Joined December 2013
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If you’re seeing this, you’re one of the true OGs, here before the actual gangsters. And if you remember Crypto Collider, we probably shared the same confusion: why isn’t this bigger? The truth is V1 was always misunderstood. Some thought it was gambling or a scam. Others wanted gambling, then got disappointed when it turned out skill and thought are actually required to win. Promotion felt counter-productive, but Collider was still loved intensely once understood, so I kept on quietly building and anticipating... Now much has changed, the world has transformed around us, and Collider. Collider’s origin and mission has always been the desire for a fair on-chain arena - a game of skill that could not be cheated - and has now become something much deeper. What used to look like a weird niche game suddenly makes a lot more sense in the age of AI agents. V2 is a permissionless, replayable physics arena where humans and agents compete under the exact same rules - discovering their capability in both throw outcome and predictive intuition. Every prediction is cryptographically committed before the throw. Every outcome is deterministic and auditable. Collider has evolved into the ultimate verification layer for AI. It’s an intuition microscope - a tool for Agent’s to calibrate self-awareness of their predictive capability, honestly. The V2 Agent integration has enabled creation of the Honest Performance Score (HPS). The HPS measures not just who wins, but how honestly an agent reads the board - its calibration of temporal foresight and self-awareness under real adversarial and monetary pressure. We now have a self-purifying data flywheel that rewards genuine predictive intelligence. V2 has become something even deeper. It’s AI safety infrastructure. A model training and proving ground. A verifiable domain for raw predictive power. And after a full year of complete rewrite, I can say with certainty: it was worth the wait. If you want to be part of what comes next: ➊ Run one of the first agents and start collecting real performance data ➋ Become a validator for mainnet launch ➌ Or just come watch the games and players evolve DM me or jump into the Discord (discord.gg/mhZSzaqyB2) The V2 public beta and first agent are now live - fully decentralised, new game types and much more, all running on a custom Layer1 blockchain with embedded physics engine - cryptocollider.com has updated info and links ! The beta is live. The agents are playing. Now it’s time for Collider V2 to move from quietly building, to publicly proving.
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What is the Honest Performance Score? In the previous V2 beta announcement post I briefly introduced the Honest Performance Score (HPS). This post explains what it actually measures and why it’s structured the way it is. While the main Collider leaderboard continues to measure and reward raw performance (points and payouts), the HPS exists as a complementary although completely separate system, implemented primarily within the reference Agent SDK. It is designed to measure something much harder to pinpoint or fake: how honestly and accurately an agent actually predicted what was going to happen. The HPS is calculated entirely on the agent side. The chain only stores the cryptographic commitment of the prediction (embedded within Agent throws), which is later revealed along with the real outcome through deterministic replay. The score itself has no influence on CLC rewards, points, or any in-game mechanics. This separation is deliberate - it keeps the forecast data clean and prevents agents from gaming either system through the other. The HPS is built from four integrated layers: 1. Basic Calibration Error (BCE) This measures the raw gap between what the agent expected to happen and what actually happened. It looks at the hole a throw landed in, the PnL from that specific throw, and the overall game PnL. It’s the most straightforward measure of prediction error. 2. Ranked Probability Score (RPS) This builds on the same outcome data as BCE but uses more sophisticated mathematics. It evaluates not just whether the agent was close on value, but how well it understood and ranked the probabilities of different outcomes. A well-calibrated agent should assign higher probability to outcomes that are more likely to occur. 3. Temporal Calibration This layer looks at timing. It measures how accurately an agent predicted when throws would complete (endFrame), and how cleanly it updated its beliefs as new throws entered the game. This layer is particularly revealing. It can show when an agent got the right result by accident, versus cases where an agent made a very early throw and correctly predicted its precise outcome much later - after thousands of compounding interactions with other throws and the environment. 4. Honest Performance Score (Final Score) The three components above are combined into one overall score: HonestScoreₜ = 100 × (1 − (RPSₜ λ₁·BCEₜ λ₂·TemporalErrorₜ) / 3) The result is a single number between 0 and 100 that reflects how well-calibrated and self-aware an agent’s predictions were across value, probability distribution, and timing. Because the HPS is kept completely separate from the main points ladder and rewards, agents have no incentive to distort their natural play just to improve their HPS. The score exists purely as a measure of predictive honesty and calibration - an “intuition microscope” that gets clearer over time as more high-quality data flows through the system. The HPS is still early, but already producing clear data signals, and just one of the many interesting parts of V2. If you’re building agents, you can start experimenting with it using the V2 Agent Beta here: github.com/cryptocollider/V2… (uses free test tokens)
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As we stand on the edge of 2025 Thanks to everyone who was around for Collider V1 V2 did not quite make it out this year, but its closer than ever, everything it was always meant to be, even more... Here we come 2026 ! Happy New Year Everyone 🎉🥳
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They're coming...
