Reasons I Am Not Too Worried About AI (at least not currently)
While they talk about AGI (Artificial General Intelligence), it could be in reality that AI as we currently know it will never be able to get there. In fact, we may already be fast approaching its limits. Despite clickbait headlines, current LLMs have no self-awareness and no consciousness at all. They can only combine things that already exist, and they can't genuinely create anything new, which leaves a lot of room for human ingenuity.
LLMs (Large Language Models) are basically just a giant database that uses that huge amount of data to predict the most probable next word or outcome when you give it a prompt. That's why AI hallucinations exist, as they can totally predict the wrong outcomes, which is a problem that seems to be getting worse in later models and not better at the current time. Already, some businesses that have replaced their workforce with LLMs are finding these hallucinations to be a real deal-breaker and are rolling them back and re-employing humans because people are more reliable.
One thing I predict will happen in the future that helps me worry less is that human artwork will almost certainly come to be valued far more than what is produced by AI. Humans will want that human touch, and a new market will form around genuine human art. AI is the fun new thing for now, but this will get old in time.
I guess that's how I hope it goes, a world where AI is used in certain niches that it excels in, with robotics freeing up humans from certain chores that waste our time. In terms of manufacturing and resource management, it could potentially lead to a world of sustainable abundance and a more prosperous future for humanity. That would be the best timeline. One where it is used as a tool or instrument to enhance our lives yet still has its limits so we ourselves can't become obsolete. I take courage from the fact that nothing is perfect in this world and everything else has a limit, so why should AI be any different? In fact, as someone who works with it a lot, I can tell you that it makes mistakes all the god damn time...
Something else worth considering is that if it turns out true that AI has some major limitations, then it's probable that current speculation on AI being better than it will actually be is causing one giant bubble in the US stock markets. Very similar to the dot-com bubble. In this case, as soon as AI proves not to be as great as they thought it was, there would likely be a similar crash to what happened in 2000. That's what I think will probably happen, maybe in a year or so from now, or however long it takes for speculators and investors to realise this.
Though I understand there can emerge other problems because of AI, isn't that just like anything? Each level of new tech always disrupts the current way of doing things. The internet being invented did exactly that, and with it some things got better in society and some things got worse, some things were found and some things were lost. It's the same old story ever since we started inventing anything.
In the meantime, for better or worse, it does exist, and all I know is it was fun to be able to use it to draw pictures. It's been even more fun to get it to create personalised music, and I for one am looking forward to the time that we can create a whole CGI blockbuster-level movie, one scene at a time. Perhaps when that happens, it will actually force Hollywood to go back to making practical effects again, which I think in many ways just looks so much more real and better than the CGI they are putting out nowadays. Go back and watch the ride of the Rohirrim in The Lord of the Rings and tell me anything in cinema these days looks as good on screen as that did. They were all real riders on real horses after all.
Could it be that's the end result of AI? Just maybe after its current rise and fall, it brings humans back to appreciate what's actually real in the end. đ¤ đž