China/AI/technology. Head of China investigations @aspi_cts. Formers @axios @foreignpolicy @yale @HopkinsNanjing. Author BEIJING RULES, FT Best Books 2023

Joined August 2009
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I increasingly find that my primary role in the "China influence" space these days is to debunk a lot of very, very poor quality "China influence" research reports that have been coming out. I don't think it would be an overreach to call this slate of reports "China influence slop." But such a term is too kind, because it fails to indicate that these reports are primarily motivated by the desire to delegitimize grassroots American organizating by attempting to associate them with "hostile foreign forces" — a tactic widely used by the CCP to delegitimize grassroots Chinese civil society whenever it finds such movements inconvenient. Let me start with a couple recent ones: — The reports from Bitcoin Policy Institute and Power the Future which have led House reps to call for an investigation into anti-data center organizing — And this latest one about how China is supposedly bankrolling climate activism at the University of California system and thereby acting to "shape California’s climate and energy policies." I can demonstrate, very easily, that these reports are 1) exceedingly poor quality as China influence reports go and 2) primarily and overwhelmingly motivated not by a desire to uncover China's influence (and thus to preserve the integrity of US civil society), but rather to delegitimize what are very obviously organic US movements (and thus to compromise the integrity of US civil society) Reports like these represent an anti-democratic abuse of the concept of China influence research, which denies agency to real Americans. These reports, given both their methods and their political goal, are also a form of disinformation and propaganda, very similar to how China paints Hong Kong pro-democracy protesters as stooges of America. And finally, these reports make a mockery of actual, high-quality China influence research. This must stop now — and journalists reporting on this style of report should do so with the highest degree of journalistic professionalism and scrutiny.
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Look what I found: After USAID's Food for Peace program was moved to the USDA last year, Food for Peace seems to have stripped food aid from all Muslim-majority countries. To this amazing chart from @CFR_org, I added a column showing the % of the population that is Muslim:
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None of those 7 countries are majority-Muslim. But 6 out of the 8 countries most at risk of famine are majority-Muslim, and none of them receive food aid under the USDA's revamped Food for Peace program.
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Bethany 貝書穎 retweeted
Shocking: My friend Adam Castillo, longtime Myanmar expert and vocal voice against the junta, snatched by the military regime upon return. This isn’t random arrest - it’s coordinated intimidation by the China-Myanmar authoritarian axis against those who know too much. washingtonpost.com/world/202…
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Bethany 貝書穎 retweeted
NEW: China arrested a US citizen after Trump met with Xi in Beijing and accused him of endangering national security — a rare charge against an American. The detainee, U Min Zin, is a grad student at @UCBerkeley who researches Myanmar. This adds a new strain to US-China ties.
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I will never, ever stop believing that liberal democracy and human rights are worth fighting for, and here's why. It is the easiest thing in the world to say that those people over there don't need human rights. It's so, so easy to do this. "They don't deserve it. They don't need it. They're happier without it. Society is better overall if they don't have it." Easy, easy, easy. But EVERY. SINGLE. PERSON in the entire world wants human rights for themselves and their children. Without exception. Every single person on earth wants justice if their loved one is murdered. Every single person on earth wants to be able to hold their government accountable if the government steals their home, wages, or land. Every single person on earth wants to be able to speak freely to other people about injustices they or their children have personally suffered. Those arguments you're hearing about why liberal democracy isn't all it was cracked up to be? It's all crap. It's steaming garbage repeated by people who believe that it will be other people, not themselves, who have to give up these rights. I know this beyond a shadow of a doubt. It is my lighthouse in a world increasingly shrouded in choking, blinding fog.
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Diversity and inclusion is human rights, and here's why. If or when you become a vulnerable minority, those processes will be there for you too. Those protections are yours too. You won't have to suffer invisibly or silently. It's a promise that you don't have to be the majority in order to have fair opportunity. It's a promise to all of society that we don't have to survival-of-the-fittest our way to the pinnacle to socio-economic-political power in order to be treated justly. It's an olive branch for everyone. A guarantee that no matter how small your in-group becomes, you will never fall through the cracks.
