PSA: We will be discontinuing the frontend for Filament Pro on December 31, 2025. Please claim your funds from Filament Pro at app(.)filament(.)finance In case of any questions, please reach out @abhitejxyz through DM.

You can just do things, powered by @base. Starting to see @Flashduels click for users, builders and curators. Still early days but over the next 30, we’re set to unlock permissionless and personalized prediction markets.

New Era for Filament and Flashduels begins today.

Prediction markets have been restrictive, one-off and favouring the capital - it changes w/ @Flashduels.

It’s prediction market szn. But we’re not here to play the same old game. > Markets you own > Game modes you choose > Value that compounds > Duels from 30m -> 24h This is just the tip of the iceberg. Alpha is dropping any moment. Lock in.

Roll call for Formula 1 fans. If you love F1, we have something exciting for you. Reply to this tweet.

.@Flashduels v1 launching in August. Next up: Leveraged Prediction markets, powered by Filament margin engine.

Prediction markets today are too limited and slow. They circle around popular topics, need heavy liquidity. Sports are different. They move fast, with constant nuance, and demand mechanisms beyond plain binary outcomes. To unlock this, we need ground-up design - new gaming layers, faster cycles, and GTMs that actually fit fans. That’s exactly what we’re tackling with @Flashduels: conviction markets for long-term fans, powered by quick-fire duels.

Following @j0hnwang’s prediction markets bull posts for a week. Excited for @FilamentFinance/@Flashduels. Flashduels v1: Perpetual Prediction Markets (Conviction Markets) Flashduels v2: Leveraged Conviction Market powered by Filament Pro But in my experience achieving the right balance between entertainment x leveraged predictions, the team needs to have understanding of: > Cultural hooks: what would bring users back even if there’s no upside (it needs to be fun in itself) > Risk/margin engine > Composable gaming logics

What “conviction instruments” should look like? If sports is a religion, the faithful deserve a way to hold belief over time, not settle after one whistle. A conviction instrument should be: > Narrative-aligned: season/era based, not just fixtures > Creator-anchored: launched by people you trust - analysts, fan leaders, club legends > Composable: tradable as narratives evolve; belief can compound > Accessible: $1–$10 entry, Apple Pay friendly, no wallet gymnastics > Cultural: memes, clips, live banter baked in because culture is the UX This is the hole FlashDuels fills: duels and tokens that map to belief over time, not just 90 minutes.

Build, release, listen, iterate. Again and again.

Last week, on the Touch Base Weekly, we had @abhitejxyz from @FilamentFinance sharing founder experience on @base, he explains about his new launch, flashduels, allowing you to monetize your early beliefs segment timestamps - 2:01 - why build on base 7:57 - his journey scaling on base 16:20 - how has base cabal, farcaster and the suite helped in growing the product

What did AI sharks loved about @Flashduels? > Real pain point - something we all have felt at some point > Strong founder-market fit > Deep understanding of conviction token model We made a deal with 4/4. Big W.

I am really excited about AI Shark Tank today - pitching to an @RowanRK6’s AI. I believe this is going to be the future of pitching ideas and good to start early on it. Join me today as I share “What, Why and How” of @Flashduels. S/o to @aisharktank team for inviting us.

Contributing to: > Crypto 3.0 w/ Filament Pro - better price discovery and accessibility > Crypto 4.0 w/ @Flashduels - conviction layer for the internet powered by crypto rails

.@abhitejxyz joined @rachit and KG on @touchgrass_pod to discuss: > Why we're building @Flashduels on @base? > What's been the onboarding experience so far? Thank you for having us🤝

Prediction markets have a conviction problem. They force you into binary bets: "Will BTC hit $130K by December?" Pay $1 if yes, $0 if no. Clean math. Terrible psychology. Real conviction doesn't work like that. The Binary Trap Most prediction markets operate like casino games. You pick a side, place a bet, wait for results. Win or lose. All or nothing. This works fine for simple questions with clear endpoints. "Who wins the election?" "Will it rain tomorrow?" But it completely misses how people actually form beliefs about complex things. You don't wake up one day convinced Nvidia will dominate the market. That conviction builds over quarters and years of watching performance, innovation, market response. The Compounding Problem Think about your strongest investment beliefs. Maybe you think ETH will cross $10K in the coming years, not overnight, but through years of upgrades, sentiment flipping from "ETH is dead" to "ETH is king" and major inflows. Or will Filament will make a massive comeback. These aren't yes/no propositions with expiration dates. They're "more right over time" theses. Performance compounds, evidence accumulates, network effects kick in, metrics improve, narratives solidify. Your conviction strengthens or weakens based on ongoing results, not a single snapshot. Current setups lets you to bet on specific milestones by specific dates. But what you really want is equity in your thesis as it plays out over time. The Context Shift The conviction about the same thing can be right and wrong simultaneously, depending on timeframe and perspective. Betting on your favorite underdog team might be emotionally right but financially wrong (poor short-term odds). Vanilla prediction markets make you choose one perspective. What if you could hold both? Own tokens that reflect long-term growth potential while hedging short-term volatility? The Evolution Gap Everything changes. The startup you believed in pivots. The athlete you backed gets injured then comes back stronger. The political candidate you supported shifts positions. Binary prediction markets lock you into single moments in time. But real conviction adapts. It survives setbacks. It compounds through multiple cycles. With @Flashduels, instead of betting on outcomes only, you buy equity in entities. These tokens gain or lose value based on ongoing performance metrics, not single events. Your "underdog athlete" token might drop during a rough season but compound over many seasons as they improve. Your conviction becomes an investment that evolves with reality. This isn't about predicting specific outcomes. It's about aligning your portfolio with your genuine beliefs and letting those beliefs compound over time.

1/ The founder journey is far from glamorous - particularly when you are playing a long-term game. Setbacks, pivots and near-death experiences are the norm. It’s never the idea - it’s the people, it’s the endless fire to succeed.

believe in someETHing