Co-Founder @TheAgentTed | Building the AI that beats Vegas
Joined December 2017
- Tweets 823
- Following 2,082
- Followers 209
- Likes 457
36 Photos and videos
Jan 14
We’ll be publishing an official Looking Ahead update on all things TED soon. Personally, I’m most excited about in game trading and how much it’s evolved since we started. This is where the edge compounds and where TED is becoming meaningfully differentiated. The goal is make TED great again and make $TED stakers money in the process. Behind the scenes, the team has been heads down building in game trading infrastructure, evolving the models, tightening risk controls, and developing NBA in game trading strategies.
We’ve also expanded the TED Polymarket Whales bot, which now tracks all $75k NBA trades on Polymarket, giving us deeper visibility into where size, conviction, and late game pressure are showing up.
@TheAgentTed @polywhaleswatch
As Always in TED we TRUST!
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Commander.Ted retweeted
Jan 14
TED × Polymarket Whales Bot
This week we launched NBA for TED’s whale bot that monitors large-size Polymarket flows ($75k ) to better understand how capital actually moves in prediction markets.
You can view these trades in our telegram channel (link in bio) or by following the account below.
In TED we TRUST
🚨 Large Trade Alert
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
🟢 BUY (Nuggets)
Trade Value: $259,007.88
Price: $0.55
Size: 470,923 shares
Time: 2026-01-13 19:02:44 EST
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Jan 9
Most prediction market frontends are just:
“a list of questions.”
That’s not a consumer product. That’s a database.
The next PM winners look more like Spotify/TikTok:
a personalized feed that routes you to markets where you actually have an edge.
Truth needs distribution
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23 Dec 2025
Just read through the new 1st Kalshi Report and honestly it seems like everyone’s focused on “prediction markets beat CPI consensus.”
That’s not the insight.
The insight is that PMs don’t win by being faster. They win by aggregating weird, fragmented, non-modelable information that surveys can’t touch.
That only matters when structure breaks.
research.kalshi.com/articles…
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23 Dec 2025
In short PMs aren’t better forecasters they’re better at detecting when the old forecasting framework is breaking
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23 Dec 2025
One thing that changed how I see sports betting:
When sportsbooks adjust odds, they frequently settle on the same numbers across operators.
That doesn’t happen in markets driven by deep, independent models. It happens when pricing is built to manage risk, not understand the game.
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Commander.Ted retweeted
8 Dec 2025
🚨 Whale Alert 🚨
Someone just hammered the Chargers for $300,619 according to our @polywhaleswatch bot.
What does he know… ;)
8 Dec 2025
🚨 Large Trade Alert
Eagles vs. Chargers
🟢 BUY (Chargers)
Trade Value: $300,619.89
Price: $0.46
Size: 653,522 shares
Time: 2025-12-08 18:53:29 EST
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23 Oct 2025
That Chauncey Billups charge is pretty wild. Mafia involved to attract high rollers meanwhile he's getting paid $4 million a year.
Greed is a hellauve a drug!
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Commander.Ted retweeted
20 Oct 2025
Yesterday was another day full of W’s
Both parlays given to subscribers @TheAgentTed hit and the internal picks were on absolute fire coming in at 10-2 🔥
The late games were a clean sweep (5-0)
Reminder that staking $TED gives you both access to the picks and you also participate in the upside if the Agent hits the parlays placed through Reward Streams in USDC.
Oh, and they just launched paid subs via fiat targeting Web2 normies 👀
Almost sounds like the makings of a potential flywheel..
20 Oct 2025
4 leg parlay hits with Broncos comeback win!
Stop waiting. Get your subscription today.
Link below!
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25 Sep 2025
🚀 Big Update @TheAgentTed - Bankroll Increase 🚀
We’re scaling TED’s firepower.
Current bankroll: $10,591 → $50,591 ( $40k added).
Conditions for reward streams stay exactly the same. Once TED’s PnL goes $1k above the new bankroll ($50,591), a new reward stream starts for stakers.
You stake. TED bets. More capital = more opportunity to generate PnL → more USDC streams for stakers.
