European Council on Foreign Relations: the only pan-European think-tank. We foster coalitions for change and promote debate on Europe's global role.
Joined January 2010
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đź“ŤNew public opinion polling
Like little Kevin in the comedy film, European citizens have woken up to an uncomfortable truth: they've been left Home Alone. Not by their parents and siblings, but by an America on whom many thought they could depend, write @j_kobzova and Pawel Zerka
ecfr.eu/publication/home-alo…
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According to ECFR's latest poll majorities in every European country polled think that the US would not support them if they came under attack—whereas they do trust their European neighbours to do so. 👇
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"Think of X this way: one person manufactures the only television set on the market, owns the only channel it broadcasts and uses both to advance his political agenda—which is to encourage viewers to riot in the streets" says @jitorreblanca in a new policy alert 👇
bit.ly/4v6J2SV
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ECFR’s latest poll confirms the collapse in European faith in the US. Only 11% of respondents now consider it an ally, down from 16% half a year ago and 22% in November 2024.
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A new #defence model would set Europeans up to defend themselves with America where possible, with less America where necessary and without America if it comes to that.
@jana_puglierin @mprochwicz @ECFRPower #security #NATO
Read the three pillars of the model 👇
bit.ly/4vuMlD7
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🎧 New #podcast: As everyone talks about the speed of AI, what if the bigger story is that productivity and innovation are slowing down? Mark Leonard speaks with @carlbfrey, author of How Progress Ends, about why technological progress is neither inevitable nor guaranteed. bit.ly/3QCMi9F
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ECFR retweeted
A new ECFR poll shows Europeans embrace self-reliance and are clear-eyed about Trump—but do not expect a permanent break from the US.
@j_kobzova & Pawel Zerka take a closer look at this ⬇️
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(🧵) ECFR's major new polling-backed study reveals that European publics have lost faith in the United States to uphold its #NATO obligations, and are now prepared defend themselves.
Read the full report by @j_kobzova and Paweł Zerka 👇
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(7/7) Taken together, these findings tell a story of a mature and realistic European electorate—in several ways a few steps ahead of their leaders. They challenge leaders to catch up and adapt.
See interactive versions of these charts plus more analysis: ecfr.eu/publication/home-alo…
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ECFR retweeted
Jun 12
Since the #negotiationbox by @CyprusMFA is now out, here is my policy brief on climate and the #MFF again: ecfr.eu/publication/its-not-…
@ecfr
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đź“Ť Web special (update)
America and Israel have bombed Iran since 2025 to block Tehran’s path to nuclear weapons. ECFR’s interactive dashboard, updated monthly, assesses current evidence about Iran’s nuclear activities to determine which of six possible scenarios is most likely. Check out the June update of our Iran Nuclear Monitor 👇
ecfr.eu/special/iran-nuclear…
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A climate strategy that wins one election but loses the next is not a durable climate strategy.
In a fragmented political landscape, ambitious #climate action cannot rely on support from a narrow coalition alone. To survive changes in government and public mood, it needs broader and more resilient public backing.
@PiotrBuras1, @JeremyCliffe and @sd270 argue that the future of the #EuropeanGreenDeal depends not just on reducing #emissions, but on building lasting political majorities.
bit.ly/4g7xCcQ
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ECFR retweeted
Jun 11
📊Najnowszy sondaż @ecfr pokazuje malejące zaufanie do Stanów Zjednoczonych zarządzanych przez Donalda Trumpa 🇺🇸
Więcej w @rzeczpospolita 👇
rp.pl/polityka/art44593691-b…
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All is not well in transatlantic relations and Washington holds powerful levers over Europe through finance, energy and technology.
In a new policy brief, @AgatheDemarais, @TGehrke_ and @jitorreblanca set out three policy options in each sphere to help Europe build lasting economic leverage. @ECFRGeotech
#EconomicSecurity #TransatlanticRelations
bit.ly/4egaOFf
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🚨 Policy brief!
🇪🇺 Gli europei si sono svegliati da soli.
Il nuovo sondaggio @ecfr rivela che la fiducia verso gli USA è ai minimi storici, si punta alla difesa autonoma e permane il no alle importazioni di gas russo.
Di @jkobzova e @pawelzerka
buff.ly/vSSTuSs
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ECFR retweeted
Jun 10
Berlin is a vibrant place for discussions on European security and how to strengthen deterrence and defence in a changing transatlantic Alliance.
That’s exactly what we did this week with a great panel @BotschaftEstBer on @ecfr’s new report on European defence.
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