@fplscript pod 1/2🇮🇳🇪🇸 @ManUtd fan Chess,Cricket,Maths xMin👑.EV modeller. Correlation≠Causation @fplreview Elite 1k. Bruno zealot. UCLFantasy: uclmodel.com
Joined September 2020
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May 28
#FPL SEASON REVIEW 2025/26
Best ever xG, MD & real Ranks (& σ )
BB1 paid off, followed by Foden fraud before NOR/VVD had to put on a rescue act, followed by Groß/Bowen to seal an incredible season
Finally happy with how I approach FPL, shoutout @fplreview for the chats & tools
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Top 5 captaincy options for #GERCUW
#WCFantasy
15h
What about WITH scouting bonus? sane V Wirtz V Kimmich?
With these updated odds
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Jun 13
#WCFantasy
Updated Market Odds Points for the remaining fixtures
Close call between Havertz, Kimmich, Wirtz, and Sane (once you consider SB)
Jun 13
Have triple Germany, should i switch to havertz wirtz or kimmich?
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Jun 12
*To clarify there is a typo with Galindez (supposed to be Cakir) and Cakir will be to the left of Kimmich
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Jun 12
#WCFantasy
Based on the sims, I will be twisting captaincy every single time unless they cross the event horizon 🤣
(Used final captaincy EV to reverse engineer 500k Monte Carlo sims)
Jun 8
For the next 30 days, your timeline will consist of 2 things: "Stick or twist?" posts and people complaining about them.
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Jun 11
#WCFantasy #MD1
Buzzing to be living in the host nation of a World Cup for the first time in my life! Can't wait to attend 🇳🇴 vs 🇸🇳
The response to the data model has been unprecedented! A huge thank you to all my patrons for the support & feedback throughout the process ❤️
Data pipeline has been fully automated and stress tested! We have lift off 🚀
Ik ik, CDK suboptimal lol
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Jun 11
#WCFantasy 90-min deadline klaxon 🚨
Select Captaincy choices for each date (I know we can change captains after every game)
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Jun 11
All World Cup Fantasy content is now live on schadenball dot com
✅Official Game Points Model
✅Fanteam Points Model
✅Fanteam Solver
✅Player-level Expected Goals
✅Team-level Expected Goals/CS%/Win%
✅Market odds Points
✅Captaincy choices
#WCFantasy
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Jun 11
#WCFantasy #MD1 Market Odds Expected Pts*
🥇Kimmich 9.2
🥈Yamal 8.9
🥉Haaland 8.5
No data available for the following fix:
Côte d'Ivoire v Ecuador
Saudi Arabia v Uruguay
France v Senegal
IR Iran v New Zealand
Portugal v Congo DR
Ghana v Panama
Austria v Jordan
*limited data availability from Spreadex
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Jun 10
🚨24-HOUR #WCFantasy DEADLINE klaxon
#MD1 Market odds Team Projections (vs May 18 delta)
⚽️Goals
🥇Germany 4.1
🥈Spain 3.2
🥉Norway 2.6
🧤Cleansheet
🥇Germany 69%
🥈Spain 64%
🥉Switzerland 64%
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Jun 10
Forgot about this tbh, most managers are on a WC3 strat!
MD1 2 eGoals eCleansheets
#WCFantasy
Jun 10
Could you post such a projection for md1 & 2? I know I could do it myself using AI, but maybe you already have something like that ready? :) thanks in advance
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Jun 10
#WCFantasy #MD1
Final run of team-level model for goals/cleansheets projections.
MD1-3 Goals:
🥇Spain - 8.0
🥈Germany - 7.8
🥉Brazil - 7.1
MD1-3 Cleansheets:
🥇Spain - 1.8
🥈France - 1.7
🥉Brazil - 1.7
Downloadable files available for free on patreon.
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Jun 8
#WCFantasy
So they added Geertruida initially when the game launched as a 4.8m DEF (ID:800)
They then removed him from the game only to now add him back as a 4.3m DEF (ID: 2074) 😂
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Jun 8
#WCFantasy
Official game model updated with availability and xMins!
Top 3 players per position for MD1:
GK🧤
🥇Nyland 6.0*
🥈Schlager 5.5*
🥉Neuer 5.4
DEF🧱
🥇Kimmich 9.3
🥈Tah 8.1*
🥉Schlotterbeck 7.7*
MID👀
🥇Sane 8.1*
🥈Wirtz 8.0
🥉Musiala 7.9
FWD⚽️
🥇Haaland 8.0
🥈 Embolo 7.9*
🥉Nunez 7.5*
*Scouting Bonus applies
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Jun 7
#WCFantasy Player Price Efficiency for MD1 MD2
GKs DEFs seem more viable for Scouting Bonus
MIDs FWDs popular picks are dominant
Penultimate xPoints model drop with odds incorporated and some xMins considerations later today.
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Jun 6
#WCFantasy MD3 Rotation Risk
Teams to target for MD3 WC and other chip strategy considerations
🥇Germany 60%
🥈France 58%
🥉Brazil 55%
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Jun 6
Strictly assuming teams rotate only if they are guaranteed to finish 1st or 4th prior to their MD3 game
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