With all due respect,
@USTradeRep, since Adam Smith’s time, good theory has helped us understand what happens to the real economy when it is impacted by the type of mercantilist policies that the
#Trump administration is pursuing: massive opportunity costs, severe misallocation of
#capital,
#cronyism on stilts, and declining competitiveness. The costs of all this are borne by consumers - ie 335 million Americans.🇺🇸
If you want to do something concrete about
#affordability for
#businesses and
#consumers, may I suggest that you
1) reverse the present trajectory of US
#tradepolicy and stop penalizing Americans from trading with whom they want, and cease the kowtowing to lobbyists seeking privileges for special interests as well as trade lawyers whose very existence (and incomes) depends upon a complicated and difficult-to-navigate tariff schedule.
2) discontinue the use of
#industrialpolicy that is just as susceptible to cronyism and pours taxpayer dollars into sectors where there is little to no demand but where there are plenty of rent seekers anxious to persuade everyone that their particular line of business is somehow a vital national security concern.
As for your call for richer empirical tools in
@IMFNews, the tools we have for studying trade are quite good, and, thanks to them, we have a very solid grasp of how free trade progressively enriches the United States and discourages Americans and American businesses from becoming uncompetitive and thinking that the world somehow owes us a living.
Certainly, good economic theory, sound empirical inquiry, and the tools with which they furnish us, are always in a state of development. They should be open to critique because that is one way we grow in our understanding of how the real economy works.
But we don’t change the tools because they give us results that some may not like. Indeed, part of the job of economists is to tell us what we may not want to hear: that trade offs are real; that interfering with the price system blinds us to the realities of supply and demand; that undermining property rights damages the general welfare; that
#tariffs undermine our competitiveness, etc.
Ignoring these truths serves neither sound inquiry nor the formulation of good policy. And in no world is that good for the
#UnitedStates 🇺🇸
📰 In the
@IMFNews' Finance & Development Magazine, Ambassador Greer calls for the economics profession to revisit its assumptions and develop models that capture what matters to the real economy.
If we want smarter policy, we need richer empirical tools that study how trade actually works.