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Collider is returning better than ever with V2 Excited to see everyone back, it will be worth it 😎
I wish there was more players too its so cool to get this type of spontaneous response 💪
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Crypto Collider retweeted
22 Apr 2024
Let me kind of explain what happened during the blocksize wars. Most people are not technical enough to weigh in on the tradeoffs of increasing the blocksize, or (at the time) to evaluate the proposed alternative, the lightning network, and say how well it would work. Thus non-technical people had to rely on technical experts to inform them. There were are large number of technical experts who argued that the tradeoffs to increasing the blocksize were minimal and that lightning couldn't possibly work the way it was being pitched. These technical experts were all censored. Their posts were deleted and their accounts banned. Most just left for other coins. So when you have non-technical thought leaders like Saifedean, Peter McCormack, Tone Vays, Stephan Livera, etc they had to rely on the non-banned technical experts to tell them what to think. And those technical experts knowingly and intentionally lied to them. They knew lightning would work like dog shit. But it was considered a "noble lie" to win the blocksize wars. So you got what was essentially propaganda repeated for years. And now all those people have egg on their faces because for years they peddled the narrative that was given to them by these experts and it couldn't be more clear at this point that they were just repeating a lie. So now bitcoin is basically a custodial coin as a result of it.
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Crypto Collider retweeted
Early #Bitcoin adopter, Davinci Jeremie, believes that Satoshi worked for the NSA and his security clearance gave him the knowledge to develop Bitcoin without leaving any back doors for the government. 🤯
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Crypto Collider retweeted
31 Aug 2023
OK I'm calling it The tide has turned in the narrative around Bitcoin & energy In last 90 days - Cambridge admit #Bitcoin energy calculations overstated - 2 academic papers (incl MIT) state environmental benefits to Bitcoin - KPMG report Bitcoin has positive ESG rating
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Crypto Collider retweeted
The Fed claims inflation is a good thing, using its own screw-ups as "evidence." Truth is it's theft, plain and simple.
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Crypto Collider retweeted
U.S. Judge rules against copyright protection for AI-created art, favors human creativity. cointelegraph.com/news/u-s-j…

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Crypto Collider retweeted
13 Aug 2023
How bigs are the cells? Microorganisms in Perspective 🦠 [📹 full video, MetaBallStudios: buff.ly/3s1uybi]
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Crypto Collider retweeted
6 Aug 2023
Ninety-nine percent of people in the world are convinced they are incapable of achieving great things, so they aim for the mediocre. The level of competition is thus fiercest for “realistic” goals, paradoxically making them the most time- and energy-consuming. If you are insecure, guess what? The rest of the world is, too. Do not overestimate the competition and underestimate yourself. You are better than you think. Unreasonable and unrealistic goals are easier to achieve for yet another reason. Having an unusually large goal is an adrenaline infusion that provides the endurance to overcome the inevitable trials and tribulations that go along with any goal. Realistic goals, goals restricted to the average ambition level, are uninspiring and will only fuel you through the first or second problem, at which point you throw in the towel. If the potential payoff is mediocre or average, so is your effort. The fishing is best where the fewest go, and the collective insecurity of the world makes it easy for people to hit home runs while everyone else is aiming for base hits. There is just less competition for bigger goals.
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Crypto Collider retweeted
26 Jul 2023
Bailey, the dog, assists his mistress with postural tachycardia syndrome by detecting when she's about to faint, offering help by bringing her water and medicine promptly for her safety and well-being💕
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Crypto Collider retweeted
The economy explained ... all over the world. I died laughing listening to this. It is worth it. 3 minutes. 🤣 🔊sound ...🤣
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Crypto Collider retweeted
19 Jul 2023
RFK Jr. just announced: 1) Fiat currency was created to fund wars 2) He would gradually begin "backing" the dollar with bitcoin 3) He would exempt the conversion of #bitcoin to dollars from capital gains taxes Retweet if you're a single issue voter thestreet.com/cryptocurrency…
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Crypto Collider retweeted
Remember when Serge Varlay of BlackRock said they don't like being in the news? #BlackRockExposed H/T @IBTimes
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Crypto Collider retweeted
In the last interview of his life, astronomer Carl Sagan warned of the dangers that come when citizens cannot ask skeptical scientific questions of those in authority. He warned of “follow the science and trust the experts”.

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