Joined October 2014
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Final 2026 NBA draft model top-30
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Reposting the final draft model updates icymi #NBAdraft x.com/i/status/2064942970382…

Final 2026 NBA draft model top-30
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FPL_Mou retweeted
Final 2026 NBA draft model top-30
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Final 2026 NBA draft model top-30
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@thegrantedwards the results in the dashboard and google sheets link should be consistent now, made an update to the model for better year to year comparisons
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Results are now an ensemble of the player similarity based model and ML models to estimate tier probabilities. This improves PR-AUC across higher tiers to 0.37
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Brief explanation of the model - open.substack.com/pub/fplmou…

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FPL_Mou retweeted
The question of the pace of a pitch has bugged me for a long time. I wrote down an exploration of the pace of pitches, comparing different countries and discovering three kinds of surfaces. And yes, "fast" pitches really mean "bouncy". Read more: substacktools.com/sharex/arU…
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FPL_Mou retweeted
World Cup 2026 Model v1 (Notes follow): docs.google.com/spreadsheets…
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Used ML based models to estimate a players probability of making the nba and then derived the other outcome probabilities using the similarity based approach. Updated top-60 for the 2026 draft x.com/i/status/2055004669592…
Converted the draft model results and validation metrics in Google sheets to tables using plotly. A cleaner visualization than before.
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Used ML based models to estimate a players probability of making the nba and then derived the other outcome probabilities using the similarity based approach. Updated top-60 for the 2026 draft x.com/i/status/2055004669592…
Converted the draft model results and validation metrics in Google sheets to tables using plotly. A cleaner visualization than before.
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1. RMSE has dropped from ~0.7 to 0.55 post update 2. Correlation, spearmans rho and kendalls tau all see slight improvements from before
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Link to the full results - dashboard-v2-dvcw.onrender.c… (takes a min to render if not active)

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Converted the draft model results and validation metrics in Google sheets to tables using plotly. A cleaner visualization than before.
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Added in the probability of each player making the NBA to the table as well
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FPL_Mou retweeted
Wrote a brief substack article explaining how my NBA draft model functions link - open.substack.com/pub/fplmou…

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Wrote a brief substack article explaining how my NBA draft model functions link - open.substack.com/pub/fplmou…

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Published a plotly dashboard to better visualize the draft model results Link - dashboard-v2-dvcw.onrender.c…

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Converted the draft model results and validation metrics in Google sheets to tables using plotly. A cleaner visualization than before.
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FPL_Mou retweeted
Converted the draft model results and validation metrics in Google sheets to tables using plotly. A cleaner visualization than before.
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@DannyDimes1000 @mikegrib8 have updated the model based on your suggestions, much appreciated!
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Link to the dashboard - dashboard-v2-dvcw.onrender.c…

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