📢
@ENTSOG and
@ENTSO_E are pleased to release their joint electricity, gas and hydrogen scenarios underpinning the Ten-Year Network Development Plans (
#TYNDP) 2026.
Developed collaboratively, these scenarios provide a robust, transparent and consistent foundation for assessing the
#EU’s future
#energyinfrastructure needs; supporting informed decision-making across the energy system.
#Scenarios remain firmly anchored and bounded in EU energy and climate objectives, including the 2050 climate neutrality target.
🔎 The TYNDP 2026 Scenarios introduce a streamlined approach:
📌 One Central Scenario (National Trends ), based on the latest national strategies, National Energy and Climate Plans (
#NECPs) and EU policy targets.
📌 Two Economic Variants, assessing system resilience under high and low economic growth.
🧩Together, they ensure a credible and policy-aligned basis for infrastructure planning.
⚡🔥💧 Key insights from the Central Scenario include:
📍 Continued decline in overall energy demand driven by efficiency gains;
📍Strong electrification and rising
#electricity demand;
📍
#Methane demand decreasing and progressively decarbonized;
📍
#Hydrogen emerging as a key energy carrier, especially for industry and system flexibility.
These scenarios form the analytical backbone of the
#TYNDPs, enabling the identification of infrastructure gaps, cost-benefit analyses, and a shared understanding among policymakers, Member States and stakeholders.
♻️ At the same time, the scenarios highlight the continued importance of #gas# infrastructure in ensuring
#securityofsupply and system
#flexibility throughout the
#energytransition.
🔒 Natural gas and its infrastructure remain essential to:
📍Safeguard system reliability, especially during periods of peak demand and variable renewable generation;
📍Provide flexibility and balancing services across the integrated energy system;
📍Enable the gradual integration of renewable and low-carbon gases, including biomethane and hydrogen;
📍Support resilience against supply shocks and evolving demand patterns.
✏️To complement scenario-based planning and better reflect operational realities,
@ENTSOG is advancing further work, notably through the Mid-Term European Gas Adequacy Assessment.
📰Read our PR:
shorturl.at/IfuTV
➡️ Discover the scenarios on the dedicated website:
2026.entsos-tyndp-scenarios.…