If my math is mathing. Team USA gets into quarter finals if:
1. Italy beats Mexico tomorrow (any score at all)
• Italy goes 4-0, Mexico drops to 2-2.
• USA takes 2nd place automatically. No tiebreaker needed.
OR
2. If Mexico beats Italy tomorrow, USA gets in if:
• Mexico scores 5 or more runs (examples: 5-4, 5-0, 6-3, 7-2, 8-5, 9-1, 10-4 — anything 5 )
• OR Italy scores 6 or more runs against Mexico (examples: Mexico wins 7-6, 8-6, 9-7, 10-8, 11-6 — any shootout)
Only way USA is OUT: Mexico wins a very low-scoring game where they score 4 or fewer AND Italy scores 5 or fewer.
Examples of bad scores (USA eliminated):
4-3, 4-2, 4-1, 4-0, 3-2, 3-1, 3-0, 2-1, 2-0, 1-0, etc.