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I increasingly find that my primary role in the "China influence" space these days is to debunk a lot of very, very poor quality "China influence" research reports that have been coming out. I don't think it would be an overreach to call this slate of reports "China influence slop." But such a term is too kind, because it fails to indicate that these reports are primarily motivated by the desire to delegitimize grassroots American organizating by attempting to associate them with "hostile foreign forces" — a tactic widely used by the CCP to delegitimize grassroots Chinese civil society whenever it finds such movements inconvenient. Let me start with a couple recent ones: — The reports from Bitcoin Policy Institute and Power the Future which have led House reps to call for an investigation into anti-data center organizing — And this latest one about how China is supposedly bankrolling climate activism at the University of California system and thereby acting to "shape California’s climate and energy policies." I can demonstrate, very easily, that these reports are 1) exceedingly poor quality as China influence reports go and 2) primarily and overwhelmingly motivated not by a desire to uncover China's influence (and thus to preserve the integrity of US civil society), but rather to delegitimize what are very obviously organic US movements (and thus to compromise the integrity of US civil society) Reports like these represent an anti-democratic abuse of the concept of China influence research, which denies agency to real Americans. These reports, given both their methods and their political goal, are also a form of disinformation and propaganda, very similar to how China paints Hong Kong pro-democracy protesters as stooges of America. And finally, these reports make a mockery of actual, high-quality China influence research. This must stop now — and journalists reporting on this style of report should do so with the highest degree of journalistic professionalism and scrutiny.
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And yet another thread debunking extremely compromised China influence research, this time from the National Association of Scholars, an ideologically hard-right organization. Like the recent reports from Bitcoin Policy Institute and Power the Future, this report's primary goal isn't to ensure the integrity of American civil society. Rather, its primary goal is to achieve domestic ideological and political goals, namely to delegitimize 2 bogeymen of conservatives: Progressive energy policies, and California's public universities, which conservatives have hated since the 1960s.
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There is so much amazing, high-quality, very obviously non-partisan China influence research out there. Up until a couple of years ago, my main concern about the integrity of the Chinese influence research space was that progressives sometimes dismissed high-quality research as racist and fear-mongering when it wasn't. So I spent a lot of my time defending good China influence research from those criticisms (and calling out bad China influence research when it actually was racist or fear-mongering). In other words, I spent a lot of my time trying to be a bridge between progressive and conservatives on this issue, trying to help achieve consensus on what constitutes high-quality China influence research. But now, far and away my biggest concern about the China influence research space is the rise of this new phenomenon — the hard-right abuse of China influence research to wage a domestic ideological war against progressives and other domestic targets, using China links merely as a tool to achieve that goal. Not only does this damage the integrity of the China influence research space, it's also anti-democratic and echoes the playbook of the very authoritarians that China influence research is supposed to combat.
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There is so much amazing, high-quality, very obviously non-partisan China influence research out there. Up until a couple of years ago, my main concern about the integrity of the Chinese influence research space was that progressives sometimes dismissed high-quality research as racist and fear-mongering when it wasn't. So I spent a lot of my time defending good China influence research from those criticisms (and calling out bad China influence research when it actually was racist or fear-mongering). In other words, I spent a lot of my time trying to be a bridge between progressive and conservatives on this issue, trying to help achieve consensus on what constitutes high-quality China influence research. But now, far and away my biggest concern about the China influence research space is the rise of this new phenomenon — the hard-right abuse of China influence research to wage a domestic ideological war against progressives and other domestic targets, using China links merely as a tool to achieve that goal. Not only does this damage the integrity of the China influence research space, it's also anti-democratic and echoes the playbook of the very authoritarians that China influence research is supposed to combat.
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And yet another thread debunking extremely compromised China influence research, this time from the National Association of Scholars, an ideologically hard-right organization. Like the recent reports from Bitcoin Policy Institute and Power the Future, this report's primary goal isn't to ensure the integrity of American civil society. Rather, its primary goal is to achieve domestic ideological and political goals, namely to delegitimize 2 bogeymen of conservatives: Progressive energy policies, and California's public universities, which conservatives have hated since the 1960s.