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23 Sep 2025
WEEK 3 Recap
Public Picks: 1-3
Internal Picks: 10-6
Overall Internal Record: 34-14 (71% HIT RATE)
🚨 Next Up for TED 🚨
We’re moving into WR player props and live trading. This is where the real inefficiencies live. Sportsbooks add massive VIGs often 50% on player props because their models are weak, and they overcharge to cover risk.
Stake $TED to unlock the picks and let TED’s AI trade the edges for you. You don’t need to risk extra capital on the picks since TED uses his own bankroll to bet... when TED wins, you earn. When TED loses, your only exposure is the $TED you hold.
16 Sep 2025
That’s a wrap on FREE PICKS!
It’s been a STRONG start to the season:
WEEK 1:
Public Picks = 6-0
Internal Picks = 15-1
WEEK 2:
Public Picks = 0-2
Internal Picks = 9-5
***24-6 (80%) INTERNAL HIT RATE***
Now it’s time to RAISE THE STAKES:
— stake 10,000 $TED tokens
— link TG account
You will be automatically added to Agent Ted’s private boardroom on Telegram where you will receive all the picks in real-time.
The season is firing up, don’t miss the Alpha.
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16 Sep 2025
👀
16 Sep 2025
That’s a wrap on FREE PICKS!
It’s been a STRONG start to the season:
WEEK 1:
Public Picks = 6-0
Internal Picks = 15-1
WEEK 2:
Public Picks = 0-2
Internal Picks = 9-5
***24-6 (80%) INTERNAL HIT RATE***
Now it’s time to RAISE THE STAKES:
— stake 10,000 $TED tokens
— link TG account
You will be automatically added to Agent Ted’s private boardroom on Telegram where you will receive all the picks in real-time.
The season is firing up, don’t miss the Alpha.
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12 Sep 2025
Only 2 days left!! Once the weekend ends, access to TED’s private Telegram picks will require a minimum of 10k $TED staked.
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9 Sep 2025
Tech working
9 Sep 2025
REWARD STREAM ACTIVATED
We are initiating our first Reward Stream for stakers today.
Bank Roll > $10,000 ✅
P&L > $1,000 ✅
Ted captured $2838 in profits on NFL Sunday.
$2,270 (80%) will be rewarded to stakers in USDC.
$568 (20%) will be added to Ted’s bank roll
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8 Sep 2025
Massive Week 1 for @TheAgentTed 🚨
- 2/2 on moneylines ✅
- 4/4 on parlays ✅
Week 1 NFL PnL = $2,838.07
The first reward stream ever is on deck.
80% of the profits ($2,270) heading straight to $TED stakers.
In TED we TRUST!
2 Sep 2025
🚨 Agent TED Community Update 🚨
1. Betting Flow
• TED will now prioritize parlays over moneylines. Our model shows a higher expected value in parlays vs straight bets.
• You’ll still see pregame bets, but not as frequently as MLB.
• In-game betting is in progress. We’ll keep the community updated whenever TED enters or exits a live position, but the best way to capture this edge is by staking $TED for automated access.
• Player props are coming. We’re starting with wide receivers, backed by our first wave of backtested player data. More props will roll out as the season continues.
2. Staking Contract
• The contract is in final testing now and will be open tomorrow for everyone to begin staking $TED.
• Stakers get access to the private Telegram group where TED will drop his picks.
• For the first 2 weeks of NFL, picks will be free and posted in both the main chat and the private chat. After that, only wallets staking at least 10k $TED will retain access to TED’s picks.
How Staking Works
• Staking $TED is designed to be asymmetric:
o If the model wins → you share the upside.
o If the model loses → you risk no additional capital.
• Your stake gives you access to TED’s betting edge reward streams.
• Reward streams are paid out to stakers only when:
o TED’s bankroll is above $10k, and
o TED’s PnL is greater than $1k.
• TED’s bankroll will ramp up over time, which means the potential reward streams for $TED stakers will also ramp up as TED scales.
This is a big milestone. We’re moving from “just picks” into the full ecosystem: staking, gated access, rewards, live trading, and player props.
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