RT @ericnuttall: A Strait of Hormuz under IRGC control is not and never will be "open", as I believe the Kuwaitis, Saudis, and Emiratis wil…

OIL - that was just the initial move...$150, $200, $250, $300 should not be a surprise in the next few years 👇

Silver's initial target of $83 met. Next targets are $90 and $106. I think $90 is going to happen before the end of April and a triple digit silver before end of May. Final parabolic run to $200 plus could initiate by mid June and end by July 2026. Posts are not investment advice!

I'm constantly fascinated by the flaws of the human mind. The vast majority of people can be easily manipulated into doing the stupidest things if it is repeated enough times. Or if everyone else is doing it. I literally think most people would jump off a bridge if everyone else was jumping. People quickly complied with the mask requirement to enter a restaurant but thought it was OK to take it off once they sat down. They canceled Dr. Zeus and Aunt Jemima, tore down statues of our founding fathers, and followed one way signs in the aisles of grocery stores. Lunacy. But the same applies to investing. Insanity isn't just reserved for pandemics, traders can fall victim to crazy fads, like paying more for a tulip bulb than the cost of an average house. They also succumb to recency bias which causes them to buy at tops and sell at bottoms. The exact opposite of what you should do to make money. The recency bias after the 8 week decline into an intermediate cycle low has convinced most people that price for metals can now only go lower. All rallies are seen as bull traps that will just roll over and continue lower. It's always "one more leg down" with these people. But in a bull market you have to give rallies the benefit of the doubt because the bull eventually makes new highs. As I've said before: Any long position will be a winning trade in a bull market. At the recent lows the bullish percent dropped to 3. In a bull market this is a buy signal. It means the correction has done its job and washed out the previous bullish sentiment and the next leg up can begin. This is one of those tools that has a nearly flawless record of marking a bottom (especially when oversold to this degree). Yet many (if not most) traders will still ignore it and continue to look for lower prices, unable to turn off their recency bias.

Here is your confirmation. Silver has broken the intermediate down trend line, along with forming a weekly swing low, 4 up weeks in a row (that doesn't usually happen in the declining phase of an intermediate cycle, and it's now breaking back above the 10 week moving average.

Silver is consolidating along the 50 day moving average. Next week (maybe even tomorrow) we should see a big surge higher and say goodbye to the 50 for the rest of this intermediate degree rally.

RT @garysavage1: I think the counter trend reaction is finished and silver is ready to start outperforming gold again. 45:1 during this leg…

This is what a breakout from a 19 year base has produced...so far. A 500% move. The base in silver is more than 2X larger. Now you know why I say $250 silver will be a piece of cake and $500 isn't out of the question.

RT @garysavage1: Pay attention to what is happening. Stocks bottomed (for heaven's sake quit listening to these people calling tops in the…

Let me stress again that traders need to expand their charts so they can see the big picture. There are two major takeaways from this long term chart. First notice how radically the rate of ascent changed when gold broke the cartel suppression in 2024. This is almost certainly an indication that metals are entering the final phase of this 26 year bull market. This phase will include a true "bubble period". By the end of this phase the gold:silver ratio will drop back to at least 30:1 and possibly as low as 20 or 15:1. (Currently 62:1) Next, notice the 13 year base that preceded the breakout. Most of you know the rule. "The bigger the base, the higher in space". A 13 year base isn't going to only produce a 2 year, less than 200% rally. Most likely what we are experiencing right now is a midpoint consolidation to cleanse sentiment and set the stage and build the fuel for the second part of the parabolic phase. During this phase it's not unusual for price to double in a year to year and a half. Now you know why I say $10,000 is going to be a piece of cake. That's not even a double from the all time high of $5600. A double would take gold above $11,000. And because human emotions overshoot it's not completely out of the question that we could see $15,000 gold before this bull market ends. So for heaven's sake ignore all the traders and analysts that are stuck in recency bias and trying to find reasons to be bearish. In a massive bull market that has broken out of a 13 year base and transitioned into a parabolic angle of ascent you have to find reasons to be bullish. Reminder: The SMT will remain open for new subscribers for 2 1/2 more weeks until the end of Apr. smartmoneytrackerpremium.com…

Gold is consolidating under resistance. It should break through the 50 day moving average next week. Jesussss look at the big picture. Secular long term bull. Possibly entering the parabolic phase. Weekly charts cycled back to oversold (where bottoms occur) and rallied strongly. The Bullish percent hit 3%. OMG how oversold do you need to get to turn contrarian? Miners are leading and closed above the 50 DMA this week. GDX closed back above the 10 week moving average and the average is turning back up. MACD has crossed back up on all metal sectors. Weekly swing lows completed on every sector of the metals market. COT's more bullish than anytime since the COVID crash.

RT @garysavage1: Every time the dollar hits the resistance zone at 100 it gets rejected, even in the middle of a war. As of yesterday the…

We sent an update to subscribers today but no doubt the Twitter folks would appreciate some comments. A few big points: -MSA has cautioned subscribers before that we don't subscribe to the idea of a "war premium" for gold. As such, we have avoided the topic of the Iran war almost entirely. Perhaps it will end up mattering IF it drags on for years and we have to print trillions to fight it. But the reason would be monetary in that case. -We said in interviews and reports that we expected a significant, maybe even 50% correction for silver at some point in this giant up-move. It happened a bit earlier than we expected, right at the end of January. -The entire correction (for silver) happened in 6 trading days. January 30th to February 6th. For gold, just 2 trading days. Everything since then has been *within the trading range* that was established in those 6 trading days. Maybe the Feb 6th low gets nipped out, but we have multiple momentum indicators screaming at this point that this is another BTD opportunity like the April 2025 tariff panic, the 2020 Covid crash, the 2024 Trump election crash, etc. -Finally, as we said in our February 28th report to subscribers, and reiterated this morning: MSA will not be issuing any more long-term "buy signals" for gold, silver, and miners. All of our long-term buy signals have fired off. For silver in particular: March 2024 at $24.91, June 2025 at $36.17, and November 2025 at $57.16. So while we remain bullish and expect the metals to trade much higher, we have no long-term indicators left to say "buy." They all broke out already. Any buy signal at this point would be inherently short-term, as what's going on is a correction within the ongoing bull trend. If someone bought only within the past few months, they might be sitting on a paper loss right now. One must expect this possibility in *all financial markets.* Anything you buy at any time could go against you. Imagine buying NVDA in October 2021 for $25 and a year later you're down over 50%. In another year you'd be up over 100% from your initial purchase, and yet another year later you'd be up over 400%. But you just so happened to join the trend right before a correction and initially lost 50% of your money (on paper). If you were Cathie Wood, you panic sold...

Yes

OIL - WHY IS EVERYONE SHOCKED? We're simply transitioning to the next epoch. Nothing new.

OIL heading to $100 ...If you didn't see this coming, it's because you were believing the fairytales & ignoring technical analysis & 150 years of evidence. Charts come first, narratives follow.

RT @ericnuttall: We are experiencing the largest loss of oil supply in history (3X bigger than the 1973 Arab oil embargo). The level of com…

RT @ericnuttall: I've now spoken to 4 of my favourite global energy advisors. To summarize, as one said, "this is the big one." The closure…

For all those that think oil is ONLY going up because of the Iran WAR... What are you gonna say if the war ends and oil STILL rockets upwards? NEVER get trapped into thinking any single NARRATIVE is driving the price. There is a huge MACRO trend carving these charts out.

RT @vincent13031925: Shinpei Okuno, a board director of Metaplanet $MTPLF and Head of Investor Relations, recently made a comment that stro…