Great projection this year!
Only 6 misses of teams swapped by 1 seed, and half of them I could’ve had the other way around too had I known the committee was going to factor in the Friday-Sunday games as much as they did!
🏀Purdue over Michigan State. Clearly the committee credited the Boilermakers for the win over Michigan today, they do have a better resume than the Spartans now with it, so it’s deserved!
🏀Virginia over Nebraska. UVA’s run in the ACC tournament and Nebraska losing back on Friday big to Purdue allowed the Cavs to jump the Cornhuskers. In past years this wouldn’t have been the case. Once again, deserved!
🏀Arkansas over Vandy. Like Purdue, the committee actually factored in today’s win. Absolutely deserved for the Razorbacks! First small gripe though is that if these tourney games meant more this season, then they both should’ve been 4s after Vandy rolled Florida. Bump Bama or Kansas down to a 5 instead.
🏀Villanova over Utah State. UGH. The one change I actually did make based on a weekend game was the one the committee didn’t?! Lol, I had Utah St. below Nova before the Aggies won yesterday. No gripe here though besides general annoyance, since they play each other in the first round anyway.
🏀Missouri over NC State. This is an interesting one. The Tigers got a bye while the Wolfpack are in a play-in game. Very similar resumes, Mizzou though had better top end wins and NC State had a bad loss. This seems to have been enough to make up for the metric gap between the two, which does make sense as resume tends to outweigh metrics closer to the bubble. Not sure I would’ve flipped them around, but it makes complete sense!
🏀Troy over North Dakota State. This is simply a case of rewarding Troy for having good wins. Troy has a Q1 win and 2 Q2 wins! NDSU has no such wins. Outside of those wins Troy’s resume is clearly worse, so I didn’t think they would be enough to swap them, but not mad about it! Mid-majors should absolutely be rewarded for having quality wins.