The biggest inflection point in markets this year is NOT the SpaceX IPO
Arthur Hayes believes Trump will pop the AI bubble to win the midterm elections
"He can't fix inflation, he can't end the war... the only option he has left is to flip on the AI bros."
He predicts H2 will be risk off across crypto and equities as Trump
Watch the full interview now
00:00 Welcome Arthur Hayes The HYPE Trade
02:00 Arthur’s Trading System and Narrative Shifts
04:15 Why HYPE Became Attractive Again
06:11 Why HYPE Stayed Strong vs Competitors
08:20 H2 Macro Outlook and the Iran/Oil Risk
11:21 Why Higher Energy Prices Threaten the AI Story
14:13 Why Arthur Dumped Risk Assets
15:48 Balancing Macro Signals with Momentum
17:20 Liquidity, Treasury Issuance, and the AI Bubble
18:21 Has Crypto Delivered on Its Original Promise?
20:21 Bitcoin to $1M and the Money Printing Thesis
21:34 Bitcoin vs Gold and Long-Term Store of Value
22:34 Can You Still “Make It” in Crypto?
24:52 Trading vs HODLing: What Actually Works Now
25:49 Lifestyle, Money, and What Actually Buys Happiness
27:48 Arthur’s Big Contrarian Prediction on AI
30:17 Trump, Politics, and the Power Game
32:21 Attention, Entertainment, and Financial Commentary
34:31 Why Being Entertaining Matters More Than Being Right
36:20 Arthur’s Bitcoin Bottom Prediction
36:58 House Music, Ibiza Picks, and Final Thoughts