Do you know how HARD it is to get 5k down on a prop line at Bet365/(insert rec book)?*
Do you know how EASY it is to get 5k down on Game 5 of NBA Finals side or total?
To say unit size should be a measure of edge on a play and nothing else should matter lacks such awareness of market dynamics.
It would be soooo easy to say I’m betting 3u-5u on all of these at good volume and be “Up 200 UNITS THIS NBA SEASON AND 60 UNIT RUN LAST 10 DAYS.”
It would also be so disingenuously untrue and absurd.
I would LOVE to be able to get down 5u on overnight nba props at a bet365. LOVEEEE.
The edges are massively more advantageous to than betting a main market in that same nba game when posted limits are 5k , or prediction market liquidity was there for it.
The unit size I put next to my plays factors in market timing, market type i am betting into, availability of the line, and more and perceived edge is further away from the most important thing than you would think. I keep it true to what I am doing.
The reality is honesty and integrity, which I pride myself on and unfortunately a lot this space lacks (and sometimes other people lack of integrity gets unjustly thrown onto me as it’s assumed im one in the same).
If the way I approach that is too high level, that’s a skill issue on your part not something I need to correct.
*note from star above: getting 5k down on props at rec book is possible and takes skill. It’s something I would love to be better at, feel free to DM me if that’s something you know a lot about or think you can help.
💯
Unit size typically is a measure of the perceived edge you have on a play. Nothing else should factor in