🇱🇧 I've been watching and writing about Lebanon for more than 20 years. I can sometimes get carried away.
Joined April 2009
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Mustapha Hamoui retweeted
My latest in @TheNationalNews. The emerging US–Iran framework may reopen the Strait of Hormuz, but it does not resolve the wider regional conflict. Lebanon remains caught between Iran and Israel, facing occupation, displacement, economic collapse, and the risk of a prolonged war. Any serious effort at regional de-escalation must include Lebanon--as well as Syria and Gaza.
#Lebanon #Israel #Iran #MiddleEast #Hezbollah #StraitOfHormuz #USIran #Diplomacy #Geopolitics
thenationalnews.com/opinion/…
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Mustapha Hamoui retweeted
My first thoughts @TheEconomist on the MOU. We should recall the events that led America and Iran to war in the first place: the failure of two previous rounds of nuclear talks, and the mass protests fuelled by Iran's economic crisis.
The MOU addresses neither of these issues.
It leaves the nuclear dispute to be settled in a future round of negotiations, which may not succeed either. And while it provides Iran with some short-term sanctions relief, that is hardly sufficient to pull its economy back from the abyss.
This won't be an acceptable status quo forever, for either side. The risk of a stripped-down deal that purports to end the conflict between America and Iran is that doesn't actually end the conflict after all. economist.com/middle-east-an…
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Some knuckleheads still believe that "Not Dying" is the same as "Winning"
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The Iranian Regime survives. But in your opinion, what will the long-term legacy of this war be?
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Regime will be Diminished
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Regime will be Stronger
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The Case that the regime will be weakened was best made in @newlinesmag by @hxhassan:
In summary, the Iranian Regime will be weakened like Saddam was after the first Gulf War, and will deteriorate slowly into an eventual implosion:
newlinesmag.com/essays/the-t…
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The case that the regime will be strengthened was made by @ProfessorPape in the @nytimes, where he argued that Iran's newly discovered control over Hormuz Straight will make it a "A fourth center of global power", After the USA, China, and Russia
nytimes.com/2026/04/06/opini…
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Honestly the most alarming outcome of this agreement is Sleiman Franjieh and Najib Miqati coming out of the woodwork
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Jun 14
Celebrations by Brazil fans in Tripoli
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Jun 14
And in the spirit of Jabal Mohsen playing spoiler in Tripoli:
x.com/lebynews/status/206620…
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Mustapha Hamoui retweeted
Jun 14
Damascus is a useful partner against Hezbollah—but only on its own side of the border. foreignpolicy.com/2026/06/12…
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Jun 14
"Let's not blow it"
‼️ Trump : This morning’s attack on Beirut should not have happened, particularly on a special day when we are so close to a Peace Deal with Iran. Israel has the right to defend itself against threats, but the attack it was responding to was very small and meaningless, nobody was hurt, injured, or killed, and should not disrupt this important process. We are very close to a Deal that will bring peace to the region, including to Lebanon, and all sides should stand down. There should be no more attacks by Israel anywhere in Lebanon, but there should also be no more attacks by any other party, including Hezbollah, against Israel. This could be the beginning of a long and beautiful peace — Let’s not blow it!
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Mustapha Hamoui retweeted
Jun 12
A new checkpoint in Beirut.
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Mustapha Hamoui retweeted
The dilemma with Iran is whether paying off the mafia is cheaper than fighting it.
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Jun 10
Meanwhile, some grace and beauty.
Veiem per primera vegada la torre de Jesucrist il·luminada!
L'espectacle de llum iniciat des de la base fins a la il·luminació de la creu ha culminat amb una composició de llums guiats per drons, que han dibuixat la figura Gaudí i la frase «primer l'amor, després la tècnica».
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Mustapha Hamoui retweeted
Mada Airways, a new Lebanese commercial airline, is preparing to enter the market, coinciding with the expiry earlier this year of MEA’s long-standing exclusivity over Lebanon’s local aviation market.
The carrier, sister company of IBEX Air Charter, is awaiting its license and the rehabilitation of Qleiaat Airport, from which it plans to operate exclusively.
My report for @LOrientLeJour @lorienttoday
today.lorientlejour.com/arti…
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Mustapha Hamoui retweeted
On losing one's sense of belonging, meaning of home, childhood friends and a brother to war.
With Hassan Merhi - author of Love During Revolution
Watch the full episode - Cry My Brother - on The Beirut Banyan
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Jun 9
Shakira is becoming for the World Cup what Mariah Carey is for Christmas
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Jun 9
Oh no, even President Aoun pronounces LAF (Lebanese Armed Forces) as “laugh” 😞
القسم الثاني من مقابلة رئيس الجمهورية العماد جوزاف عون ل كريستيان امنبور في شبكة CNN الأميركية
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