Joined May 2013
110 Photos and videos
May 26
We are so up right now..
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I lost betting on 2nd half overs in the CLE-NY game last night. Kalshi argued that 2nd half only includes regulation time, even though their full rules state overtime points are included unless explicitly excluded, and every sportsbook I know includes OT in 2H lines. Seem fair?
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May 20
This one got me too, a full reading of the rules seems very solid that 2H includes overtime per contract and NBA's official rules. Market obviously was confusing to people so it sucks to see losses but really feel like the that should be asking for a refund shouldn't be the ones that read the contract vs the market maker who didn't and got paid out fully😢
Pretty frustrated with @KalshiSports handling of a contract issue on last nights 2H NBA Cavs vs Knicks game. This is a specific discussion over @Kalshi 's contract and rule variable language differences among props, leading traders to believe they are trading different outcomes.
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May 12
Locksy reflects on a tweet he made when his Kalshi account was negative, after hitting $100K profit. "That shows you if you just dedicate yourself to something, you can achieve it."
10 Oct 2025
remember this. rock bottom. when i am one of the most profitable prediction market traders with all my plays public.. remember you were here.
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Foster retweeted
🚨🚨🚨THE @catboyautist INTERVIEW🚨🚨🚨 TONIGHT - 5PM ET THE MOST REQUESTED INTERVIEW OF ALL TIME THE #1 MENTION MARKET TRADER IN THE WORLD OVER $1.2M IN PROFITS POTENTIAL FACE REVEAL???
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Apr 17
Been a minute since I was up here😁
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Apr 13
Not what I was expecting
Apr 13
Looks like we might be getting a surprise Trump announcement today. Expected to go live soon from the Oval Office. @PredMTrader WE'RE SAVED
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Apr 13
Looks like we might be getting a surprise Trump announcement today. Expected to go live soon from the Oval Office. @PredMTrader WE'RE SAVED
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Apr 9
Two days in a row of closed press Trump.. What is he hiding?🤨
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Foster retweeted
Trump’s Wednesday address was our biggest mention market ever - over $60K on the line It also turned into our biggest win ever Full stream highlights
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Apr 2
Super fun market on Trump's address. Ended up $8k across both markets. I feel like I handicapped it well, just didn't size up enough, especially on the on the cheap yesses I really liked like "Moon" and "BHO" Also, over 18m volume. Insane..
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Foster retweeted
Generational wealth could be made tonight! x.com/i/spaces/1qGvvkWXzopGB
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Foster retweeted
Had a great time at the Kalshi Conference! Really cool finally meeting so many people in person after talking online all year Hope to see more events like this in the future!
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Mar 28
Kalshi conference was awesome. Very fun meeting a bunch of super smart trad fi people, super smart traders, and others like @PredMTrader Also got 1st place in the conference trading leaderboard, pretty cool
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Mar 25
Mentions on Kalshi did $179 million total volume in February 2026. The rate of growth is parabolic multiplying nearly 50x in just 6 months. At this rate we are on pace to do more monthly volume than the entire stock market by Q3 2027...
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Mar 25
Crazy to think people like @PredMTrader are literally on the path to be the next Warren Buffet
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Mar 24
Of all the Poly announcements today, this one makes me feel the best. If you're gonna trade a platform, you should trust that the platform will take responsibility when an issue on their end causes losses to users. For those who weren't aware, a few months ago @RookeBrollins lost ~50k due to a UI bug on Poly, and is now getting a refund. Kalshi has been great in this regard in my experience, often refunding losses that are their fault from bugs, outages, and poor rules. Sweet to see the same happening on poly nowadays :)
Update: While I have been largely silent about this on X so far, I can now announce that @Polymarket has agreed to fully refund the loss caused by the glitch, not in small part thanks to the patient work of @chrund1e, @kea1on and Candiey, really underappreciated team (1/3)
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Mar 19
You can watch every Trump speech for a whole year and still just constantly be surprised by the shit he says lmao
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Mar 18
Super fun time chatting on here with @goldenpants013 and @Sports__Proj - We talked about a ton, even talked about way back when I was doing chores to play Full Tilt Poker tourneys when I was like 10/11 lol Give it a listen😁
New Episode of the POD out today. Myself and @Sports__Proj interview @Foster - one of the most successful non-sports traders on Kalshi & Poly. Some great stuff in here including a middle on the "Best AI" market, non-sports RFQs and why Foster is willing to buy anything for 1c⬇️
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