I must say, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei is toying with the world with what could be considered 500 IQ plays.
Mythos Fable was intented for exactly what has just happened. The US government is playing into his hand.
Dario Amodei has been extremely vocal about the dangers of AI; often comparing it to Nuclear weapons.
"You wouldn't want American companies to sell nukes to North Korea"
The security focus on Mythos, including the effort of Project Glasswing, a sweeping cybersecurity initiative led by Anthropic that unites major technology and finance companies to secure critical software. and the limited release of Mythos Fable was an attempt to attract government oversight, underscoring faults and possible risks from bad actors; setting the precedent for nationalization of the AI Ecosystem.
The upper echelon of Frontier models will be nationalized.
The EU and adverseries will now have to train their own frontier models, which increases the demand for top of the line compute like
$NVDA Vera Rubin and
$AMD MI350X / MI355X.
1. You limit access to models -> artificially hightening demand for compute
$NVDA /
$AMD /
$AVGO
Beneficiaries:
- Antropic / OpenAI /
$GOOG /
$META: Less short-term frontier competition
-
$NVDA /
$AMD /
$AVGO: Largest downstream companies (delivering end product)
2. You limit access to compute (tariffs export controls) -> artificially hightening demand, for foundry memory, in new configurations OR compute at extreme prices and limited rates.
Beneficiaries:
-
$TSM / Samsung /
$INTC: Only tier-1 fabs reside in Taiwan, Korea and the US
- AI Specialized Clouds (Sovereign demand):
$NBIS (Most pure, already developing sites for sovereign AI in UK, Israel and more) /
$MSFT /
$AMZN /
$GOOG
3. The US government profits by taking stakes in critical AI companies accompanied by tariffs.
4. No one can harm the US, because they own what will be considered AGI, combined with a world-class geopolitical position (critical resources & geographical positioning).
Beneficiaries:
- US government US AI ecosystem
You do not want to know what happens after point 4.