brink article on why the future of energy is hard to predict. Take a look! heatmap.news/ideas/future-of…

Hard to believe I’m even writing this. Meteorological summer hasn’t even begun, yet Paris, France has already logged more days above 32°C (89.6°F) than its annual average.

This is insane

I'm really looking forward to attending this meeting on climate attribution science and the law (June 10-11). I'm on a panel about "Defending Science in the Current Political Climate". In-person attendance is full, but you can register to attend it online. climate.law.columbia.edu/eve…

Predicting the future of energy is hard, and reality has a way of moving in directions we don't anticipate. @AndrewDessler has a new piece over at The Climate Brink on how energy systems have evolved in the US compared to expectations (link below)

The AGU is looking for an editor-in-chief for AGU Books. More info here: agu.org/-/media/files/public… Apply here: forms.monday.com/forms/807bc…