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Unlike the Bitcoin Policy Institute and Power the Future reports, the basic research in this report is skilled and sound. The report traces the history of partnerships between California universities and Tsinghua University in China. All that is fine. The fatal flaw of this report, however, is that these basic factual findings are distorted beyond recognition to fit NAS's ideological agenda, which is to fight progressive energy policies and weaken the independence of U.S. universities. The conclusions this report draws are part of a growing line of argument in far-right (currently mainstream) conservative strategy, which is to view the green energy transition as a plot to destroy America. This report's basic line of reasoning is this: — Climate change isn't a serious or pressing issue. Climate alarmism is the real threat. --> — The green energy transition is bad for America, and damages America's energy grid, national security, and military preparedness. --> — Chinese efforts to cooperate with western governments and institutions on climate change policies thus actually represent a purposeful, insidious Chinese Communist effort to compromise the energy and defense base of the U.S. and other western countries. --> — Efforts by progressive government officials and institutions to support the green energy transition, and to work with Chinese people to do that, represent a national security threat. --> — One of this report's recommendations (I kid you not) is to "Open Federal investigations into officials and regulators who have engaged in formalized agreements with China." Essentially, this report (and others like it) represent an effort to paint the entire green energy transition movement as a traitorous communist plot. The point of high-quality China influence research is to ensure that Americans can exercise all their rights and freedoms without foreign government interference. But the point of this report is to use China influence research to crush domestic progressive policies that hard-right conservatives (and science deniers) don't like. That's why I'm writing this thread. I've worked too hard to fight for high-quality China influence research — against attacks from both sides of the aisle in the US, and against attacks by Beijing-backed actors — to see it weaponized like this against basic democratic principles and scientific facts. Read the report here. nas.org/wp-content/uploads/2…

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In our current political environment, we've gotten used to hearing people deny climate change. But let's inject some facts into our distorted U.S. reality. 194 countries are signatories to the Paris Agreement — every country except Iran, Libya, Yemen, and the United States. Even the Taliban, which rules Afghanistan, has acknowledged the reality of the climate crisis. This NAS report casts a China-UC climate policy center's emphasis on net zero emissions as radical and dangerous, but in reality, 107 countries in the world have formally adopted net-zero emission targets into law or national policy. Any research report such as this, which is based on the premise that climate change isn't a looming disaster, is more or less trash. That doesn't mean we know the answer to climate change, and it doesn't mean we can't debate what to do about it, or how much to cooperate with a geopolitical rival on an existential threat both countries are facing — and which neither of us can solve alone. But it absolutely does mean that a report that uses science denialism to paint an entire movement, an entire state, and an entire university system as a stooge of China isn't just a worthless report — it's actively damaging to our national debate.
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Bethany 貝書穎 retweeted
The Texas funeral commission opened a routine probe into the East Plano Islamic Center. Then, in March 2025, the governor’s advisers weaponized the case. This is the inside story, based on whistleblower testimony & thousands of texts, emails, and documents. #txlege @TexasMonthly
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Bethany 貝書穎 retweeted
Scoop: Zohran Mamdani was poised to hold his first meeting with a foreign leader this week but the Trump administration effectively nixed it in a behind-the-scenes effort that marks a new flashpoint between the mayor and Trump. W/ @iarnsdorf 🧵
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Bethany 貝書穎 retweeted
Bombshell from Haberman and Swan: Trump wanted the Epstein issue buried and snapped at anyone who mentioned it. In the days before WSJ published that Epstein birthday book scoop, Trump tried to quash the story by calling Rupert Murdoch, News Corp.'s chief executive, and The Journal's editor in chief. He failed. nytimes.com/2026/06/10/magaz…
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Bethany 貝書穎 retweeted
EXCERPT from Regime Change: Inside the Imperial Presidency of Donald Trump, by @jonathanvswan and me, in NYT Magazine today. How the Epstein files crisis paralyzed the Trump White House for the better part of a year nytimes.com/2026/06/10/magaz…
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